It never gets easier, you just get better
Blue's Clues to Trading: Timing Levels and Behaviour of Price
- #862
- Apr 8, 2026 11:54pm Apr 8, 2026 11:54pm
- Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Trader | 3,209 Posts
Thanks for video Shabs...
Pay attention to the Open...Shab knows ive tried to imply this to others
Perhaps more important is the "Dotted Blue Line" mmm no...The Equity Open is extremely
important in its own right. They both are...
What does the Open Represent...Too much for me to write here...
These lines the GREEN OPEN and the DOTTED BLUE are "PSYCHOLOGICAL BOUNDARIES OF INSTITUTIONAL FAIR VALUE"
Big Money starts its clock at 930 (green line) its a BENCHMARK... Below Bearish Above Bullish.
Why does Price Move up at the dotted Blue Line ? Because SIMPLY its CHEAP relative to VALUE....
OK thats all for tonight bedtime ...Will try to keeps things a little shorter and less charts per post.
One last Hint on this chart....Green Open line and IB showing a Balanced Auction,,,,Dotted Blue though is
showing Monthly IMBALANCE
These "HIDDEN" support and resistance lines (dotted blue) Simply 1000% Can Not be seen on a Naked Candle Stick chart,,
Another hint...you need VOLUME data to see it and generate this line...
And where can one put on ASYMETRICAL risk>>>EDGE OF VALUE (dotted blue line)
Ok thats all ...
Cheers
Blue
Pay attention to the Open...Shab knows ive tried to imply this to others
Perhaps more important is the "Dotted Blue Line" mmm no...The Equity Open is extremely
important in its own right. They both are...
What does the Open Represent...Too much for me to write here...
These lines the GREEN OPEN and the DOTTED BLUE are "PSYCHOLOGICAL BOUNDARIES OF INSTITUTIONAL FAIR VALUE"
Big Money starts its clock at 930 (green line) its a BENCHMARK... Below Bearish Above Bullish.
Why does Price Move up at the dotted Blue Line ? Because SIMPLY its CHEAP relative to VALUE....
OK thats all for tonight bedtime
...Will try to keeps things a little shorter and less charts per post.One last Hint on this chart....Green Open line and IB showing a Balanced Auction,,,,Dotted Blue though is
showing Monthly IMBALANCE
These "HIDDEN" support and resistance lines (dotted blue) Simply 1000% Can Not be seen on a Naked Candle Stick chart,,
Another hint...you need VOLUME data to see it and generate this line...
And where can one put on ASYMETRICAL risk>>>EDGE OF VALUE
(dotted blue line)Ok thats all ...
Cheers
Blue
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
- #863
- Apr 9, 2026 9:53am Apr 9, 2026 9:53am
- Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Trader | 3,209 Posts
,,,,Dotted Blue though is showing Monthly IMBALANCE
where can one put on ASYMETRICAL risk>>>EDGE OF VALUE
(dotted blue line) 
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
- #865
- Apr 12, 2026 7:55pm Apr 12, 2026 7:55pm
- Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Trader | 3,209 Posts
Hi Mr Blue. I study a lot about volume and market profile and i've read all your thread and it's pretty good. thanks for sharing! I will ask you some questions later but you inspire me. Today i'm stuck to take a trade because of the questions : The price will BO or the price will reverse? I think the answer is in the topics but it's pretty hard to configure all your vwap stuff in sierra chart. For example what's your setting for the sd+1 of vwap : 1 or 0.25 ??? Thanks again. And btw can't find the answer from your last post, maybe the dotted blue...
My VWAP is always set to +1 SD either side
I don't really use further deviations...but they are all +1 +2 etc. always 1 deviation increments.The dotted Blue is a VAH of multi week composite volume profile
Cheers !
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
- #868
- Apr 13, 2026 11:59am Apr 13, 2026 11:59am
- Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Trader | 3,209 Posts
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
- #869
- Apr 14, 2026 11:11am Apr 14, 2026 11:11am
The highest probability time for these IB breakouts is 1030am -1130am..This is the Golden Window.
And the dumb who i am try to short this because i’ve seen the monthly vpoc + monthly sd+2
But if i execute what you say : dont short if prior VA is below today’s open especially if yesterday was a big trend day... i would just go long at the open but no... im waiting the 6970 to short
-100$ 4 MES contracts 5 points each.
- #870
- Apr 14, 2026 6:11pm Apr 14, 2026 6:11pm
- Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Trader | 3,209 Posts
{quote} Read and read the topic... {image} And the dumb who i am try to short this because i’ve seen the monthly vpoc + monthly sd+2 But if i execute what you say : dont short if prior VA is below today’s open especially if yesterday was a big trend day... i would just go long at the open but no... im waiting the 6970 to short
20% of days ..Bar 1 (5m chart) will be either the low or high of the day..
Today ,,,
Where did the ES open in relation to last week's close ?
Friday's close ?
Where did price open today in relation to last week's high ?
Where did price open today in relation to yesterday's close?...
Where did price open today in relation to yesterday's HOD ?....
At the opening or just before ask yourself .
Where is price in relation to the Monthly Weekly and daily VWAP and deviations?
Balance or Imbalance...
