The Swamp

One day, people will understand that turning the other cheek to take another slap is not the best strategy.
Today's 9/11 seems even darker after yesterday’s episode.
Life is too fragile.

Last chance to cut back your positions and stay quiet for a few days instead of playing the heroes.

I thought the eu would do the climb yesterday. 1723/24 may be a b/o point. Sunstaned above is likely bullish. 1723/24 ish may support it.

I did not say it would be fast. The bodies will pile up. Whatever the magic number is, I dont know. We live in a country where "if its not me, I dont care". People tend to change when it affects them personally. The cigarete debate lasted 40ish years. The advocates die off, the changers get stronger. Its the circle of life. What changes people slowly is a mind at a time. When your child, or 26 more are gunned down in a school. Because some nut had a bad day. That affects the parents, relatives, and the community. It's just has not been enough yet. Eventually the number will be too great to ignore. As more people are affected. My senator said loosely. (He didnt want to take AR's, in case somebody wanted to shoot wild hogs.} God forbid we do that. in case somebody wants to hunt people. I own several guns. I potentially can do stupid shit. Science is all based on numbers. The leading cause of preventable death to a child, is gunfire. The AR is made to hunt people. It has a projectile speed at + 2200/3k ft per second. It can pass through multiple people. Without hitting a vital organ, it can kill you. It can decapitate you. As it had done multiple school children. They cost billions in medical cost? What about the 100s of billions spent hardening churches, government offices, and schools etc. But hey, "what if I want to shoot wild pigs." It sounds like a good deal to me. The magic number is different for us all. But its coming for a lot of us eventually. Hopefully before your loved one. The dollar cost alone outweighs the argument for the budget

yea closing the day/week above 1715-20 turns the chart bullish.
i didnt want to trade the news and missed the opportunity to buy at 166x support zone.

Its bullish to me. I dont think bear can take us to the south.

I would like a shot to long 1700/1694.. But 1723 may not let it.

yes Gator we may have missed the train from the start

I did ok on my gold options.. the last 3 weeks..I may stick with it a few more weeks. Monday if the eu stays north of 1700.. I will have a structure change. that agrees with my indicators.. Its been chopy the last month or so.. They were opposite..

yes Gator if the week close above 1715-20 i will get rid of my bear thinking and we are going further north.

Commander’s Market Log #7
Date: Friday, September 12, 2025
Pair: EUR/USD
Confluence Zones (±3.5 pips bands)
Friday’s London price: 1.1725
Above (Resistance):
1.1764–1.1771 → Daily R1 / Fib overlap
1.1779–1.1786 → Weekly R1 + Historical flip
1.1796–1.1803 → Round number + Fib 61.8%
1.1818–1.1825 → Monthly R1 / Daily R2
1.1850–1.1857 → Weekly R2 / Historical July 2021 high
Below (Support):
1.1707–1.1714 → Daily Pivot / Fib cluster
1.1692–1.1699 → Weekly Pivot
1.1677–1.1684 → DeMark Pivot + Daily S1
1.1651–1.1658 → Weekly S1 / Daily S2
1.1624–1.1631 → Fib 38.2% retrace / Historical support zone
Vacuum Zone:
1.1710–1.1760 → Thin liquidity runway, expect acceleration once broken.
Historical Memory Zone:
1.1735–1.1750 → Flip zone across 2017, 2020, 2023.
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Event Risk – Today’s Calendar
• 09:00–11:00 → ECB speakers (Rehn, Kocher, Nagel).
• 15:00 → US Univ. Michigan Sentiment (58.2 expected).
• 15:00 → US 1-yr & 5-yr Inflation Expectations (medium impact).
No major US CPI/Payrolls today → flow & ECB headlines likely to drive.
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Commander’s Tactical Outlook
EUR/USD is consolidating in a tightening wedge just above 1.17 handle.
• Break above 1.1764–1.1786 opens path toward 1.1818–1.1857.
• Failure to hold 1.1707–1.1692 drags toward 1.1658–1.1630.
With no US tier-1 data, watch ECB jawboning and option expiries for directional cues.
---
Commander’s Log prepared with pivots, Fibs & historical zones.
Website: https://djemkumar.com/
Live Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/x/KF0ob6jy/

If it closes above 1739. this hour. It may be a b/o.. Sustained above 1738.5

mayb it still want 1715 1705 first?

Rejected 1738.. Some S 1699/96 ish The 12h did close above 1699 (bullish potential off support, still needs 1739+ sustained to rise ).. 1699ish may catch it . It may not too far below 1717..

Yeah.. it may have needed some more Wheaties.. 1699 ish will tempt me.

yea unless we start closing below weekly pivot 1694 again and then 1683 i will look to buy dips.
i hope bear can surprise me though

Right there on the 15min

Now if it takes back 1725, it may test 1738/39.. I got + 50 across the spectrum indicating it will take 1725, with strength for 1738 testing.

1725 puts up a fight. 1717/18 light support