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  • #17,261
  • Sep 30, 2025 1:50pm Sep 30, 2025 1:50pm
Quoting josip
eurusd h4 trendlines if we leave the white channel, we go down... 2patterns (green, yellow) {image}
am waiting for the daily, monthly and quarterly close to see where we at
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #17,262
  • Sep 30, 2025 3:00pm Sep 30, 2025 3:00pm
The day, month, and quarter closed above 1730 but closed enough. This has turned the outlook to slightly bullish unless bear can take us back below 1680

short tf the bearish structure still active… so I don’t know
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #17,263
  • Sep 30, 2025 3:41pm Sep 30, 2025 3:41pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} am waiting for the daily, monthly and quarterly close to see where we at
4 me it looks bearish, (H1 closed below 1.1750) with rising wedge...
supports there a too, but the key is 1.1750
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #17,264
  • Sep 30, 2025 4:00pm Sep 30, 2025 4:00pm
Quoting josip
{quote} 4 me it looks bearish, (H1 closed below 1.1750) with rising wedge... supports there a too, but the key is 1.1750
yea if bull make it back above 1750 pre London then bear is possibly dead
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #17,265
  • Sep 30, 2025 8:34pm Sep 30, 2025 8:34pm
The EUR/USD spent the night trading inside a small range (1.1712-1.1761) due to low liquidity, but I expect things to get more volatile later after the Europe and London opening as traders come in. A break outside will open the next 1.1789/97 resistance zone if the pair rises, and the 1.1700-1.1695 and 1.1660/45 support zone if it breaks down. Not sure which news will not be out or if they are going to be released due to a US government shutdown that is next, and the EUR/USD might gain on this theme.

Have a great day!


Daily volatility (range) 58 pips

Option expiries for Wednesday: 1.1600 (EU2.09b), 1.1700 (EU1.74b), 1.1750 (EU1.41b) source: financialjuice.com

1H
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #17,266
  • Sep 30, 2025 8:38pm Sep 30, 2025 8:38pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} am waiting for the daily, monthly and quarterly close to see where we at
Monthly pivot at 1.1753! Have a great month!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #17,267
  • Sep 30, 2025 9:01pm Sep 30, 2025 9:01pm
my gut says the king will up his head this quarter
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chaos is just unknown order
  • #17,268
  • Sep 30, 2025 9:54pm Sep 30, 2025 9:54pm
Quoting Luxyus
my gut says the king will up his head this quarter {image}
Can I ask why!

Your gut feeling aligns with the narrative of a surprisingly resilient dollar, even in an easing cycle. Trust the feeling, but only trade the confirmation.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #17,269
  • Sep 30, 2025 10:23pm Sep 30, 2025 10:23pm
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #17,270
  • Sep 30, 2025 10:35pm Sep 30, 2025 10:35pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Can I ask why! Your gut feeling aligns with the narrative of a surprisingly resilient dollar, even in an easing cycle. Trust the feeling, but only trade the confirmation.
That s a pure technical deduction buddy, just PA moves on fibs grids.
I can t know what will be the fundamental driver to go there but my tendencies are often for an unespected scenario, with negations points and obviously confirmations ones
chaos is just unknown order
  • #17,271
  • Sep 30, 2025 10:36pm Sep 30, 2025 10:36pm
Traders will start selling EU from this price, I am also entering with a small position, but ofcouse EU can go a bit more up. I just don't want to miss the top.
Persistent
  • #17,272
  • Sep 30, 2025 11:36pm Sep 30, 2025 11:36pm
Quoting Luxyus
{quote} That s a pure technical deduction buddy, just PA moves on fibs grids. I can t know what will be the fundamental driver to go there but my tendencies are often for an unespected scenario, with negations points and obviously confirmations ones
The fed can turn more hawkish if nfp comes strong and if it gets out this friday. But things are not looking well for the us jobs for next month/s after a shutdown happened today as many workers will be fired permanently. So only technicals left!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #17,273
  • Sep 30, 2025 11:42pm Sep 30, 2025 11:42pm
DXY US dollar first support test
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  • #17,274
  • Sep 30, 2025 11:49pm Sep 30, 2025 11:49pm
range
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  • #17,275
  • Oct 1, 2025 12:25am Oct 1, 2025 12:25am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Might head to 1778 first!
Took its time but finally did it! Are all bulls in? I believe that many have missed the wagon to 1.1800/20. Support at 1.1750 and above.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #17,276
  • Oct 1, 2025 12:44am Oct 1, 2025 12:44am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} The fed can turn more hawkish if nfp comes strong and if it gets out this friday. But things are not looking well for the us jobs for next month/s after a shutdown happened today as many workers will be fired permanently. So only technicals left!
ye just a little hint, a big difference to what hurts economy and what hurts currency, that s a huge one!
chaos is just unknown order
  • #17,277
  • Oct 1, 2025 1:03am Oct 1, 2025 1:03am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Took its time but finally did it! Are all bulls in? I believe that many have missed the wagon to 1.1800/20. Support at 1.1750 and above.
Still trend is up but not the perfect situation after this one hour candle. Also I'm sure more sellers will like to see price some higher but now we are inside the range again, no selling.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #17,278
  • Oct 1, 2025 2:44am Oct 1, 2025 2:44am
support test > 1.17379 Higher if bulls hold it
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  • #17,279
  • Oct 1, 2025 3:11am Oct 1, 2025 3:11am
Next support test
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  • #17,280
  • Oct 1, 2025 3:24am Oct 1, 2025 3:24am
Quoting Tabtrades
Traders will start selling EU from this price, I am also entering with a small position, but ofcouse EU can go a bit more up. I just don't want to miss the top.
Hell yeah i sold at the as if like i had made this dump starting
Persistent
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