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Cesarnc's market talk, gossips, rumours & fun

  • #581
  • Dec 11, 2007 4:24am Dec 11, 2007 4:24am
Quoting Ash
I expect the market to go ape shit if the Fed decided to cut by 1/2.
And that would be awesome, because I will be picking up all those bananas....
  • #582
  • Dec 11, 2007 4:32am Dec 11, 2007 4:32am
Watching closely on the u/y and yen pairs... i think g/u and e/u will head up towards the end of the year rallies... and then head down come jan 1st...

we might see a quick carry trade downwards on yen pairs... im not sure tho... the markets want to trick you into thinking the opposite..plus there are alot of people buying in the carries, so that will stop them all out... jsut gotta wait for the US decision.. althought looks like banks want to make their money! and stuff all us traders!
  • #583
  • Dec 11, 2007 4:39am Dec 11, 2007 4:39am
Quoting Ash
I expect the market to go ape shit if the Fed decided to cut by 1/2.
If the feds go 1/2 we'll see 103 in Aud and 234 in GJ and of course 1.54 in Euro
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #584
  • Dec 11, 2007 5:23am Dec 11, 2007 5:23am
Quoting DutchTrader
If the feds go 1/2 we'll see 103 in Aud and 234 in GJ and of course 1.54 in Euro
I agree also.
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  • #585
  • Dec 11, 2007 5:26am Dec 11, 2007 5:26am
I didn't learn about hidden trade deficits during my pursuit of a MBA degree. Am I missing something????

U.K. Visible Trade Deficit Shrinks In October

12/11/2007 8:24:20 AM The U.K.'s visible trade gap narrowed in October as exports rose from the month before, reflecting global demand and suggesting that a weaker pound is giving British exports an edge over Europeans.

A report from the Office for National Statistics, or ONS, showed Tuesday that the visible trade deficit shrunk to 7.1 billion pounds in October from an upwardly revised record of 8 billion pounds in September. Initially, the September shortfall was recorded as 7.8 billion pounds. Economists were looking for a visible trade deficit of 7.4 billion pounds for October.

http://www.rttnews.com/apps/deskaler.../2007&item=419
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  • #586
  • Dec 11, 2007 5:26am Dec 11, 2007 5:26am
I hope we don't get stuck in those crappy ranges if they go 25. What are your thoughts on the expected 25 cut? is there a chance they pause?

Quoting Ash
I agree also.
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #587
  • Edited 6:11am Dec 11, 2007 5:58am | Edited 6:11am
Ok... US dollar to fall down until end of the year.......we will see 1.5 E/u and g u will shoot up still...personally im short u/y ........ just my 2 pennys... based on experience and risk /reward management. another 5 hours till interest rate decision....

AND as I wrote this 20 mins ago.... I just noticed the yen pairs heading south... nice!! $-)
  • #588
  • Dec 11, 2007 6:24am Dec 11, 2007 6:24am
Quoting arkz01
Ok... US dollar to fall down until end of the year.......we will see 1.5 E/u and g u will shoot up still...personally im short u/y ........ just my 2 pennys... based on experience and risk /reward management. another 5 hours till interest rate decision....

AND as I wrote this 20 mins ago.... I just noticed the yen pairs heading south... nice!! $-)
Can see that.
  • #589
  • Edited 7:30am Dec 11, 2007 6:56am | Edited 7:30am
Quoting DutchTrader
I hope we don't get stuck in those crappy ranges if they go 25. What are your thoughts on the expected 25 cut? is there a chance they pause?
I hope so too. This is what I (Imho) see. If they cut rates by .25, they will leave the door open to more rate cuts in order for the markets to keep on going and to keep "Hope Alive".

If (Imho) they cut by .50, markets will go ape shit but, within 24-48 hours, markets will sell off $$$'s. No one in their right mind will want to invest in our debt? Who is going to pay for our government spending, etc? Taxes will eventually go up. We will be headed for the next great depression.

Now, If the Fed Chairman was really the man, he would raise rates and let everyone know that "He is the Man". Stock markets will sell off but in the long run, it would be good for the economy. It will be a good way to flush out the weak / rotten apples and start fresh. Survival of the fittest.

