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  • #219,601
  • Dec 15, 2025 7:11am Dec 15, 2025 7:11am
H1: Until end of this day bulls are busy to arrive at crucial area sitting around 1.1777...

Just closed my latest long here at 1.1768... I am done for the day... Just know that some temporary resistance might kick in after this hour....

With current picture, I will stay bullish, especially while H1 candles open above 1.1751...

Anyway, that was my 2 cents... Calling it day folks... Peace out...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-H1.png Size: 19 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #219,602
  • Dec 15, 2025 7:19am Dec 15, 2025 7:19am
Quoting GhostSniper.
Going into Friday, an expected retracement of 30~40% of the weekly range to around 1.16900 is bound to happen. On 15M, Shorts are placed from 1.174xx with a fixed SL targeting ~2R. {image}
Trade hit SL.
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  • #219,603
  • Dec 15, 2025 7:21am Dec 15, 2025 7:21am
Quoting Bloodwish
https://youtu.be/T_cdXSzJSPQ
Target hit
  • #219,604
  • Dec 15, 2025 8:07am Dec 15, 2025 8:07am
Quoting GhostSniper.
{quote} Trade hit SL. {image}
ouch
  • #219,605
  • Dec 15, 2025 8:37am Dec 15, 2025 8:37am
Hmm, after it looked quite likely in the morning that they would push it down to 1.17 or possibly 1.1650 to test whether a strong base could be formed in that area and then carry out a solid and more sustainable rise, it was only pushed down to 1.1726 and then immediately driven upward again. In the process, the indicators barely cooled off from the overbought zone, and that is a problem. There is hardly any room left to the upside, which became evident today when they did push it to a new high, but so far this was only 6 pips higher than the previous one from December 11. That in itself is rather ridiculous and simply shows that there is practically no follow-through buying taking place. No wonder—everything is still heavily overbought, and under such conditions larger moves become increasingly unlikely. One must also not forget that it has risen almost 17.5 cents from the yearly low to the yearly high and is currently still trading nearly 16 cents higher. A proper and healthy correction has not really taken place so far either.

