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The Swamp

  • #127,201
  • Apr 3, 2026 12:31pm Apr 3, 2026 12:31pm
Quoting gatorinla
eu 1519 is the gate keeper. the gu may be a better short under 3186.. {image}
the eu is trying to make the move on 1519.
kiwi weaker.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,202
  • Apr 3, 2026 12:36pm Apr 3, 2026 12:36pm
I had the eg as bullish,, But not if it cant take 8734 R.. it may want to retrace toward 8639 support. That may be why the gu is not falling and eu is.
The momentum on eg looks bullish. The R at 8734 is in the way. If it shows weakness at 8734 area it may be worth the price for some retrace.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,203
  • Apr 3, 2026 2:32pm Apr 3, 2026 2:32pm
Quoting gatorinla
I had the eg as bullish,, But not if it cant take 8734 R.. it may want to retrace toward 8639 support. That may be why the gu is not falling and eu is. The momentum on eg looks bullish. The R at 8734 is in the way. If it shows weakness at 8734 area it may be worth the price for some retrace. {image}
at the last h.. it dropped. it had decent r/r earlier
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,204
  • Apr 3, 2026 6:10pm Apr 3, 2026 6:10pm
Going sideways on lower tf
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #127,205
  • Apr 3, 2026 7:48pm Apr 3, 2026 7:48pm
Quoting johncen
Going sideways on lower tf {image}
yes, it was expected on the quarter often. April 1 through 3. Its likely going to move now.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,206
  • Apr 3, 2026 9:08pm Apr 3, 2026 9:08pm
Quoting gatorinla
gu 3186 aud .6848 chf .8038. usdx...100.181 testing now A stronger usd againt stronger oil, cripples oil buying power on a b/o.. In other words it hurts these crosses more (The countries). It can cause a long weekend panic. {image} {image} {image} {image}
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The usdx closed under 99.94. It may open above. Oil may gap up large. Making the usd gap up large. That is bad news for oil importers
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,207
  • Edited Apr 4, 2026 2:07am Apr 3, 2026 9:16pm | Edited Apr 4, 2026 2:07am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} yes, it was expected on the quarter often. April 1 through 3. Its likely going to move now.
hope to see a fake break above before down
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #127,208
  • Apr 4, 2026 1:54am Apr 4, 2026 1:54am
Quoting gatorinla
I may be wrong.... Take a screen shot and ask your ai. Oil wise still looks bullish to me. on the week chart. The volume atm is higher than the spike a month ago. But beware the smaller times are showing bear divergence.. My forex trades for a stronger usd are based on oil. pa has broken out a bullish wedge {image} {image}
Why are you asking artificial intelligence? It just says nonsense anyway.
lol.
  • #127,209
  • Apr 4, 2026 9:14am Apr 4, 2026 9:14am
Quoting tiborf71
{quote} Why are you asking artificial intelligence? It just says nonsense anyway. lol.
It can say nonsense. Train it to say what the analysis says. Nothin is fact here. Let it find some statistical edge. That gets repeated more than not.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,210
  • Apr 4, 2026 10:54am Apr 4, 2026 10:54am
Hi Gatorinla, how are you? I've been following your posts and I'm really impressed. I want to learn trading from you. Could you please help me? I have a great interest in this and I'm very eager to learn.
  • #127,211
  • Apr 4, 2026 12:48pm Apr 4, 2026 12:48pm
I got the usdx close slightly on the bear side, the others versus usd week close. A break needs to sustain. A 4h and higher best. The nzd closed a week below 5703. I think it has an uphill battle with oil kicking it in the nuts.
gbp bull side of 3186, break out below 3186.
aud bull side, bear break out below 6848

eur slightly bear side of 1519, mixed. breakout below 1488.
nzd bear side of .5703. bearish break out below 5703

jpy bull for usd side 159.09, bullish above 159.09
chf bear side for usd .8037 Mixed signal, bullish above 8037
usd cad bear side for usd. 3954 mixed signal, bullish above 3954
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,212
  • Apr 4, 2026 4:19pm Apr 4, 2026 4:19pm
I think WTI oil broke out to the North.

Quoting gatorinla
I think WTI oil broke out to the North. {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,213
  • Apr 4, 2026 4:52pm Apr 4, 2026 4:52pm
I dont see anything here that leads me to think oil will get much cheaper. I think its going up.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,214
  • Apr 4, 2026 5:11pm Apr 4, 2026 5:11pm
Quoting gatorinla
I dont see anything here that leads me to think oil will get much cheaper. I think its going up.
today, but unconfirmed.
https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east...hormuz/3891771
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #127,215
  • Apr 4, 2026 5:14pm Apr 4, 2026 5:14pm
Quoting gatorinla
I dont see anything here that leads me to think oil will get much cheaper. I think its going up.
something brewing, oil will be up.
https://www.reuters.com/world/russia...rt-2026-04-04/
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #127,216
  • Apr 4, 2026 6:39pm Apr 4, 2026 6:39pm
A hell off a trend.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,217
  • Apr 4, 2026 6:45pm Apr 4, 2026 6:45pm
Quoting gatorinla
A hell off a trend. {image}
A hellof a trend with a breakdown in the lower trendline. CHF a safe haven and the NZD getting another oil kick in the balls after in with a 45 year down trend.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,218
  • Apr 4, 2026 7:58pm Apr 4, 2026 7:58pm
Last month it was -92K. Revised its much worse at -133k. Monday points to a blood equity bath. Digging into it deeper
I talked about this last month and the 10 weeks before bad numbers come. The next one will be worse. I will summarize why.. Mostly the war numbers are not here yet.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,219
  • Apr 4, 2026 8:53pm Apr 4, 2026 8:53pm
Quoting gatorinla
Last month it was -92K. Revised its much worse at -133k. Monday points to a blood equity bath. Digging into it deeper I talked about this last month and the 10 weeks before bad numbers come. The next one will be worse. I will summarize why.. Mostly the war numbers are not here yet. {image} {image}
If should be volatile either direction. The headline was good. The revision sucked. That headline number includes a 40k + in a strike. So its skewed. Its like a sell bounce if any day/week. Sustained below these levels is likely bearish. I still need to add one more if warranted.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,220
  • Apr 4, 2026 9:05pm Apr 4, 2026 9:05pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If should be volatile either direction. The headline was good. The revision sucked. That headline number includes a 40k + in a strike. So its skewed. Its like a sell bounce if any day/week. Sustained below these levels is likely bearish. I still need to add one more if warranted. {image} {image} {image} {image}
The Russel looks stronger then the others until under that blue line. it may be the one to fall best because its at R
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