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  • #3,441
  • May 22, 2024 8:16pm May 22, 2024 8:16pm
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} practically nothing, the 2% inflation target is not yet reached so no rate cut and there is no need to increase rates {image}
just like i said


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  • #3,442
  • May 22, 2024 9:22pm May 22, 2024 9:22pm
It is very difficult to achieve inflation of 2% or less. This was also the case in 2014-2016, 2019 and 2021.
Inflation of 2% is accepted by economic theories and is the objective of any state.

Currently, import prices, producer prices, salaries, energy prices and those related to housing have increased. Productivity did not grow at the same rate as wages.

Our next target for next week?
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  • #3,443
  • May 25, 2024 12:02pm May 25, 2024 12:02pm
H1: The price was rejected by the SMA 200, but it is above the SMA 100, and the technical configuration is bearish. But it won't be because the H1 trend is up now and next week's major USD news will be smaller.

The price is above SMA100 on D1 and H4.
  • #3,444
  • May 26, 2024 2:11am May 26, 2024 2:11am
Quoting Gelubrin
H1: The price was rejected by the SMA 200, but it is above the SMA 100, and the technical configuration is bearish. But it won't be because the H1 trend is up now and next week's major USD news will be smaller. The price is above SMA100 on D1 and H4.
for upside, price must remain above week open also

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  • #3,445
  • May 26, 2024 7:42am May 26, 2024 7:42am
US500, preparing to fall?

Technically, that's what it looks like.
The shares of many companies are strongly overvalued due to global manipulations.
The graphs below seem to confirm this idea.
The US500 line must meet again with the GDP growth rate line.
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  • #3,446
  • May 26, 2024 9:43pm May 26, 2024 9:43pm

  1. last week close and weekly pivot are at same level
  2. last week range was tight
  3. US500 annual returns listed below, there is still room for more
  4. h1, h4 & daily 100 and 200 sma supporting price

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  • #3,447
  • May 26, 2024 9:48pm May 26, 2024 9:48pm
Quoting PatienceFx
last week close and weekly pivot are at same level last week range was tight US500 annual returns listed below, there is still room for more h1, h4 & daily 100 and 200 sma supporting price {image} {image}
h1 macd & rsi will guide
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  • #3,448
  • May 27, 2024 2:23pm May 27, 2024 2:23pm
Fuckers are running long stops

don't be complacent if you're short
  • #3,449
  • May 28, 2024 10:41pm May 28, 2024 10:41pm
knowing your trading range for current week is more important than indicators

for this week i see a range between last week high and 1.0810

question is how did i get this range ?

what was the event on h1 , h4 and daily charts which gave this idea
  • #3,450
  • May 28, 2024 10:48pm May 28, 2024 10:48pm
Quoting PatienceFx
knowing your trading range for current week is more important than indicators for this week i see a range between last week high and 1.0810 question is how did i get this range ? what was the event on h1 , h4 and daily charts which gave this idea
for today my short is not well placed, why ?

answering these questions correctly will help you read trends better
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  • #3,451
  • May 28, 2024 10:52pm May 28, 2024 10:52pm
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} for today my short is not well placed, why ? answering these questions correctly will help you read trends better {image}
why is there still a chance to see 1.0866 before a drop to 1.0810
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  • #3,452
  • May 28, 2024 10:55pm May 28, 2024 10:55pm
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} why is there still a chance to see 1.0866 before a drop to 1.0810 {image}
most importantly

why am i trading 0.01 instead of 1 or 5 lots
  • #3,453
  • May 28, 2024 10:58pm May 28, 2024 10:58pm
final question

on monthly what are the chances of eurusd going down in June month

and in may month why did usd weaken

answering questions on a month scale gives you a crystal clear roadmap to trade ANY pair on lower time frames
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  • #3,454
  • May 28, 2024 11:10pm May 28, 2024 11:10pm
Quoting PatienceFx
final question on monthly what are the chances of eurusd going down in June month and in may month why did usd weaken answering questions on a month scale gives you a crystal clear roadmap to trade ANY pair on lower time frames {image}
while answering my question

remember these data points are released EVERY month
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  • #3,455
  • May 28, 2024 11:15pm May 28, 2024 11:15pm
and here, despite the obvious downside risk, price will still go to 1.0866 before completing at 1.0810

WHY ?
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  • #3,456
  • May 28, 2024 11:33pm May 28, 2024 11:33pm
Quoting PatienceFx
and here, despite the obvious downside risk, price will still go to 1.0866 before completing at 1.0810 WHY ? {image}
The price will increase again because GDP data will be published on Thursday. It will then decrease because the estimated data for next week's usd will be increasing. Also, the ECB intends to lower the interest rate.
  • #3,457
  • May 28, 2024 11:47pm May 28, 2024 11:47pm
Quoting Gelubrin
{quote} The price will increase again because GDP data will be published on Thursday. It will then decrease because the estimated data for next week's usd will be increasing. Also, the ECB intends to lower the interest rate.
What will happen in June month
  • #3,458
  • May 29, 2024 12:09am May 29, 2024 12:09am
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} What will happen in June month

EURUSD D1, H4 and H1 have moved into bearish territory. MN is below SMA100 and it is very difficult to go over; only to have a major event like the last one, the pandemic. The month of June will end the second quarter and the companies will speed up to end the quarter with a profit in the conditions that the sales of goods and services have decreased, the prices of labor and PPI have increased. The price of gasoline stagnated, and the sales of used cars decreased. Current consumption in the USA is also maintained by tax exemptions. Also, in June, the bonds that have reached maturity are paid, which requires the purchase of usd. In the USA it is an election year and there is a huge interest in inflation being constant / under control. There will be elections in June at the European Commission as well. These are just a few aspects of the multitude of data that can be analyzed.
I don't think I answered your question.
  • #3,459
  • Edited 1:14am May 29, 2024 12:34am | Edited 1:14am
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} What will happen in June month
But this one too.
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  • #3,460
  • May 29, 2024 1:28am May 29, 2024 1:28am
is it just me or you do think nothing is moving and nothing is worth trading at this moment? its been 15 days
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