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Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Here’s a simple breakdown of what I’m currently seeing on GBPUSD (the British Pound vs the US Dollar).
Looking at the 4-hour timeframe, the general trend is still upward (bullish).
Recently, price broke above a key resistance area around 1.3370, which shows buyers are still strong.
After that breakout, price pushed up to about 1.3467, then made a pullback down to around 1.3389 — a healthy correction in an uptrend.
Now, here’s my simple plan
Looking at the 4-hour timeframe, the general trend is still upward (bullish).
Recently, price broke above a key resistance area around 1.3370, which shows buyers are still strong.
After that breakout, price pushed up to about 1.3467, then made a pullback down to around 1.3389 — a healthy correction in an uptrend.
Now, here’s my simple plan
If this 1-hour candle (the current one) closes the way it is now, without dropping below 1.3387, I’ll be looking to buy from around 1.3406.
Stop-loss: around 1.3387 — meaning if price falls below this point, I’ll exit the trade to limit losses.
Take-profit targets (TP):- TP1 (1:2 RR) → around 1.3447
- TP2 (1:3 RR) → around 1.3467
- TP3 (1:4 RR) → around 1.3487+ (depends on momentum)
That means if price holds above 1.3387, I expect a potential push upward.
But if the candle closes weak or breaks below 1.3387, then the buy setup becomes invalid, and I’ll stay out.
So, to put it simply:
Above 1.3387 = possible buy setup
Below 1.3387 = no trade
The 4-hour trend is still showing strength, and the market looks like it just needed to breathe before making the next move upward.
Remember, no one controls the market. We just follow the clues price gives us. Always manage your risk. 
If I follow my system, the outcome doesn’t define me — the process does.
GOLD (XAUUSD) Analysis — Watch Key Levels Around $4,351 and $4,300
Gold recently formed a double top pattern around the $4,377 price area. This level acted as a strong resistance, leading to a sharp rejection that pushed price down by nearly 600 pips to around $4,316.
Now, while this might appear to signal the end of the bullish trend, it doesn’t necessarily mean that gold’s bullish strength has faded completely. Instead, this is a critical decision zone where price could either resume its upward momentum or extend its short-term decline.
Current Outlook:
At present, gold is trading near a key support zone, roughly around the $4,300 area. On the lower timeframes (M5 & M15), price is showing signs of a potential buildup that could trigger another bullish push from this level.
However, two key scenarios are currently in play:
Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation
If price breaks and closes above $4,351.29, it will confirm a potential continuation of the broader bullish trend. This could open the way for gold to retest $4,377, and possibly extend higher if momentum strengthens.
Scenario 2 – Bearish Extension
If gold fails to hold above the current support and breaks below the recent low, then we might see a deeper bearish correction, potentially pushing price further down. This could mirror the kind of move that happened last week Friday.
Multi-Timeframe Confluence
The double top visible on both the H1 and H4 timeframes reinforces this cautionary setup. Traders should monitor price behavior around these key zones closely, as these are decision points that often dictate the next strong directional move.
Conclusion
In the bigger picture, gold still maintains a strong bullish structure, but short-term movements show signs of temporary weakness or profit-taking corrections.
Therefore, traders should avoid rushing into trades just because gold has been consistently bullish in recent weeks.
Instead, it’s wiser to wait for confirmation at key levels before deciding whether to buy or sell. This approach reduces risk and ensures entries are aligned with the market’s real direction.
Key Levels to Watch
Gold recently formed a double top pattern around the $4,377 price area. This level acted as a strong resistance, leading to a sharp rejection that pushed price down by nearly 600 pips to around $4,316.
Now, while this might appear to signal the end of the bullish trend, it doesn’t necessarily mean that gold’s bullish strength has faded completely. Instead, this is a critical decision zone where price could either resume its upward momentum or extend its short-term decline.
Current Outlook:At present, gold is trading near a key support zone, roughly around the $4,300 area. On the lower timeframes (M5 & M15), price is showing signs of a potential buildup that could trigger another bullish push from this level.
However, two key scenarios are currently in play:
Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation
If price breaks and closes above $4,351.29, it will confirm a potential continuation of the broader bullish trend. This could open the way for gold to retest $4,377, and possibly extend higher if momentum strengthens.
Scenario 2 – Bearish Extension
If gold fails to hold above the current support and breaks below the recent low, then we might see a deeper bearish correction, potentially pushing price further down. This could mirror the kind of move that happened last week Friday.
Multi-Timeframe Confluence
The double top visible on both the H1 and H4 timeframes reinforces this cautionary setup. Traders should monitor price behavior around these key zones closely, as these are decision points that often dictate the next strong directional move.
