Will have to close for the week, see you next week again!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
I'm Aayush.j
- #18,441
- Dec 12, 2025 9:00am Dec 12, 2025 9:00am
- Joined Jun 2016 | Status: Sharing EUR/USD Ideas and Insights | 15,452 Posts
- #18,446
- Edited 1:29pm Dec 12, 2025 10:54am | Edited 1:29pm
- Joined Jul 2025 | Status: Dragonaut | 509 Posts
My two cents on the rest of NY
I'm looking for price to mitigate the 15min FVG, bounce off the .5 fib line/bottom of the new upward channel around 1.17330
Sights on 1.17268 then 1.17700
Something to consider, we have closed back inside the major downward channel we broke out of yesterday. 4H close will be key.
I'm looking for price to mitigate the 15min FVG, bounce off the .5 fib line/bottom of the new upward channel around 1.17330
Sights on 1.17268 then 1.17700
Something to consider, we have closed back inside the major downward channel we broke out of yesterday. 4H close will be key.
Easy Does it.
- #18,448
- Dec 13, 2025 12:10am Dec 13, 2025 12:10am
- Joined Jun 2016 | Status: Sharing EUR/USD Ideas and Insights | 15,452 Posts
The EUR/USD closed higher for a third consecutive week after breaking above the 1.1682 resistance level and reaching 1.1763 before consolidating above the former resistance, now acting as support.
Next week, I expect volatility to continue as key news releases, such as the US NFP report and US CPI, are scheduled ahead of the Christmas holidays, a period that often brings increased profit-taking and market consolidation.
Levels to watch for potential entries are 1.1763, 1.1780/90, and 1.1800/20 as resistance on any upside move, while support levels are located at 1.1700, 1.1682, 1.1656/69, and 1.1615.
Weekly volatility (range) 84 pips
Significant news - EU/US Service and Manufacturing PMI'S, US Nonfarm Payrolls, US Unemployment Rate, US CPI, ECB Interest Rate Decision, University Michigan Sentiment & US PCE.
Have a great weekend!
Notice: Could not upload a screenshot for technical reasons but I think I will later or Monday morning before the European markets open. I hope you can transfer my analysis on your charts successful.
Next week, I expect volatility to continue as key news releases, such as the US NFP report and US CPI, are scheduled ahead of the Christmas holidays, a period that often brings increased profit-taking and market consolidation.
Levels to watch for potential entries are 1.1763, 1.1780/90, and 1.1800/20 as resistance on any upside move, while support levels are located at 1.1700, 1.1682, 1.1656/69, and 1.1615.
Weekly volatility (range) 84 pips
Significant news - EU/US Service and Manufacturing PMI'S, US Nonfarm Payrolls, US Unemployment Rate, US CPI, ECB Interest Rate Decision, University Michigan Sentiment & US PCE.
Have a great weekend!
Notice: Could not upload a screenshot for technical reasons but I think I will later or Monday morning before the European markets open. I hope you can transfer my analysis on your charts successful.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
My bias going into next week is bullish, however there are a lot of prices that bears could step in. Stay focused
15min, looking for a bounce off the mitigated FVG @ 1.17330, looking for long entries inside the red box
1HR rising wedge, close of the FVG @ 1.17515 could be the bounce bears need or the start to 1.17600
4H hinting signs of 1.16175 with a close back inside the upward channel, 1.17000 will be a key level for bears.
Daily resistance at 1.17800, green US data could easily tap that level.
Up in the air imo. Good luck!
15min, looking for a bounce off the mitigated FVG @ 1.17330, looking for long entries inside the red box
1HR rising wedge, close of the FVG @ 1.17515 could be the bounce bears need or the start to 1.17600
4H hinting signs of 1.16175 with a close back inside the upward channel, 1.17000 will be a key level for bears.
Daily resistance at 1.17800, green US data could easily tap that level.
Up in the air imo. Good luck!
Easy Does it.
- #18,450
- Dec 14, 2025 12:43am Dec 14, 2025 12:43am
- Joined Jun 2016 | Status: Sharing EUR/USD Ideas and Insights | 15,452 Posts
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
- #18,451
- Edited 1:16am Dec 14, 2025 1:01am | Edited 1:16am
- Joined Dec 2015 | Status: Trader | 2,290 Posts
EURUSD H1 TRENDLINES The red line is resistance line.CLOSE ABOVE 1.1760 (BOS UP) Valid if: – H1 CLOSE above 1.1760 – ideally also holding above it (pullback that respects 1.1760 as S)
Meaning: – liquidity above EQH has been taken – the market has accepted higher prices – a new uptrend begins (HTF BOS)
ONLY A WICK ABOVE 1.1760 (LIQUIDITY, NOT BOS) If: – price spikes above 1.1760 – 1.1770 – BUT the H1 close is back below 1.1760
EURUSD H4
trendlines, pattern
We stayed above 1.1725–1.1736, so the guys pushed the price higher, we are in a rising channel, but …
We have resistance (H4 pivot) at the 1.1760 – 1.1780
As long as we stay above the 1.1725 support, the market is in a neutral–bullish phase.
A rising wedge is a WARNING of weakening momentum.
Why R3 is important (technically):
There is a confluence of:
– the upper boundary of the rising channel
– a higher timeframe pivot
– liquidity above the higher highs
A typical area for:
– exhaustion
– distribution
– or the first serious rejection before a larger pullback.
The rising wedge warns us of slowing momentum and potential distribution, but as long as we are ABOVE 1.1725, it’s only a warning; the pattern itself is confirmed only with an H1 close BELOW 1.1725 (BOS DOWN).
My strategy:
On Friday we stalled at the red line. I’m leaning toward selling as long as we stay below the R / R1 lines, around 1.1680.
If we close H1/H4 below 1.1680 → short bias.
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
- #18,453
- Dec 14, 2025 6:55pm Dec 14, 2025 6:55pm
- Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Liverpool's KOP | 8,026 Posts | Online Now
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
- #18,454
- Dec 14, 2025 8:31pm Dec 14, 2025 8:31pm
- Joined Jun 2016 | Status: Sharing EUR/USD Ideas and Insights | 15,452 Posts
The EUR/USD is trading between 1.1719 and 1.1750 after the opening, lacking direction on smaller timeframes but with a bullish bias on the longer term. If the range breaks, depending on the direction, the pair will face resistance at 1.1763/80 and 1.1795–1.1800, or support at 1.1705/1.1700 and 1.1682.
Daily volatility (range) 39 pips
Have a great week!
1H
Daily volatility (range) 39 pips
Have a great week!
1H
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
- #18,455
- Dec 14, 2025 9:43pm Dec 14, 2025 9:43pm
- Joined Dec 2020 | Status: Trader | 1,210 Posts
{quote} And so the blue line did hold like a fence at 1.1761 area, and now I marked a steep short-term bullish trend line (pink) to watch how price reacts to it. If it breaks down below it and holds, then it's likely to test the purple line again around 1.1700. I have 6 short positions open. Yet to determine TP. Unfortunately I did not have any long positions open today to take advantage of the rally.{image}
Now, I set a new red resistance line to watch. I have 5 short positions open, TP at 1.1657. No long positions.
Have a good new trading week!
You cannot fail if you never give up.
- #18,458
- Dec 14, 2025 11:55pm Dec 14, 2025 11:55pm
- Joined Jun 2016 | Status: Sharing EUR/USD Ideas and Insights | 15,452 Posts
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
- #18,459
- Dec 14, 2025 11:58pm Dec 14, 2025 11:58pm
- Joined Dec 2015 | Status: Trader | 2,290 Posts
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
