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  • #210,621
  • Jun 25, 2025 8:16am Jun 25, 2025 8:16am
The liquidity market is very stochastic. We can never predict with absolute certainty the direction; but with patience and diligence, we can mostly detect the digital footprints of Wall Street and just jump into the trend !!! @Ata-Turkoglu ... and as you always say "I will wait". Patience is very key !

Good day everyone !!!
  • #210,622
  • Jun 25, 2025 8:55am Jun 25, 2025 8:55am
Quoting Hilts
{quote} First short triggered 1.16185 … a bit early really, but will let it run now …
Added short at the top , closed both positions now minor pips waiting for a sure sign this time…
  • #210,623
  • Jun 25, 2025 9:03am Jun 25, 2025 9:03am
Quoting ForestHill
The liquidity market is very stochastic. We can never predict with absolute certainty the direction; but with patience and diligence, we can mostly detect the digital footprints of Wall Street and just jump into the trend !!! @Ata-Turkoglu ... and as you always say "I will wait". Patience is very key ! Good day everyone !!!
don t forget to post whdn you see the direction based on your magic ball
  • #210,624
  • Jun 25, 2025 9:04am Jun 25, 2025 9:04am
shifted to longs
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 19 KB
  • #210,625
  • Jun 25, 2025 10:14am Jun 25, 2025 10:14am
Quoting Hilts
{quote} Added short at the top , closed both positions now minor pips waiting for a sure sign this time…
it’s like waiting for a bus … that’s never coming…
  • #210,626
  • Jun 25, 2025 12:11pm Jun 25, 2025 12:11pm
Alright, the DXY had no uuumpf to close (not even to touch) the gap. That only leaves for the EUR only the way up as a resolve. DXY is at month low and poised to break that.
Next... we have to be prepared for EUR 1.1730+- and then for 1.1860. That corresponds to DXY 96+- which is now the lower Bollinger Band. But that might move a bit lower with the dropping price.

Btw, my projection outlined a month ago is going on as expected...
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...4#post15256484
  • #210,627
  • Jun 25, 2025 12:39pm Jun 25, 2025 12:39pm
Based on Weekly chart, the next most crucial bull target sits around ~1.1725 area... (I agree with zippo22)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-W1.png Size: 23 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #210,628
  • Edited 1:03pm Jun 25, 2025 12:47pm | Edited 1:03pm
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Based on Weekly chart, the next most crucial bull target sits around ~1.1725 area... (I agree with zippo22) {image}
ata u still holding your short?
i see macd divergence on both 1h and daily, though no sign for bear
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #210,629
  • Jun 25, 2025 12:53pm Jun 25, 2025 12:53pm
Quoting vinesh1
Quick outlook. So we closed lower on Daily. Great. However, We did not close lower on Weekly I mean did not close below last week's low. Which tells me seller's are weak. We had a pretty good NFP and ECB cut rates and still EU did not crash. It tells you something. This is what I am thinking again could be completely wrong of course. If you look at Weekly we have broken out of consolidation from July 2023 so theme is bullish. Option1: We may might a slow grinding dip to 1.127- 1.120 area which is the 50%fib of the rise from May12th do like a double...
Posted this back in June. I never got my pullback as stated in option 1. All this is gearing up for a massive drop sometime in the near future. Not yet.
  • #210,630
  • Jun 25, 2025 1:08pm Jun 25, 2025 1:08pm
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Based on Weekly chart, the next most crucial bull target sits around ~1.1725 area... (I agree with zippo22) {image}
Let me post the corresponding DXY charts to your EUR chart
I thought we will visit the gap... but when I got back to the screen later in the evening, I saw that the music stopped at EUR 1.1590 and turned around taking my stops. Luckily, I pulled them gradually down, so I still got +19pips. Only I missed a big part of the up run.

Anyhow... it seems as we can see form the chart there is plenty of real estate left for the next days and weeks before we will have a dollar recovery. But when that arrives, it could be quite explosive.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDXDaily 25_06_25.png Size: 41 KB

So, that is a nice descending triangle and the kick on Monday and the Friday before turns out being a failed breakout - which will ensure that the triangle resolves into the lower direction (EUR up).

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDXWeekly 25_06_25.png Size: 47 KB
For the weekly, we have on target -> the trendline @ 96.40+-, and another one the Bollinger Band (currently 95.85+-). That would translate into EUR 1.1820+- / 1.1900+-.
  • #210,631
  • Jun 25, 2025 1:28pm Jun 25, 2025 1:28pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} ata u still holding your short? i see macd divergence on both 1h and daily, though no sign for bear
Yes I do... but I have my own personal plan B strategies that would be executed based on whatever happens next... I hope you are not shaping your decisions based on what I do... Just know that I can't post everything that I do.. Even if I wanted, practically I couldn't do it... posting all would take too much time...

I hope it answers...