Conclusion
In the bigger picture, gold still maintains a strong bullish structure, but short-term movements show signs of temporary weakness or profit-taking corrections.
Therefore, traders should avoid rushing into trades just because gold has been consistently bullish in recent weeks.
Instead, it’s wiser to wait for confirmation at key levels before deciding whether to buy or sell. This approach reduces risk and ensures entries are aligned with the market’s real direction.
Key Levels to Watch- Resistance: $4,351.29 – $4,377
- Support: $4,300 – $4,316
If I follow my system, the outcome doesn’t define me — the process does.
- #66
- Last Post: Dec 9, 2025 6:56am Dec 9, 2025 6:56am
BTC-USD
Timeframes used: 1H for structure, Daily for confirmation.
Bias: Neutral → leaning bullish only with confirmation.
1. Why I am NOT rushing into a sell (same logic I applied to Gold)
A consistent trader does not jump into the market because price “might” fall.
Consistency comes from waiting for clear reactions, not emotions.
So even though BTC-USD could drop, I cannot sell without a proper confirmation.
That same logic applies to Gold (XAU-USD). A disciplined trader waits for price to “show its hand.”
2. Key area on BTC-USD — the Support at 80,600
From the 1-hour timeframe, BTC is sitting on a very significant support level around:
80,600
This support is not random — it aligns with ny software’s Key Level / Projection Level, which is around:
80,403
That makes this zone extremely important.
So far, this support has not broken.
3. Current BTC market condition: RANGING
From the Daily timeframe, after touching that Key Level:
BTC pushed up to 94,161
Then it entered a sideways range for 6 straight days
This tells us:
“Price is gathering energy. Market is undecided. Buyers and sellers are balancing.”
That’s why i cannot predict blindly — i must wait for the reaction.
4. Another mini-support: 83,855
I identified another very important level:
83,855 support
This is also a Key Level, and as long as:
80,403 – 80,600 stays intact
AND
83,855 does not break
BTC still has a valid bullish structure.
5. The Buy Scenario (ONLY with confirmation)
If the two key supports hold:
80,403–80,600
and
83,855
…then BTC may resume its bullish run.
My upside targets (very realistic):
TP1 → 106,685
TP2 → 116,187
TP3 → 128,247 (Previous High)
These are ideal swing targets, but even day-traders can catch smaller intraday buys inside that direction.
6. The Sell Scenario
I didn’t focus heavily on sell setups, but here’s the simple logic:
A sell only becomes valid if price breaks and closes below 80,403.
If 80,403 breaks:
Structure flips bearish
Range breaks down
Momentum will likely push BTC deeper
So yes, price can go down — but only if that level fails.
Timeframes used: 1H for structure, Daily for confirmation.
Bias: Neutral → leaning bullish only with confirmation.
1. Why I am NOT rushing into a sell (same logic I applied to Gold)
A consistent trader does not jump into the market because price “might” fall.
Consistency comes from waiting for clear reactions, not emotions.
So even though BTC-USD could drop, I cannot sell without a proper confirmation.
That same logic applies to Gold (XAU-USD). A disciplined trader waits for price to “show its hand.”
2. Key area on BTC-USD — the Support at 80,600
From the 1-hour timeframe, BTC is sitting on a very significant support level around:
80,600This support is not random — it aligns with ny software’s Key Level / Projection Level, which is around:
80,403That makes this zone extremely important.
So far, this support has not broken.
3. Current BTC market condition: RANGING
From the Daily timeframe, after touching that Key Level:
BTC pushed up to 94,161
Then it entered a sideways range for 6 straight days
This tells us:
“Price is gathering energy. Market is undecided. Buyers and sellers are balancing.”
That’s why i cannot predict blindly — i must wait for the reaction.
4. Another mini-support: 83,855
I identified another very important level:
83,855 supportThis is also a Key Level, and as long as:
80,403 – 80,600 stays intact
AND
83,855 does not break
BTC still has a valid bullish structure.
5. The Buy Scenario (ONLY with confirmation)
If the two key supports hold:
80,403–80,600
and
83,855
…then BTC may resume its bullish run.
My upside targets (very realistic):
TP1 → 106,685
TP2 → 116,187
TP3 → 128,247 (Previous High)
These are ideal swing targets, but even day-traders can catch smaller intraday buys inside that direction.
6. The Sell Scenario
I didn’t focus heavily on sell setups, but here’s the simple logic:
A sell only becomes valid if price breaks and closes below 80,403.
If 80,403 breaks:
Structure flips bearish
Range breaks down
Momentum will likely push BTC deeper
So yes, price can go down — but only if that level fails.
If I follow my system, the outcome doesn’t define me — the process does.