Any Symbol

The kings of forex - is this a new pattern?

Ive noticed something lately on the highs and lows of what looks to be Kings or Queens sitting on there thrones - check it out in the squares, dont they look like power money coming in? heres a quick example of what i see across multiple crosses, happening both bullish and bearish in similar ways

JXY -

H4 rolled over as expected and broke the channel - so the usual retest scenario but will it throne out and stomp (retest and continuation from the channel) - what i see in crosses is NZD AUD CHF have not broken the TL so risk is still in play - those last spikes in some jpy crosses before the previous big fall is worrying - waiting

NZDUSD - on alert for sell 36 hours until FOMC

XAUUSD - alert for sells here to, trying a new box technique - idea is to zoom through the TFs until it narrows in, not really anything, core wave is building or built?

XAUUSD - alert went off see if it sets up for me some kind of entry formation around this zone - lower TF 1m 5m 15m patterns - could still break high and still meet my criteria but if it blows out the rsi divergence setup is over for me - dont have as strong a bias on gold as i do currencies

XAUUSD - 15m and 1m some things when im looking for entries - at 1st projection- manual finding TL's of the highs to see possible stopping places, if TL gets taken but a patterns in and divergence in that might be ok

XAUUSD - Channel 1h, divergence rolling into 5m, ok close in 4h, D1 across all USD i was thinking i cant see a hammer or a engulf close tomorrow, could still happen

XAU -5m TL break sign of weakness - the time for something to form, more waves, until fomc 15 hours

XAU - tried a entry just earlier but stopped out - not playing around with the gold especially around FOMC back in BE -

Stopped out - was a good spot to play the FOMC i must say - the other place i entered little 1m A - thinking USD was turning on the crosses but FOMC was fairly muted, gold momentum diddnt budge much - had a good chance to get the gold with that scenario - 1h is still diverging but no big movers mid term to back it maybe trump or wars but that is to much guessing - BOE and ECB next week

I had a look into some earlier PA on gold and spotted something - if u flip the chart upside down this move is reflected - the right way is clean - the reversed version is messy but structure is similar - if u were watching it while time was reversing the move will play out backwards

chart 1 is the right way chart 2 is reversed

ying an yang

what do u think?

DXY - my version looks like it may roll over - forming its last wave - opportunity on many crosses if it happens - see a few kingsmans patterns sitting

AXY - AUDJPY - Seeing a correlation here with AUD and JPY since July 2024 the last "intervention" My index AXY and AUDJPY have been moving in sync - the index was created using USD NZD CAD GBP EUR CHF JPY with equal weights, if i made JPYs weight lighter and even took it out completely PA stayed similar so that suggest something else is happening here - AXY has almost identical code as the others and how it builds the chart so if its getting data from all the other currencies the same way that should rule out a code related issue

Apart from why its in sync which could be many reasons, will AUDJPY correlate AUD's direction or is it the other way around

EURCHF - Forming in the shadows while everybody is focused on other things - expecting 1 more down and for it to setup nice and calm for buy entry

GBP/JPY Market Analysis: Macro + Structure

Hi everyone! I've recently joined the Forex Factory forum and I’d like to share my analysis and trading idea for the GBPJPY pair with you all. My process always starts with a Macro analysis, followed by a statistical market structure analysis to identify the highest-probability assets. I’d love to hear your thoughts on this approach! What do you think?




1. The Macro Context (The "Why")

Hi traders! Before looking at the candles, let's look at the money.
My fundamental scoring table is giving us a clear signal: we have a -2 differential, pointing toward a Bearish (Moderate) bias that we simply can't ignore.

Key Factor Analysis:

Current Rates: Explanation: BOE at 3.75% is attractive and on par with the Fed, while BOJ remains low at 0.75% despite recent hikes. Score GBP: +1 | Score JPY: -1

Economic Regime: Explanation: Both economies show signs of expansion/Goldilocks conditions, though JPY benefits more from a classic safe-haven status. Score GBP: +1 | Score JPY: +1

Rate Expectations: Explanation: BOE is seen as dovish with pressures for further cuts; conversely, BOJ is viewed as hawkish with potential for further hikes. Score GBP: -1 | Score JPY: +1

Risk Sentiment: Explanation: Current risk-off regime leaves GBP semi-neutral but significantly benefits the JPY as a safe haven. Score GBP: 0 | Score JPY: +1

COT Score: Explanation: GBP shows bearish construction with negative momentum; JPY is rebuilding long positions with strong positive momentum. Score GBP: -1 | Score JPY: +1

Currency Score Summary: Total Score GBP: +1 (Neutral/Weak) Total Score JPY: +3 (Strong)

Synthesis: GBP (Weak, Score +1): Under pressure with high inflation (3.57%) and weak growth (1.3%); COT positioning remains negative. JPY (Strong, Score +3): Supported by a hawkish BOJ stance post-rate hike and a favourable risk-off market environment.

Conclusion: Given this fundamental backdrop, we are strictly looking for Short setups. Going against this bias would be statistical suicide.

2. The Technical Setup (The "Where")

Timeframe: 4H | Pair: GBP/JPY

The SMC Market Structure + Price Zones [MaB] indicator has confirmed our statistical edge.
Here’s the probabilistic data from the dashboard:

Continuation Rate (70.9%): We are currently above the 60% threshold.
This confirms a healthy directional trend where continuation has a much higher probability than a reversal.

Streak Analysis (1): We are currently on impulse number 1.
Expected Streak: 2 (Percentile: 54.3%)
Remaining Moves: 1. This indicates a young trend. The statistical range suggests a typical duration of 1-3 impulses.

Retest & Reaction:
Retest Prob (68.5%): The probability of the price returning to test the zone after a BOS.
BOS/Ret Rate (54.3%): Once inside the zone, this is the probability of a positive reaction leading to a new BOS.

Extension & Projection:
Extension Range: The expected extension for this single leg is between 1.83x and 3.52x (Expected: 2.13x).
Compound Extension (2.13x): This is the total projected move based on the remaining expected impulses.
By multiplying the current zone height by this factor, we find our ultimate target.

3. Execution Plan on Chart

Moving over to the charts, we are using these statistics to define our operational levels:

Entry and Stop Loss: We are placing a limit entry within the Supply Zone 4H (Red Band).
The stop loss is tucked a few pips outside the zone to protect against structural invalidation.

Statistical Take Profit: Instead of an arbitrary target, we are leveraging the Compound Extension.
We project the target at 2.13x relative to the pullback zone height.
This allows us to capture the full extension projected by the algorithm.

Trade Parameters:
Entry Price: 212.163
Stop Loss: 213.081
Take Profit: 201.735

Disclaimer: This analysis is based on a proprietary algorithm and is shared exclusively for educational and didactic purposes. It does not constitute financial advice or investment solicitation in any way. Trading involves significant risk.

i dont know what all this analising is suppose to do as its impossible to predict the market specialy gbp jpy you have more luck flipping a coin or asking the neighbors cat to miauw 1x for buy and 2x for sell

anyway my entry is 215
take profit is at 156

what's a stop loss ????? that sounds like something quiters use if you cant take a loss dont gamble

also im wayyyyyyyy overleveraged just to make it interseting