Monday's set the Opening range of the week.
Tuesday's generally expand that range.
When you run thru these questions at premarket/ open.. there is zero reason to think short... The only question is how to get long....
.the same goes with Vol Profile....longer term profiles etc..where is price in relation to the VAH VAL and POC ???
Every single one of these indicated premarket that the market is imbalanced to the long side... Meaning price is in breakout searching for fair value to the upside..simple as that.
When one steps back and frames out the market into first balance vs imbalance..then split those same questions across the daily closes the weekly close...across VWAPS and VPs...
Aligning oneself with the probabilistic behaviour of the market is a huge key to learn...
I still have a checklist I look at always ..asking myself all of these questions plus more before the day starts .... All days are not clear like today was.. many days are much more difficult to see the big picture... But hey that's trading....every day is different.
Cheers
Blue
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
- #871
- Apr 15, 2026 8:59am Apr 15, 2026 8:59am
- Joined Sep 2006 | Status: Trader | 10,704 Posts
Fun today 
every Saint has a past. Every Sinner has a Future
- #872
- Apr 15, 2026 10:49am Apr 15, 2026 10:49am
- Joined Sep 2006 | Status: Trader | 10,704 Posts
day as viewed by dinosaur me
every Saint has a past. Every Sinner has a Future
- #874
- Apr 17, 2026 9:45am Apr 17, 2026 9:45am
- Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Trader | 3,209 Posts
Understanding and Identifying when a market is searching for FAIR VALUE whilst in Price Discovery.
Only 2 market conditions. Balance and Imbalance. When Imbalanced your looking for areas to join the Discovery.
The market tends to persist in its current condition...in other words Trade What you See....Not what you think..
Ohhh its too high I cant buy more...or its too low and I cant sell...
When the market opens above the Previous Day’s High (PDH) and Previous Day’s Close (PDC), it is signaling a significant shift in value.
In Auction Market Theory terms, the market is "out of balance," and the discovery process is aggressively seeking higher prices.
By opening ABOVE the previous value area and range, the market is essentially saying that yesterday's prices are no longer valid.
Only 2 market conditions. Balance and Imbalance. When Imbalanced your looking for areas to join the Discovery.
The market tends to persist in its current condition...in other words Trade What you See....Not what you think..
Ohhh its too high I cant buy more...or its too low and I cant sell...
When the market opens above the Previous Day’s High (PDH) and Previous Day’s Close (PDC), it is signaling a significant shift in value.
In Auction Market Theory terms, the market is "out of balance," and the discovery process is aggressively seeking higher prices.
By opening ABOVE the previous value area and range, the market is essentially saying that yesterday's prices are no longer valid.
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
- #875
- Apr 17, 2026 10:12am Apr 17, 2026 10:12am
Ohhh its too high I cant buy more...or its too low and I cant sell...
Omg it's seems so easy when you speaks.
I must make some rigid rules because i'm a gambler in the market even if i :
View all the AL brook's video with taking notes
All the books: market in profile, mind over market, steidlmayer on markets, a six part study guide to market profile with taking notes.
Take the 1 month career training program from axia futures...
But no i want to short this market especially because yesterday was a balance day...
Thanks for the advice sir, one day i will be good but not today...
- #876
- Apr 17, 2026 10:15am Apr 17, 2026 10:15am
- Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Trader | 3,209 Posts
Hello Blue! Do you consider the level of the weekly close SD+2 at 09h29m59s at 7163.25pts on the chart when you refer to previous point or you speak about the weekly vwap that close last friday? {image}
Normally I don't pay much attention to SD2 levels. Unless the Weekly is aligning with say the daily or session... But I don't have any rules such as if this then that pertaining to SD+2s .. it's sort of like say an RSI staying overbought and traders think price might flip whereas price can simply stay overbought ... Same way I view +2SD ... Yes most volume is within that boundary....but price can certainly stay outside of that far far longer than a trader can stay liquid...
Hope I understood your Q. Correctly
Cheers
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
- #877
- Apr 17, 2026 10:31am Apr 17, 2026 10:31am
{quote} Hi Forethan Normally I don't pay much attention to SD2 levels. Unless the Weekly is aligning with say the daily or session... But I don't have any rules such as if this then that pertaining to SD+2s .. it's sort of like say an RSI staying overbought and traders think price might flip whereas price can simply stay overbought ... Same way I view +2SD ... Yes most volume is within that boundary....but price can certainly stay outside of that far far longer than a trader can stay liquid... Hope I understood your Q. Correctly
In fact the questions is when you say that you look at the close of the vwap
The prior week close vwap because you said that you use it at least monday and tuesday of the new week.
So i want to know for the ES if you take the close for the weekly vwap : friday at 16h15 ET
if you take the close for the daily vwap : each day at 16h15 ET or at 23h59m59s or the tomorrow at 09h29h59?(globex)
And for the monthly vwap, last day of the month at 16h15 ET or 23h59m59s ???
- #879
- Apr 17, 2026 10:54am Apr 17, 2026 10:54am
- Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Trader | 3,209 Posts
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
- #880
- Apr 17, 2026 11:03am Apr 17, 2026 11:03am
- Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Trader | 3,209 Posts
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market