No matter which way the market goes, May all the Green Pips be with everyone (just don't go against the trend or try to anticipate what the market will do, for all the newbies)!
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  • #590
  • Dec 11, 2007 7:25am Dec 11, 2007 7:25am
Hey all,

Two days, sold 50% of the last batch of fitness clothes I produced. Tomorrow last client and back to the office...

100% mark-up and always the same mumbo jumbo "You're killing me already m'am. I can't reduce the price, you will kill my margin !!!"

LOLLLLLL

Some crazy business going on in euro this a.m. Also carries being unwound. As I have no ADSL connection here I wasn`t able to leave my EAs running for today. So no GJ trades, only one long euro that was +50, then 0, now +50 again. Let's see where Bernanke takes me from here...

Cyaround.
  • #591
  • Edited 7:29am Dec 11, 2007 7:29am | Edited 7:29am
Are your fitness clothes made in China?

Quoting cesarnc
Hey all,

Two days, sold 50% of the last batch of fitness clothes I produced. Tomorrow last client and back to the office...

100% mark-up and always the same mumbo jumbo "You're killing me already m'am. I can't reduce the price, you will kill my margin !!!"

LOLLLLLL

Some crazy business going on in euro this a.m. Also carries being unwound. As I have no ADSL connection here I wasn`t able to leave my EAs running for today. So no GJ trades, only one long euro that was +50, then 0, now +50 again. Let's see where Bernanke takes me from here...

Cyaround.
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  • #592
  • Dec 11, 2007 7:34am Dec 11, 2007 7:34am
Quoting Ash
Are your fitness clothes made in China?
No...

Obviously, YET

I'm thinking about producing some toys in China. There is this 3 lil girls neighbor that scream like hell at 6am. I think they will enjoy a China made toy. I know I will. :
  • #593
  • Dec 11, 2007 7:40am Dec 11, 2007 7:40am
Quoting cesarnc
No...

Obviously, YET

I'm thinking about producing some toys in China. There is this 3 lil girls neighbor that scream like hell at 6am. I think they will enjoy a China made toy. I know I will. :

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  • #594
  • Dec 11, 2007 10:00am Dec 11, 2007 10:00am
Tick, tick, tick - 1 hour 15 minutes till Uncle Bernie time !!!
  • #595
  • Edited 10:10am Dec 11, 2007 10:08am | Edited 10:10am
Quoting SunTrader
Tick, tick, tick - 1 hour 15 minutes till Uncle Bernie time !!!
I did a search on Uncle Bernie and was quite amazed. I didn't know Uncle Bernie ran a Amusement Theme Park. Maybe this is where everyone is headed.

http://www.unclebernies.com/

http://www.unclebernies.com/folletocamp.jpg

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  • #596
  • Dec 11, 2007 10:17am Dec 11, 2007 10:17am
Quoting Ash
I did a search on Uncle Bernie and was quite amazed. I didn't know Uncle Bernie ran a Amusement Theme Park. Maybe this is where everyone is headed.

http://www.unclebernies.com/
That might be the only thing he is in charge of...after his term at the Fed is done............
  • #597
  • Dec 11, 2007 10:20am Dec 11, 2007 10:20am
Quoting Turtle
That might be the only thing he is in charge of...after his term at the Fed is done............
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  • #598
  • Dec 11, 2007 10:40am Dec 11, 2007 10:40am
Ash,

I agree, they have to keep hope alive. I think we'll get pop in the carry in the US Session.
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #599
  • Dec 11, 2007 10:48am Dec 11, 2007 10:48am
Wassup???

Stocks flat. hehehe... wish I could be a fly to check on the offices in Wall Street right now...

Pencils are being eaten like peanuts today LOL...
  • #600
  • Dec 11, 2007 10:49am Dec 11, 2007 10:49am
Quoting DutchTrader
Ash,

I agree, they have to keep hope alive. I think we'll get pop in the carry in the US Session.
I think so too. I'm ready. I think the market will be going crazy until the minutes are scrutinized.
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