Blue's Clues to Trading: Timing Levels and Behaviour of Price | Page 44 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Similar Threads

Price behaviour inside the range bar indi 1 reply

Price Behaviour Trading - Gossip and Banters 155 replies

gmt timings of ibfx & fxpro 1 reply

Forex Movement Timings Question? 1 reply

newbie questions - what are broker timings? 1 reply

Attachments: Blue's Clues to Trading: Timing Levels and Behaviour of Price
Exit Attachments

Blue's Clues to Trading: Timing Levels and Behaviour of Price

  • #861
  • Apr 7, 2026 3:08pm Apr 7, 2026 3:08pm
Inserted Video
It never gets easier, you just get better
  • #862
  • Apr 8, 2026 9:54pm Apr 8, 2026 9:54pm
Thanks for video Shabs...

Pay attention to the Open...Shab knows ive tried to imply this to others

Perhaps more important is the "Dotted Blue Line" mmm no...The Equity Open is extremely
important in its own right. They both are...

What does the Open Represent...Too much for me to write here...
These lines the GREEN OPEN and the DOTTED BLUE are "PSYCHOLOGICAL BOUNDARIES OF INSTITUTIONAL FAIR VALUE"

Big Money starts its clock at 930 (green line) its a BENCHMARK... Below Bearish Above Bullish.

Why does Price Move up at the dotted Blue Line ? Because SIMPLY its CHEAP relative to VALUE....

OK thats all for tonight bedtime ...Will try to keeps things a little shorter and less charts per post.

One last Hint on this chart....Green Open line and IB showing a Balanced Auction,,,,Dotted Blue though is
showing Monthly IMBALANCE

These "HIDDEN" support and resistance lines (dotted blue) Simply 1000% Can Not be seen on a Naked Candle Stick chart,,
Another hint...you need VOLUME data to see it and generate this line...

And where can one put on ASYMETRICAL risk>>>EDGE OF VALUE (dotted blue line)

Ok thats all ...

Cheers
Blue

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ES1!_2026-04-08_21-30-43_3b564.png Size: 137 KB
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
  • #863
  • Apr 9, 2026 7:53am Apr 9, 2026 7:53am
Quoting bluesteele
,,,,Dotted Blue though is showing Monthly IMBALANCE These "HIDDEN" support and resistance lines (dotted blue) Simply 1000% Can Not be seen on a Naked Candle Stick chart,, Another hint...you need VOLUME data to see it and generate this line... And where can one put on ASYMETRICAL risk>>>EDGE OF VALUE (dotted blue line) Ok thats all ... Cheers Blue {image}
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ES1!_2026-04-08_21-30-43_3b564.png Size: 137 KB

where can one put on ASYMETRICAL risk>>>EDGE OF VALUE (dotted blue line)

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ES1!_2026-04-09_07-38-09_34b05.png Size: 111 KB
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
  • #864
  • Apr 12, 2026 6:54am Apr 12, 2026 6:54am
Hi Mr Blue.

I study a lot about volume and market profile and i've read all your thread and it's pretty good.

thanks for sharing!

I will ask you some questions later but you inspire me.
Today i'm stuck to take a trade because of the questions :

The price will BO or the price will reverse?

I think the answer is in the topics but it's pretty hard to configure all your vwap stuff in sierra chart.

For example what's your setting for the sd+1 of vwap : 1 or 0.25 ???

Thanks again.

And btw can't find the answer from your last post, maybe the dotted blue line is one edge of the prior monthly VP
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 101 KB
  • #865
  • Apr 12, 2026 5:55pm Apr 12, 2026 5:55pm
Quoting Forethan
Hi Mr Blue. I study a lot about volume and market profile and i've read all your thread and it's pretty good. thanks for sharing! I will ask you some questions later but you inspire me. Today i'm stuck to take a trade because of the questions : The price will BO or the price will reverse? I think the answer is in the topics but it's pretty hard to configure all your vwap stuff in sierra chart. For example what's your setting for the sd+1 of vwap : 1 or 0.25 ??? Thanks again. And btw can't find the answer from your last post, maybe the dotted blue...
Hi Forethan

My VWAP is always set to +1 SD either side I don't really use further deviations...but they are all +1 +2 etc. always 1 deviation increments.