Best wishes
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #210,632
  • Jun 25, 2025 1:36pm Jun 25, 2025 1:36pm
Quoting DeJaBlue
Dollar is dropping like a hot Potato. I am thinking 1.16997 1.1700 is next resistance I got a bad feeling we are going there looking on the Weekly and these wild charts. i am side-lined and considering sitting out today. I don't want to be caught with a buy neither a sell with no signals. "Emotional damage"
Are we there yet?
Been travelling all day, almost looks ripe for a short,
Do you think the dollar has had enough?
Waiting for trades is OK. Most People spend their life waiting for nothing!
  • #210,633
  • Jun 25, 2025 1:44pm Jun 25, 2025 1:44pm
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Yes I do... but I have my own personal plan B strategies that would be executed based on whatever happens next... I hope you are not shaping your decisions based on what I do... Just know that I can't post everything that I do.. Even if I wanted, practically I couldn't do it... posting all would take too much time... I hope it answers... Best wishes
yes of course, just checking ~
thank you
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #210,634
  • Jun 25, 2025 1:44pm Jun 25, 2025 1:44pm
Quoting zippo22
{quote} Let me post the corresponding DXY charts to your EUR chart I thought we will visit the gap... but when I got back to the screen later in the evening, I saw that the music stopped at EUR 1.1590 and turned around taking my stops. Luckily, I pulled them gradually down, so I still got +19pips. Only I missed a big part of the up run. Anyhow... it seems as we can see form the chart there is plenty of real estate left for the next days and weeks before we will have a dollar recovery. But when that arrives, it could be quite explosive. {image}...
On a side note: I really don't understand why many people use DXY charts when trading EURUSD...

Look at my chart below: I drew your DXY red line onto my EURUSD chart for comparison... It is the same...

Bro, why use a mirror to see the same things that my naked eyes can already see via EURUSD chart... I always give this example: Why should I tie my shoes looking at a mirror when I simply can look directly down to my shoe laces. Please don't mind me... No judging brother.. and not to open any discussions since I know people always have their reasons... I am only sharing my personal critic regarding to what correlation chart enthusiasts prefer... To me it is really just torture for my eyes!

Anyways.. I agree with your overall thinking though... Good work.. Keep it up brother... Cheers

*Please also note: MACD Divergence is forming and already visible to all eyes!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-D1.png Size: 18 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #210,635
  • Jun 25, 2025 2:10pm Jun 25, 2025 2:10pm
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} On a side note: I really don't understand why many people use DXY charts when trading EURUSD... Look at my chart below: I drew your DXY red line onto my EURUSD chart for comparison... It is the same... Bro, why use a mirror to see the same things that my naked eyes can already see via EURUSD chart... I always give this example: Why should I tie my shoes looking at a mirror when I simply can look directly down to my shoe laces. Please don't mind me... No judging brother.. and not to open any discussions since I know people always...
Actually, I am using both.
Often the DXY gives a little clearer picture and is a tick ahead (of the EUR chart) in doing that. That gives me a bit more confidence at times when the EUR chart looks a bit messy.
But I also agree, there are times when two input sources do not make deciding easier.
  • #210,636
  • Jun 25, 2025 9:04pm Jun 25, 2025 9:04pm
Short @1.16904 on H1 inverted hammer candle
Lets see how it plays out.. tight SL will be monitoring

My level I had as resistance was @1.16962
Waiting for trades is OK. Most People spend their life waiting for nothing!
  • #210,637
  • Jun 25, 2025 9:32pm Jun 25, 2025 9:32pm
Analysis: The H1 Dashboard indicates a strong bullish bias. The Moving Averages (MA) show a Strong BUY (83%), supported by BUY signals from MACD, ADX, RSI, and CCI. Stochastic is the only indicator providing a SELL signal, suggesting a potential short-term pullback against the prevailing bullish momentum.

Looking at the "Overall" analysis across M5, M30, and H1 timeframes, the aggregated result is a BUY (23%). While still indicating a buying opportunity, the lower percentage compared to the H1 timeframe's strong buy suggests that the bullish conviction might be less pronounced on shorter timeframes, or that there are mixed signals contributing to a weaker overall average.

The market condition is identified as a Strong Trend. The nearest Resistance is at 1.1716, which is 31 pips away, implying the price is approaching this level. The nearest Support is significantly further at 1.1445 (238 pips). Given the price is close to resistance and the trend is strong, a breakout above 1.1716 could lead to further bullish movement. However, if the price fails to break resistance, a minor pullback towards nearest support could be observed.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH1.png Size: 29 KB

Disclaimer: This analysis is based solely on data from the provided dashboard and is intended for educational purposes only. Trading involves risk, and by following this analysis or its signals, you may incur financial losses. Please exercise caution and make your own informed trading decisions.
Attached File(s)
File Type: zip Technical Analysis Dashboard v4.30.zip   452 KB | 127 downloads
  • #210,638
  • Jun 25, 2025 10:25pm Jun 25, 2025 10:25pm
The BIG PICTURE.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 29 KB
  • #210,639
  • Jun 25, 2025 10:51pm Jun 25, 2025 10:51pm
Quoting DeJaBlue
Short @1.16904 on H1 inverted hammer candle Lets see how it plays out.. tight SL will be monitoring My level I had as resistance was @1.16962
Curious about H4 candle as to how it will close, may be a good signal
No trades in yesterday
SL now trailing 10 Pips.
Hoping this is the wave i have been waiting for
Waiting for trades is OK. Most People spend their life waiting for nothing!
  • #210,640
  • Jun 25, 2025 11:03pm Jun 25, 2025 11:03pm
Quoting andvk74
The BIG PICTURE. {image}
have not seen you around for a while mate, miss your hammers and eyes
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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