M1 Countertrend Scalping Strategy

is daytrading a business?

well, after five years, only 50% of entrepreneurs are making a profit.

Among professional poker players, the figure is roughly 10%.

And among day traders, it's around 1%.

Everyone has to decide for themselves how they view this ;-)

Google AI Question and Reply

According to a summary from international Financial Forex Brokers, what is the 2025 statistical analysis of over 90-day Retail Traders?

Information specific to a summary from a company named "international Financial Forex Brokers" is not available in the search results.
However, broader 2025 data on retail traders indicates that they had one of their best years ever, with record inflows into stocks and ETFs, and a significant increase in trading volume overall.

Key Insights

1. Overall Performance: Retail traders had one of their "best years ever" in 2025, with strong performance in equities and specific asset classes like AI stocks and gold.
2. Trading Volume: Retail trading accounted for 20-25% of total U.S. market activity in 2025, a record high that touched 35% in April. Total individual investor stock purchases were a record $6.6 trillion in the first half of the year.
3. Behavioral Trends:
   1. "Buy-the-dip" mentality: A key trend was aggressive buying during market sell-offs, which proved successful and helped push markets to new highs.
   2. Asset Preference: Retail investors increasingly preferred Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) and also crowded into specific AI stocks like Nvidia and Palantir.
   3. Informed Trading: Some analysts noted that retail investors were making more informed trades and that "meme frenzies" were shorter and less frequent.

4. Success Rate Folklore: The widely circulated "90/90/90 rule" (90% of traders lose 90% of their money in the first 90 days) is considered trading folklore and lacks a verifiable source or study, according to industry commentary. More general statistics suggest only about 15% of forex traders make a profit, and only 7% of day traders remain after five years.

xai/grok is more precise:

After 5 years, the percentage of profitable day traders is extremely low — typically around 1% or less, based on multiple studies and industry analyses.
Day trading has one of the worst long-term success rates of any financial activity. Here's a breakdown of the most consistent findings from academic research, broker data, and trading statistics (up to recent 2025 analyses):

1. High attrition rate — Most people quit very quickly: ~40% stop within the first month, only ~13% are still active after 3 years, and only about 7% remain after 5 years (from aggregated data across sources like Tradeciety and Quantified Strategies).
2. Profitability among those who persist — Even among the tiny group that survives 5+ years, consistent profitability (net of fees, making a living or beating the market reliably) is rare. The most frequently cited figure is ~1% of all starting day traders achieve sustained profitability over five years or more.
   1. Several sources (including reviews of studies from Brazil, Taiwan, and U.S. markets) point to 1% or 1-3% for long-term consistent success.
   2. A commonly referenced benchmark: only ~1% of day traders can predictably profit net of fees over extended periods, with the top performers being an even smaller elite group.

Key Supporting Data Points

1. Brazilian equity futures study (one of the most comprehensive, tracking thousands of traders): 97% of those who persisted >300 days lost money, with just ~1.1% earning more than minimum wage — and long-term success was even rarer.
2. Multiple analyses (e.g., from Trade That Swing, Current Market Valuation, and Quantified Strategies) converge on 1% as the rough figure for those who remain profitable and active after 5 years.
3. Slightly more optimistic views put consistent long-term profitability (making a living) at ~4% among highly dedicated traders with mentors and capital — but this is still very low and applies to a small, experienced subset.

In short: If 100 people start day trading today, statistical evidence suggests that after 5 years, maybe 1 person (or fewer) will still be consistently profitable. The vast majority either lose money, quit early, or barely break even at best.
Day trading is often compared to a very difficult profession (like pro sports) — skill, discipline, risk management, and psychology matter enormously, but the odds are heavily stacked against most participants. If you're considering it, treat it as a high-risk skill to learn slowly rather than a quick path to wealth. Most experts recommend long-term investing instead for better expected outcomes.

Both AI Reports say the same thing - only about 7% remain after 5 years....

Soon you will get stopped.

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ai is just a parrot!

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