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Waiting at the Riverband

  • #1,361
  • Sep 29, 2025 6:23am Sep 29, 2025 6:23am
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Success = Practice + Patience + Persistence
  • #1,362
  • Sep 29, 2025 7:34am Sep 29, 2025 7:34am
risk with view of possibility london high sweep.
4 conditions met.
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #1,363
  • Sep 29, 2025 6:07pm Sep 29, 2025 6:07pm
watching asia open. bounce or break down?
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #1,364
  • Sep 29, 2025 6:34pm Sep 29, 2025 6:34pm
Quoting Inthebox
watching asia open. bounce or break down? {image}
Can't get a hold of it. Moving like a runaway train.
Success = Practice + Patience + Persistence
  • #1,365
  • Sep 29, 2025 6:38pm Sep 29, 2025 6:38pm
Quoting fxpider
{quote} Can't get a hold of it. Moving like a runaway train.
4000 for today?
damn ,
mad bull didnt give a break.
PA Return Today: 5.6%
  • #1,366
  • Sep 29, 2025 6:38pm Sep 29, 2025 6:38pm
Been trying to catch us with the team on all these Asia trades but always getting late to the party
  • #1,367
  • Sep 29, 2025 6:41pm Sep 29, 2025 6:41pm
Quoting LeongPuiy
{quote} 4000 for today? damn , mad bull didnt give a break.
Such move of GOLD making other FX pairs untradable.
Success = Practice + Patience + Persistence
  • #1,368
  • Sep 29, 2025 6:49pm Sep 29, 2025 6:49pm
Quoting Inthebox
watching asia open. bounce or break down? {image}
what had gone through your mind?
this was what had gone through my mind in the m1.
the narratives that you can interpret and form. did you had one?
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #1,369
  • Sep 29, 2025 7:01pm Sep 29, 2025 7:01pm
Quoting Inthebox
{quote} what had gone through your mind? this was what had gone through my mind in the m1. the narratives that you can interpret and form. did you had one? {image}
I had a plan but price never came back to the POI.
Success = Practice + Patience + Persistence
  • #1,370
  • Sep 29, 2025 7:12pm Sep 29, 2025 7:12pm
Quoting fxpider
{quote} I had a plan but price never came back to the POI.
that is not a be all and end all thing. why never came back? any counter plan? flexibility of mind.
what narrative can you give that price moved the other way instead of towards POI?
there must be some reasons that you can see from the chart foot prints right? of which i had already shown.
ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #1,371
  • Sep 29, 2025 7:45pm Sep 29, 2025 7:45pm
if you are not trading at this moment ................

this is not an invitation to trade. but to train your eyes on the m1 as this is the smallest one available to most of us.
what narrative can you form from the m1 chart now? thereafter observe the outcome.
any later narrative forming that counter the original one?
ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #1,372
  • Sep 29, 2025 8:22pm Sep 29, 2025 8:22pm
do you have any stories to tell for the last one hour?
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #1,373
  • Sep 29, 2025 8:23pm Sep 29, 2025 8:23pm
Quoting Inthebox
if you are not trading at this moment ................ this is not an invitation to trade. but to train your eyes on the m1 as this is the smallest one available to most of us. what narrative can you form from the m1 chart now? thereafter observe the outcome. any later narrative forming that counter the original one?
i too worry to get caught but end up miss trend,
and ytd i was short with the conditions but my target didnt hit , i not target fancy but some relative equal low but it just test OB and up and up.
end up red day.
i stop trade for now.
waiting.
maybe i act too slow,
i always wait 30m formed eg sell then retest for short, but it keep pushing up
PA Return Today: 5.6%
  • #1,374
  • Edited 8:54pm Sep 29, 2025 8:26pm | Edited 8:54pm
i leave it to you all whether to practise or not.
i also do not want to know anymore, can't be bothered nowadays.
better do my own things.
maybe come back again during nyse.

what actually is flexibility of mind?
do you think that there was set up from m30 and all the while waiting for a pullback?
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #1,375
  • Sep 29, 2025 8:44pm Sep 29, 2025 8:44pm
so good
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  • #1,376
  • Sep 29, 2025 8:52pm Sep 29, 2025 8:52pm
Quoting wangwang
so good {image}
you shown the conditions right except no. 2 htf snr level.
there is no w1 d1 h4 levels so how can you show that? what is the next best choice?
ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #1,377
  • Sep 29, 2025 9:28pm Sep 29, 2025 9:28pm
Quoting Inthebox
{quote} 除了 2 号 htf snr 级别之外，您展示的条件都正确。没有 w1 d1 h4 级别，您如何展示这一点？下一个最佳选择是什么？
Yes, Item 2. I don't know how to find it. Is a 5-minute (period) considered a pullback? But I can see the trend, and this position is at the 50% retracement level of an upward move, which provides relatively strong support.There was also such an opportunity at the morning opening, but it was not during the official market trading hours.This model is very good, but I have a question. Since we are currently in a gold bull market, what will be the effect of this model during a bear market cycle? I haven't conducted a backtest during the bear market cycle.
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  • #1,378
  • Sep 29, 2025 10:16pm Sep 29, 2025 10:16pm
Quoting wangwang
{quote} Yes, Item 2. I don't know how to find it. Is a 5-minute (period) considered a pullback? But I can see the trend, and this position is at the 50% retracement level of an upward move, which provides relatively strong support.There was also such an opportunity at the morning opening, but it was not during the official market trading hours.This model is very good, but I have a question. Since we are currently in a gold bull market, what will be the effect of this model during a bear market cycle? I haven't conducted a backtest during the bear...
no htf snr use next next choice h1 snr for m5 pullback.
tokyo open set up here https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...5#post15409195

bear market same rules apply. only thing is that to have a true reversal is difficult, may take days.
it is difficult to turn around an ocean liner or oil tanker travelling in one direction.
in the smaller time frames there will be lots of ranging and CE failures, even at h4. probability of reversal probably can be seen in daily more clearly.
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #1,379
  • Sep 29, 2025 10:38pm Sep 29, 2025 10:38pm
daily reversal or ranging?
for the month of september, the oil tanker took off. even a 2 day red candles did not count much.
even doing dollar cost averaging during those times was not a problem.
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #1,380
  • Sep 29, 2025 10:58pm Sep 29, 2025 10:58pm
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PA Return Today: 5.6%
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