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  • #3,921
  • Jul 2, 2024 9:40pm Jul 2, 2024 9:40pm
Quoting PatienceFx
week started at 0 went 34 pips above 0 [ week open ] then 34 pips below {image}
On W1, USDX is bearish, so EURUSD will rise on this TF.
  • #3,922
  • Jul 3, 2024 12:31am Jul 3, 2024 12:31am
Quoting PatienceFx
week started at 0 went 34 pips above 0 [ week open ] then 34 pips below {image}
price first eats your stop then goes in your direction
  • #3,923
  • Jul 3, 2024 4:54am Jul 3, 2024 4:54am
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  • #3,924
  • Jul 3, 2024 4:56am Jul 3, 2024 4:56am
calendar news side by side
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  • #3,925
  • Jul 3, 2024 9:00pm Jul 3, 2024 9:00pm
us bank holiday today and nfp tomorrow

so today price should consolidate and give a breakout tomorrow
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  • #3,926
  • Jul 3, 2024 10:06pm Jul 3, 2024 10:06pm
Quoting PatienceFx
correct me if i am wrong but these are initial signs of stagflation {image}

I don't think we can talk about stagflation because:
- CPI decreased, as expected. The interest rate was not reduced, and Personal spending is estimated to increase for July.
-unemployment decreases during the summer because the number of temporary employees increases;
-PMI decreased in May-June, but starts to recover in July (see XCUUSD, TF D1, worldwide).
  • #3,927
  • Jul 3, 2024 11:13pm Jul 3, 2024 11:13pm
bands squeezing == new trade developing == what will it be
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  • #3,928
  • Jul 3, 2024 11:44pm Jul 3, 2024 11:44pm
Quoting PatienceFx
bands squeezing == new trade developing == what will it be {image}
US

A decrease in Average monthly earnings causes an increase in the number of employees. The explanation lies in the fact that families' incomes decrease and, in order to cover expenses, they take new jobs. It could be an explanation for the higher Non farm employment change. Effect= correction on H4.

USDX- H1/H4, bullish
  • #3,929
  • Jul 4, 2024 1:10am Jul 4, 2024 1:10am
M30 Ichimoku Support 1.0880, EURUSD can already be Bullish, M30 Stochastic has also curved here, the price of Resistant 1.0816 can be touched again or pass it up to 1.0875 until tomorrow
  • #3,930
  • Jul 4, 2024 5:00am Jul 4, 2024 5:00am
They increased the interbank US rate again. So there are little chances to reduce interest rates now.
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  • #3,931
  • Jul 4, 2024 7:01am Jul 4, 2024 7:01am
Quoting Gelubrin
They increased the interbank US rate again. So there are little chances to reduce interest rates now. {image}
Wednesday all news were USD negative

Even ADP, let's see what NFP brings
  • #3,932
  • Jul 4, 2024 7:04am Jul 4, 2024 7:04am
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} Wednesday all news were USD negative Even ADP, let's see what NFP brings
If this comes around 160K eurusd will reach the moon
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  • #3,933
  • Jul 4, 2024 11:59am Jul 4, 2024 11:59am
Answer to question by gelubrin

Mt4 is a Russian software, it was never designed to be honest
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  • #3,934
  • Edited 12:30pm Jul 4, 2024 12:18pm | Edited 12:30pm
Analyzing untruths we reach the truth.

Any hypothesis must be thoroughly verified.
I'll check on the TV.
We will see tomorrow after the news from the USA.

Thank you!
  • #3,935
  • Jul 4, 2024 12:26pm Jul 4, 2024 12:26pm
1.09
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  • #3,936
  • Jul 4, 2024 12:29pm Jul 4, 2024 12:29pm
Quoting Gelubrin
Analyzing untruths we reach the truth. Any hypothesis must be thoroughly verified.
If the average hourly earnings decrease then NFP may come stronger sending eurusd down
  • #3,937
  • Jul 4, 2024 12:35pm Jul 4, 2024 12:35pm
Quoting PatienceFx;14921678[B
]1,09[/b] {image}
Versus 1.08
  • #3,938
  • Jul 4, 2024 12:41pm Jul 4, 2024 12:41pm
[quote=PatienceFx;14921668]Answer to question…

The two indicators on the TV say something else, but the idea is important.
Nobody and nothing can be perfect.
  • #3,939
  • Jul 4, 2024 12:50pm Jul 4, 2024 12:50pm
The idea can be seen here. SMA 14, 20, 100, 200.
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  • #3,940
  • Jul 4, 2024 1:06pm Jul 4, 2024 1:06pm
Quoting Gelubrin
The idea can be seen here. SMA 14, 20, 100, 200. {image}
This is what I was saying
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