Therefore, I am still sticking to my assessment that a healthy correction needs to occur first before a more solid advance can follow. For this reason, I am currently staying away from longs, except at most for short-term scalps, as the downside risk is quite large. Instead, I am more inclined to further build up my short position—the only question is from which level. These are my two cents.
  • #219,606
  • Dec 15, 2025 9:45am Dec 15, 2025 9:45am
It's time to fall EURUSD
Don't fear risk; fear your ignorance.
  • #219,607
  • Dec 15, 2025 10:09am Dec 15, 2025 10:09am
  • #219,608
  • Dec 15, 2025 1:17pm Dec 15, 2025 1:17pm
Quoting Leser
Hmm, after it looked quite likely in the morning that they would push it down to 1.17 or possibly 1.1650 to test whether a strong base could be formed in that area and then carry out a solid and more sustainable rise, it was only pushed down to 1.1726 and then immediately driven upward again. In the process, the indicators barely cooled off from the overbought zone, and that is a problem. There is hardly any room left to the upside, which became evident today when they did push it to a new high, but so far this was only 6 pips higher than the previous...
Yeah but consider... we have December. And the December weeks are historically USD/DXY down aka EUR up. And that with a high (80%) occurance.
Whereas I agree with you on an overdue correction, I do not thing it will happen before Christmas - most propably in January.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDWeekly 16_12_25.png Size: 50 KB
  • #219,609
  • Dec 15, 2025 1:24pm Dec 15, 2025 1:24pm
Quoting zippo22
{quote} Yeah but consider... we have December. And the December weeks are historically USD/DXY down aka EUR up. And that with a high (80%) occurance. Whereas I agree with you on an overdue correction, I do not thing it will happen before Christmas - most propably in January. {image}
Hi, any data to support the print in BOLD?
Just curious. Thanks.
  • #219,610
  • Dec 15, 2025 1:34pm Dec 15, 2025 1:34pm
Quoting Fxbuum
{quote} Hi, any data to support the print in BOLD? Just curious. Thanks.
YES, just look at your own chart and start going back to past years!!
When you don't know where your going, any road will take you there.
  • #219,611
  • Dec 15, 2025 1:44pm Dec 15, 2025 1:44pm
Quoting Darfirst
{quote} YES, just look at your own chart and start going back to past years!!
Thanks, was going to reply the same. For that reason, I attached the chart. The Pinky bubbles are the December month of the past 8 years. Only last year was an outlier most probably because of the US election.
  • #219,612
  • Dec 15, 2025 3:17pm Dec 15, 2025 3:17pm
1.17580 I'm waiting for the price to change and drop, let's see...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM15.png Size: 26 KB
Don't fear risk; fear your ignorance.
  • #219,613
  • Dec 15, 2025 3:17pm Dec 15, 2025 3:17pm
The circular candle red is from the weekend; in my charts, it always appears as a Sunday...
The highlighted price (1.17298) is 50% of the low at 1.13909, reaching 1.19935...
The price reacted by forming support with the Sunday candle; it's possible the price won't fall further from this level until it reaches 1.19935...
Nothing is certain, anything can happen; for now, it remains optimistic.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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"No pain no gain"
  • #219,614
  • Dec 15, 2025 3:37pm Dec 15, 2025 3:37pm
I hope this helps you understand why I'm selling. Notice how the price drops, then rises before dropping again, or drops and rises again before continuing to rise. I only use the stock price; it's that simple.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM15.png Size: 15 KB
Don't fear risk; fear your ignorance.
  • #219,615
  • Dec 15, 2025 9:02pm Dec 15, 2025 9:02pm
Quoting Satelly
I hope this helps you understand why I'm selling. Notice how the price drops, then rises before dropping again, or drops and rises again before continuing to rise. I only use the stock price; it's that simple. {image}
I think the drama is coming tomorrow, 1.17800
Easy Does it.
  • #219,616
  • Edited 10:30pm Dec 15, 2025 9:52pm | Edited 10:30pm
Quoting stealyerface
{quote} I think the drama is coming tomorrow, 1.17800
It's likely, but I hope the price will drop in London. The dollar usually strengthens before the results are released, which will be tomorrow in my time zone, but maybe it's already Tuesday for you. Anyway, I want the price to reach 1.17600, and I'm going to place more sell orders. After the results, hold on tight because it could skyrocket, or if the dollar has good data, the euro will fall. But for now, I'm just going to place sell orders. I hope this chart helps you see how I think the dollar will react.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DXY_2025-12-15_23-29-50.png Size: 33 KB
Don't fear risk; fear your ignorance.
  • #219,617
  • Dec 15, 2025 10:09pm Dec 15, 2025 10:09pm
Looking for London to tap 1.17285

Bias is long, Target 1.17800

HEAVY news day, stay up!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Easy Does it.
  • #219,618
  • Dec 15, 2025 10:28pm Dec 15, 2025 10:28pm
I have a few key points:
*If the data on the dollar shows that the country's economy is in bad shape, the euro will rise to 1.18 or higher, but we will continue to see that pullback, although the peak will be certain.
*If the dollar data is good, the euro's pullback will be greater, but I don't think it will break the current trend, as the euro exchange rate also adjusts on Thursday, although it is very likely to remain unchanged.
*If we look at the chart before the DXY rises in the zone we are in, it trades at 97.300 most of the time. This would mark the news point, and then the euro's pullback would be used to push the DXY higher.
*My range started in the opposite direction, which is good for my sales, but it tells me that the drop is not going to happen yet, so I will buy cautiously below 1.17465 and close the sales I have in positive, so everything is fine on that side.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DXY_2025-12-15_23-29-50.png Size: 33 KB
Don't fear risk; fear your ignorance.
  • #219,619
  • Dec 15, 2025 10:59pm Dec 15, 2025 10:59pm
Since I drew the reference angle we are getting only idle days.... Holiday mode on!

I am bullish while candles open above 1.1733... Currently waiting for London to see if we get some action but if the first 2 hours don't give me any movement I am going to close the shop and enjoy outdoors.... I would suggest you do the same..

Happy trading day folks
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-H1.png Size: 18 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #219,620
  • Dec 15, 2025 11:29pm Dec 15, 2025 11:29pm
Farmers are striking in Greece and France. EUR will go up it's always like this when too many people are waiting for a weakening.

Buying the dips pays off
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