The dotted Blue is a VAH of multi week composite volume profile

Cheers !
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
  • #866
  • Apr 13, 2026 2:11am Apr 13, 2026 2:11am
Ok i got it.
Thanks
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 84 KB
  • #867
  • Apr 13, 2026 6:13am Apr 13, 2026 6:13am
First time that i elongate an ib...
this topics is very good
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_20260413_151145_TradingView.jpg Size: 79 KB
  • #868
  • Apr 13, 2026 9:59am Apr 13, 2026 9:59am
Quoting Forethan
First time that i elongate an ib... this topics is very good{image}
IB is extremely powerful ..it is when the money flows into the market and so much is dictated from those levels not only the day of,,,, but forward into the week...

It my AMT foundation that all is derived from.
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
  • #869
  • Apr 14, 2026 9:11am Apr 14, 2026 9:11am
Quote
The highest probability time for these IB breakouts is 1030am -1130am..This is the Golden Window.
Read and read the topic...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_20260414_180428_TradingView.jpg Size: 74 KB


And the dumb who i am try to short this because i’ve seen the monthly vpoc + monthly sd+2

But if i execute what you say : dont short if prior VA is below today’s open especially if yesterday was a big trend day... i would just go long at the open but no... im waiting the 6970 to short -100$ 4 MES contracts 5 points each.
  • #870
  • Apr 14, 2026 4:11pm Apr 14, 2026 4:11pm
Quoting Forethan
{quote} Read and read the topic... {image} And the dumb who i am try to short this because i’ve seen the monthly vpoc + monthly sd+2 But if i execute what you say : dont short if prior VA is below today’s open especially if yesterday was a big trend day... i would just go long at the open but no... im waiting the 6970 to short -100$ 4 MES contracts 5 points each.
Here's some ideas concepts thoughts on getting in front of a moving train.... And how they might help one identify a day that the train is about to start running !!!

20% of days ..Bar 1 (5m chart) will be either the low or high of the day..

Today ,,,

Where did the ES open in relation to last week's close ?

Friday's close ?

Where did price open today in relation to last week's high ?

Where did price open today in relation to yesterday's close?...

Where did price open today in relation to yesterday's HOD ?....

At the opening or just before ask yourself .
Where is price in relation to the Monthly Weekly and daily VWAP and deviations?

Balance or Imbalance...

Monday's set the Opening range of the week.
Tuesday's generally expand that range.

When you run thru these questions at premarket/ open.. there is zero reason to think short... The only question is how to get long....
.the same goes with Vol Profile....longer term profiles etc..where is price in relation to the VAH VAL and POC ???

Every single one of these indicated premarket that the market is imbalanced to the long side... Meaning price is in breakout searching for fair value to the upside..simple as that.

When one steps back and frames out the market into first balance vs imbalance..then split those same questions across the daily closes the weekly close...across VWAPS and VPs...

Aligning oneself with the probabilistic behaviour of the market is a huge key to learn...

I still have a checklist I look at always ..asking myself all of these questions plus more before the day starts .... All days are not clear like today was.. many days are much more difficult to see the big picture... But hey that's trading....every day is different.

Cheers
Blue
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
  • #871
  • Apr 15, 2026 6:59am Apr 15, 2026 6:59am
Fun today
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 117 KB
every Saint has a past. Every Sinner has a Future
  • #872
  • Apr 15, 2026 8:49am Apr 15, 2026 8:49am
day as viewed by dinosaur me
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 134 KB
every Saint has a past. Every Sinner has a Future
  • #873
  • Apr 17, 2026 7:43am Apr 17, 2026 7:43am
Hello Blue!

Do you consider the level of the weekly close SD+2 at 09h29m59s at 7163.25pts on the chart when you refer to previous point or you speak about the weekly vwap that close last friday?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 232 KB
  • #874
  • Apr 17, 2026 7:45am Apr 17, 2026 7:45am
Understanding and Identifying when a market is searching for FAIR VALUE whilst in Price Discovery.
Only 2 market conditions. Balance and Imbalance. When Imbalanced your looking for areas to join the Discovery.
The market tends to persist in its current condition...in other words Trade What you See....Not what you think..
Ohhh its too high I cant buy more...or its too low and I cant sell...

When the market opens above the Previous Day’s High (PDH) and Previous Day’s Close (PDC), it is signaling a significant shift in value.
In Auction Market Theory terms, the market is "out of balance," and the discovery process is aggressively seeking higher prices.

By opening ABOVE the previous value area and range, the market is essentially saying that yesterday's prices are no longer valid.


