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EUR/USD - GBP/USD -- Clean Price Action(no indicators)

  • #461
  • May 18, 2026 4:08am May 18, 2026 4:08am
I decided to not do my first weekly analysis on Sunday because I had no clear bias, also ordered a decent mic because the current one was producing echo, which should arrive mid week.

Hopefully PA is more clear at the end of the week and I will produce the analysis the coming Sunday, might even do an interactive live-stream on discord, maybe Lennart wanna share important levels corroborating the analysis? Discord is awesome in that sense as it allows multiple people to share screen and voice-chat and live-chat!
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #462
  • May 18, 2026 4:42am May 18, 2026 4:42am
Quoting Riziq-Cap
{quote} This double top looks juicy to target...
17 pips, but only 1/3 of total positions filled

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A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #463
  • May 18, 2026 7:25am May 18, 2026 7:25am
Long again: 1.1638
Invalidation: 1.1625
TP: the double top on 5min 19/20 pips

Due to structure, I see one more push up, hoping for NY 10:30-11:00 macro entry
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #464
  • May 18, 2026 7:37am May 18, 2026 7:37am
Quoting Riziq-Cap
I decided to not do my first weekly analysis on Sunday because I had no clear bias, also ordered a decent mic because the current one was producing echo, which should arrive mid week. Hopefully PA is more clear at the end of the week and I will produce the analysis the coming Sunday, might even do an interactive live-stream on discord, maybe Lennart wanna share important levels corroborating the analysis? Discord is awesome in that sense as it allows multiple people to share screen and voice-chat and live-chat!
I‘m all for it on discord and will keep posting there.It has better features than FF, especially the voice chat.
Although I’m not a big talker
  • #465
  • May 18, 2026 7:46am May 18, 2026 7:46am
EU I‘m interested in roughly 1.1669.
And Gu I have just opened this short at 1.3396… I am not looking for a sniper entry on this one.
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  • #466
  • May 18, 2026 7:49am May 18, 2026 7:49am
Quoting LennartDE
{quote} I‘m all for it on discord and will keep posting there.It has better features than FF, especially the voice chat. Although I’m not a big talker
It will be fun, we can learn the different tools available on Discord and how to seemingly switch between screens while the audience is small, let alone if anyone joins

Just free-flow it, highlight your levels and talk about which level you expect to provide certain reaction, also can talk about the trades you took the previous days - its a topic you master, no need to fill it with empty words.
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #467
  • May 18, 2026 8:37am May 18, 2026 8:37am
Quoting Riziq-Cap
Long again: 1.1638 Invalidation: 1.1625 TP: the double top on 5min 19/20 pips Due to structure, I see one more push up, hoping for NY 10:30-11:00 macro entry
Got in on the dump.

Price closed above equilibrium or the 50% mid point (5min)

Soft SL at the current low (the entry candle) potential 4 pip loss to protect capital, as I see no reason for price to revisit the level unless I am wrong.
(soft SL means alarm and manual close if price returns)
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #468
  • May 18, 2026 11:28am May 18, 2026 11:28am
Quoting Riziq-Cap
{quote} Got in on the dump. Price closed above equilibrium or the 50% mid point (5min) Soft SL at the current low (the entry candle) potential 4 pip loss to protect capital, as I see no reason for price to revisit the level unless I am wrong. (soft SL means alarm and manual close if price returns)
1.5 pip from TP then it retraced, manually closed at the mid range, not sure about the pips - but the liquidity pool at the top is a new target, probably after daily close.
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #469
  • May 18, 2026 12:36pm May 18, 2026 12:36pm
Damnit, are we back to this shit again?

I dont mind them sweeping the liquidity and run it up again, but timing it like this is fucking bullshit!!

Technically it does happen sometime and the reason is to shake out weak hands, which honestly I dont mind to be in current situation, I rather protect my account by being aggressive with my SL then let these conditions hit me with shitty losses - beside the point, if your trade almost reached TP and retraced or is in good profits and you manage to make a loss, you are terrible trader, thats the honest truth!

