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  • #125,541
  • Oct 20, 2025 11:12pm Oct 20, 2025 11:12pm
Quoting gatorinla
bears are trying. {image}
we broke below 1632 level pre London which is bearish. May not get much bounce if we can’t close back above the next hour
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,542
  • Oct 21, 2025 1:52am Oct 21, 2025 1:52am
Quoting johncen
{quote} we broke below 1632 level pre London which is bearish. May not get much bounce if we can’t close back above the next hour
4 hour close is looking pretty bearish, we may not get above 1630-40 again
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,543
  • Oct 21, 2025 2:48am Oct 21, 2025 2:48am
Stopped earlier at 1624 and 25,, Its back here again. It may be attracted to 1653 later. 1653 is back above 1632 and 1640. That would stop the sustained below part. It would need to start over.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,544
  • Edited 3:07am Oct 21, 2025 2:57am | Edited 3:07am
Quoting johncen
{quote} we broke below 1632 level pre London which is bearish. May not get much bounce if we can’t close back above the next hour
The day upper b/o on Wednesday will be lower. I don't know where yet, it looks like lower. It may be in the 1632 area. If this time tomorrow the 12h close is above 1632. I think it will be bullish again.
You have a legid lower b/o. It just may be hard to get away from 1653 attraction too far.
Those numbers coming Friday may have pa closer to 1666, if they are not bad. I have no doubt numbers will be harder to trust. Losing trust is anti usd.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,545
  • Oct 21, 2025 3:11am Oct 21, 2025 3:11am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The day upper b/o on Wednesday will be lower. I don't know where yet, it looks like lower. It may be in the 1632 area. If this time tomorrow the 12h close is above 1632. I think it will be bullish again. You have a legid lower b/o. It just may be hard to get away from 1653 attraction too far. Those numbers coming Friday may have pa closer to 1666, if they are not bad. I have no doubt numbers will be harder to trust. Losing trust is anti usd.
The b/o looks like it may reach 153x.. It did retest 1632 after.. That attraction or not to 1653 is a wildcard. It did give a second chance to short at 1632..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,546
  • Oct 21, 2025 3:52am Oct 21, 2025 3:52am
unless something changes.. I target blue.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,547
  • Oct 21, 2025 11:26am Oct 21, 2025 11:26am
Quoting gatorinla
unless something changes.. I target blue. {image}
looks bearish to me too, i didnt get to reload shorts at a higher price. Have closed some at 1632 and didnt reload

i hope we get another bounce
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,548
  • Oct 21, 2025 2:29pm Oct 21, 2025 2:29pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} looks bearish to me too, i didnt get to reload shorts at a higher price. Have closed some at 1632 and didnt reload i hope we get another bounce
Yeah it may just continue down. I think by Friday it has a shot at 1666, but if inflation is up Friday. It may stop it. It is very bearish to me under 1632.. Above 1632 it has a shot at 1729 and 1830 206x.. That can happen still while above 13xx.. It did take below 1632, the very bearish side that leads to LL of this quarter 153x.

My problem for me that may be meaningless unless this would happen. Is if the next 12h closes above 1632. That would stop my bear goal at 1530. To me 1632 sustained above is bullish. A day trade number is above 1634 sustained. All day the bear refused to drop more than 35 pips below 1632. That in itself is not a big deal. Losing the 1632 resistance would be to me.
1682 can have R too
1632 may be a short, if not sustained above it.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,549
  • Oct 21, 2025 2:42pm Oct 21, 2025 2:42pm
1620.9 area may have r.. the 5min at 1618
possible s scalp there
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,550
  • Oct 21, 2025 2:55pm Oct 21, 2025 2:55pm
I don't think this will happen.. It may be best to short 1632. But if the 12h would mange to close above, The structure dynamics turn bullish to me. The 15m through 4h ma are above. 1632 is on the bear side of those ma's. It wont be pretty.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,551
  • Oct 21, 2025 8:45pm Oct 21, 2025 8:45pm
Quoting gatorinla
I don't think this will happen.. It may be best to short 1632. But if the 12h would mange to close above, The structure dynamics turn bullish to me. The 15m through 4h ma are above. 1632 is on the bear side of those ma's. It wont be pretty. {image}
i have 1620 if we can get there
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,552
  • Oct 22, 2025 12:50am Oct 22, 2025 12:50am
I haven’t done much because it’s earnings season for companies.
1.16 is a very important level.
but I consider both the short and the long to be risky, so I’m not doing anything yet.
This 1.160–1.165 area seems very tricky to me.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #125,553
  • Oct 22, 2025 3:57am Oct 22, 2025 3:57am
Quoting gatorinla
unless something changes.. I target blue. {image}
No changes, no bounces. 1582 may be nothing. Its 100 pips from 1682.. its 50 pips from 1632.. its 1/2 the distance to the blue target.
It has a chance to bounce here.. the first r 1597
the eu has some sort of relation to 50 100 150 200 algos. 1729 -150 = 1579. This areas to me rhyme.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,554
  • Oct 22, 2025 4:28am Oct 22, 2025 4:28am
I think its a good time to tighten stops.. 1582/79ish may be tricky.. It could reach 1632 or 1682 to ruin some peoples day. the lc and the 12h has some resist at 1597.. But if they don't hold.. it could get worse. Target remains at 1532/29 ish.. But 1579/82 can piss on the parade.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,555
  • Oct 22, 2025 5:05am Oct 22, 2025 5:05am
I think there is a major battle here going on in the 1582/79 area. The pivot could be 1682.
All my indicators are bearish like most of yours are. When they all bearish, is that when market makers use the algos? I'm starting to believe that.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,556
  • Edited 6:00am Oct 22, 2025 5:48am | Edited 6:00am
Quoting gatorinla
I think there is a major battle here going on in the 1582/79 area. The pivot could be 1682. All my indicators are bearish like most of yours are. When they all bearish, is that when market makers use the algos? I'm starting to believe that. {image}
hav also got that 1580 as key support….

seems like bear wanna break below!
update: reacting still
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,557
  • Oct 22, 2025 6:08am Oct 22, 2025 6:08am
Quoting johncen
{quote} hav also got that 1580 as key support…. seems like bear wanna break below! update: reacting still
so far, it don't look interested in 1597. The 4h did close above your 1580.. slightly above 1582, at 1582.2
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,558
  • Oct 22, 2025 6:16am Oct 22, 2025 6:16am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} so far, it don't look interested in 1597. The 4h did close above your 1580.. slightly above 1582, at 1582.2
yup still leaning towards south… but i m not fully convinced with bear yet. I could be damn wrong
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,559
  • Oct 22, 2025 6:40am Oct 22, 2025 6:40am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} so far, it don't look interested in 1597. The 4h did close above your 1580.. slightly above 1582, at 1582.2
never mind
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,560
  • Oct 22, 2025 6:53am Oct 22, 2025 6:53am
Quoting gatorinla
I don't think this will happen.. It may be best to short 1632. But if the 12h would mange to close above, The structure dynamics turn bullish to me. The 15m through 4h ma are above. 1632 is on the bear side of those ma's. It wont be pretty. {image}
now that 1582 was reached. I think it has a better shot for a retest of 1632 than earlier. The reason being, 1682 may be the pivot, attractor. 1632 can be R below it. A good R, but not as strong as 1682 or 1729. But first 1597 is blocking it.1597/1600 has R, it also could fall from it.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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