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ES1!_2026-04-17_07-26-46_52b9e.png Size: 95 KB

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ES1!_2026-04-17_07-28-47_30f8c.png Size: 99 KB

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ES1!_2026-04-17_07-30-11_87556.png Size: 92 KB

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ES1!_2026-04-17_07-31-22_97c8e.png Size: 90 KB

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ES1!_2026-04-17_07-32-30_8b37d.png Size: 98 KB
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
  • #875
  • Apr 17, 2026 8:12am Apr 17, 2026 8:12am
Quoting bluesteele
Ohhh its too high I cant buy more...or its too low and I cant sell...
That's exactly what my brain saying to me today

Omg it's seems so easy when you speaks.
I must make some rigid rules because i'm a gambler in the market even if i :

View all the AL brook's video with taking notes
All the books: market in profile, mind over market, steidlmayer on markets, a six part study guide to market profile with taking notes.
Take the 1 month career training program from axia futures...

But no i want to short this market especially because yesterday was a balance day...

Thanks for the advice sir, one day i will be good but not today...
  • #876
  • Apr 17, 2026 8:15am Apr 17, 2026 8:15am
Quoting Forethan
Hello Blue! Do you consider the level of the weekly close SD+2 at 09h29m59s at 7163.25pts on the chart when you refer to previous point or you speak about the weekly vwap that close last friday? {image}
Hi Forethan
Normally I don't pay much attention to SD2 levels. Unless the Weekly is aligning with say the daily or session... But I don't have any rules such as if this then that pertaining to SD+2s .. it's sort of like say an RSI staying overbought and traders think price might flip whereas price can simply stay overbought ... Same way I view +2SD ... Yes most volume is within that boundary....but price can certainly stay outside of that far far longer than a trader can stay liquid...

Hope I understood your Q. Correctly

Cheers
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
  • #877
  • Apr 17, 2026 8:31am Apr 17, 2026 8:31am
Quoting bluesteele
{quote} Hi Forethan Normally I don't pay much attention to SD2 levels. Unless the Weekly is aligning with say the daily or session... But I don't have any rules such as if this then that pertaining to SD+2s .. it's sort of like say an RSI staying overbought and traders think price might flip whereas price can simply stay overbought ... Same way I view +2SD ... Yes most volume is within that boundary....but price can certainly stay outside of that far far longer than a trader can stay liquid... Hope I understood your Q. Correctly Cheers
Not exactly but doesn't matter i will be more focus about the close and open of the price vwap...

In fact the questions is when you say that you look at the close of the vwap
The prior week close vwap because you said that you use it at least monday and tuesday of the new week.

So i want to know for the ES if you take the close for the weekly vwap : friday at 16h15 ET
if you take the close for the daily vwap : each day at 16h15 ET or at 23h59m59s or the tomorrow at 09h29h59?(globex)
And for the monthly vwap, last day of the month at 16h15 ET or 23h59m59s ???
  • #878
  • Apr 17, 2026 8:34am Apr 17, 2026 8:34am
You would take this trade, edge of the HVN and bounce on the daily vwap SD+1 ???

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 57 KB
  • #879
  • Apr 17, 2026 8:54am Apr 17, 2026 8:54am
Quoting Forethan
{quote} Not exactly but doesn't matter i will be more focus about the close and open of the price vwap... In fact the questions is when you say that you look at the close of the vwap The prior week close vwap because you said that you use it at least monday and tuesday of the new week. So i want to know for the ES if you take the close for the weekly vwap : friday at 16h15 ET if you take the close for the daily vwap : each day at 16h15 ET or at 23h59m59s or the tomorrow at 09h29h59?(globex) And for the monthly vwap, last day of the month at 16h15...
Yes you are correct I always carry over the monthly vwap quite often the first two weeks of the next month and I will carry over the weekly vwap. normally at least Monday Tuesday sometimes even to Wednesday..

And as well the previous days New York v wop I will quite often run that into the next day's New York session..

Everything is set for the end of New York .. so yes 4:15.. not midnight
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
  • #880
  • Apr 17, 2026 9:03am Apr 17, 2026 9:03am
Quoting Forethan
You would take this trade, edge of the HVN and bounce on the daily vwap SD+1 ??? {image}
The bounce on The daily 1sd... Looks like a good setup to me from what I can see.. especially in the context that price has spent a fair amount of time out of balance outside of the one SD.. the first touch that first return to the 1sd is generally always the strongest.
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
9 traders viewing now, 2 are registered:
,
bluesteele