Done for the day, gonna monitor daily close and post the setup for the week either tomorrow morning after gym or tonight, depends on how price behave - I prefer if the tops are left intact, if they are and price moves down, I have visualized good setups!
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #470
  • May 19, 2026 1:36am May 19, 2026 1:36am
Quoting LennartDE
EU I‘m interested in roughly 1.1669. And Gu I have just opened this short at 1.3396… I am not looking for a sniper entry on this one.{image}
Hope you are watching the GU. May not be ready to dump for now IMO
  • #471
  • May 19, 2026 1:47am May 19, 2026 1:47am
If the price aggressively breaks the 1.34069 structure, I will play a limit buy to retest it
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  • #472
  • May 19, 2026 2:15am May 19, 2026 2:15am
EU:

Not ideal PA for bullish continuation since price did run Monday high AFTER daily close, although nothing remarkable(0.8 pips)
Price also cleared the liquidity pool at the top... which removes an initial low hanging fruit to provide incentive for price to return to.

With that said, I still favor upside weekly order-flow, but its a forced choice rather then an obvious clear choice, for this reason, I wont catch any knifes and enter the market after confirmation.

Messy chart, but I will explain:
- first red dotted line is first low after NY 12am on Monday (important level)
- second red dotted line is Asia low after Sunday pre-market open - this low is very weak on LTF
- right below those two lows, yellow clear line, this is the sweet spot measured from the high to the low on daily, its also were the OB starts (shown in pic #2)
- right below that again, we have an FVG on the daily, within the OB, however at the upper echelon, this aligns with 79% retracement (pic #2)

Personally I dont favor digging this deep (pic #2 levels), because if price does that, the likelihood of reversing early this week is low, most likely late in the week were it turns into trap, if it even reverse at all!!!
I favor swiping the yellow line and rejection and recovery, in that case, once I see acceptance above first low after NY 12 am on Monday (first red dotted line) I will look for setup to buy.

Weekly low is usually set during London on Tuesday, thats 70% probability (obviously high too), while it seems like price is aggressive pushing down to set its low, the incentives for upward momentum was cleared yesterday.

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A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #473
  • May 19, 2026 2:38am May 19, 2026 2:38am
DXY

- swiped April 26th high, rejection
- BOS, but also retested inversion FVG, which means it ran liquidity - acted very sensitive towards that
- however, there is a NWOG, which it ignored, providing some incentives for return
- critical level, if current bounce is a dead cat and it respects the marked 4H FVG it sitting at currently, its good news for EU
- If it not, need more development for further assessments

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A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #474
  • May 19, 2026 2:53am May 19, 2026 2:53am
Quoting Riziq-Cap
EU: Not ideal PA for bullish continuation since price did run Monday high AFTER daily close, although nothing remarkable(0.8 pips) Price also cleared the liquidity pool at the top... which removes an initial low hanging fruit to provide incentive for price to return to. With that said, I still favor upside weekly order-flow, but its a forced choice rather then an obvious clear choice, for this reason, I wont catch any knifes and enter the market after confirmation. Messy chart, but I will explain: - first red dotted line is first low after NY 12am...
EU provided a decent reaction on the first low after NY 12 am - however, there is a double bottom on 1min, if it sweeps that and recover over the current highs, I will fat finger an entry
- hoping for the new 1h candle to actually clear the low, in that case, the setup is clear for me and its safe to use the new low as invalidation for whatever buy

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A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #475
  • May 19, 2026 3:03am May 19, 2026 3:03am
im in
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  • #476
  • May 19, 2026 3:13am May 19, 2026 3:13am
break h1 candle above 1.34180 = Set breakeven
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  • #477
  • May 19, 2026 3:35am May 19, 2026 3:35am
EDIT: triggered as I wrote this

Risky, but trying an entry here:

- 30min, inverted FVG
- invalidation, current London low - 7.5 pips
- TP: open

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A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #478
  • May 19, 2026 3:43am May 19, 2026 3:43am
Quoting Riziq-Cap
EDIT: triggered as I wrote this Risky, but trying an entry here: - 30min, inverted FVG - invalidation, current London low - 7.5 pips - TP: open {image}
Closed, saved SL - minus 5 pips
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #479
  • May 19, 2026 4:00am May 19, 2026 4:00am
New buy if price recovers fully and break the high, will use the breaker as entry and invalidation at the new low.

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A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #480
  • May 19, 2026 4:21am May 19, 2026 4:21am
Everything is lining up for the bottom to be set, its not confirmed yet though.

(The confirmation is as follows: EU breaks the high, GU keeps its low intact and DXY breaks its low)

SMT Divergence:
- GU kept its low intact
- EU broke the low (weak low, which is good)
-- This indicate that a potential low is set, when EU breaks a low and GU keeps its low intact, a divergence happens between these 2 important pairs, its an indication that a potential low is set.
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GU
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EU

DXY:
- when this current low is broken (5min) I will assume it have topped, which translates to EU bottomed

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DXY
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
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