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The Swamp

  • #114,941
  • Jan 30, 2024 1:37pm Jan 30, 2024 1:37pm
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,942
  • Jan 30, 2024 1:38pm Jan 30, 2024 1:38pm
Quoting supertubes
{quote} looks bullish.. .maybe get long on a pullback
A lot of it is inflation over 40 years
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,943
  • Jan 30, 2024 1:42pm Jan 30, 2024 1:42pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} A lot of it is inflation over 40 years
do they mine salt in Ukraine.. I bet that was what putin is after..
  • #114,944
  • Jan 30, 2024 1:55pm Jan 30, 2024 1:55pm
Quoting gatorinla
If tomorrow the eu close below 0834. I think that is just a little more aiding a drop.. Today closed 0832 or 0830.. Depending on broker.
ATM it's looking like a day close above 0834..That would increase favor for 0874/76 area. PA is still above the 200 day,0794, 0752 and 0741 (bull side). 0852 has contained pa today. 0852 has some R value, but its so close to the 200 at 0806ish. I still have that pending at 0874.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,945
  • Jan 30, 2024 1:57pm Jan 30, 2024 1:57pm
Quoting supertubes
{quote} do they mine salt in Ukraine.. I bet that was what putin is after..
All ancient cities worldwide were close to a salt supply, and fresh water supply.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,946
  • Jan 30, 2024 2:02pm Jan 30, 2024 2:02pm
Today closed below 0852 and above 0834.. PA may run both directions. It may range between. I did plan on shorting 0874. For a run down to the 200 day 0794 area this week. Pa already made that run. 0874 may still work. But pa already made the last week's close indicated drop. If bearish, it could do it again. It also can continue higher since it already hit that support. Don't let one get away. Close before it takes all your money. Place stops now before the emotion. Don't increase risk.
0930.5 was last week's R ..I dont know if 0874/76 will stop a run.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,947
  • Jan 30, 2024 3:55pm Jan 30, 2024 3:55pm
i will try this for 300 pips long EURUSD @ now 1.0843 tp 1.1143 sl 1.0793

viva Mexico cabrones
  • #114,948
  • Jan 30, 2024 5:15pm Jan 30, 2024 5:15pm
The next lower larger algo at 0693
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,949
  • Jan 30, 2024 10:52pm Jan 30, 2024 10:52pm
now we go NU down an EA up, still scalpng though
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #114,950
  • Jan 30, 2024 11:35pm Jan 30, 2024 11:35pm
Quoting Piporro
i will try this for 300 pips long EURUSD @ now 1.0843 tp 1.1143 sl 1.0793 viva Mexico cabrones
I want to get long from 0795 to target 0930 ... if 0874 stops it that would be a S tp 0744...then 0692
  • #114,951
  • Jan 30, 2024 11:54pm Jan 30, 2024 11:54pm
Quoting Ferna
Shorts might be here already https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-YulI5a0PbM
I can't see it breaking 0795 without going higher 1st ..
  • #114,952
  • Jan 31, 2024 12:52am Jan 31, 2024 12:52am
Quoting Ferna
{quote} market in hesitation?
I am sure for some people there are trades here. but not for me. to me this is "no mans land"
  • #114,953
  • Jan 31, 2024 1:31am Jan 31, 2024 1:31am
Quoting Ferna
Nasdaq dropping like a stone, in a way i saw it 10 hour ago but it seems to be a continuation of the move. Can be a real good trade Google dropping 6%
SP 500 dipping also... Sideline for me though.
  • #114,954
  • Jan 31, 2024 1:58am Jan 31, 2024 1:58am
Focusing on the Dollar atm. it wants lower .. before 10415 ish
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  • #114,955
  • Edited 3:15am Jan 31, 2024 2:56am | Edited 3:15am
Thinking out loud, a close today below 0844, 0834, and stronger -0794. May make this 0844 0852 0874 hard to get back above. EU. Making a break in the 200 day and 074x odds increase. That could add to the year close.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,956
  • Jan 31, 2024 3:10am Jan 31, 2024 3:10am
Rocky start for Chinese maritime trade
The Red Sea trade disruption, together with other disruptions to transport corridors that connect China to the rest of the world, puts additional pressure on Chinese trade. There are already some early signs of a reduction of around 10-15% of exports leaving Chinese ports.
https://www.thinkchina.sg/red-sea-sh...hinese%20ports.
Shipping from China is so expensive because fuel prices and wages among Chinese workers have increased. Ocean freight prices were also elevated, and very expensive during Covid, with container shipping prices going from $2000 to $20,000 in some cases. Now ocean freight prices have been declining, making shipping from China less expensive. https://redstagfulfillment.com/why-i...20some%20cases.
New Zealand's exports 2022 by country
Top export destinations of commodities from New Zealand in 2022:

  1. China with a share of 27% (12.7 billion US$)
  2. Australia with a share of 12% (5.51 billion US$)
  3. USA with a share of 10.8% (4.94 billion US$)
  4. Japan with a share of 5.8% (2.64 billion US$)
  5. Korea with a share of 3.68% (1.68 billion US$)
  6. Indonesia with a share of 2.88% (1.31 billion US$)
  7. Singapore with a share of 2.53% (1.15 billion US$)
  8. Other Asia, nes with a share of 2.36% (1.07 billion US$)
  9. United Kingdom with a share of 2.03% (929 million US$)
  10. Thailand with a share of 1.93% (882 million US$) https://trendeconomy.com/data/h2/New...illion%20US%24)

those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,957
  • Jan 31, 2024 3:13am Jan 31, 2024 3:13am
Quoting gatorinla
Rocky start for Chinese maritime trade The Red Sea trade disruption, together with other disruptions to transport corridors that connect China to the rest of the world, puts additional pressure on Chinese trade. There are already some early signs of a reduction of around 10-15% of exports leaving Chinese ports. https://www.thinkchina.sg/red-sea-sh...hinese%20ports....
This all hurts NZD, Australia more than most.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,958
  • Jan 31, 2024 3:57am Jan 31, 2024 3:57am
The 12h has closed below it's 200 ema all week so far. (0845). It closed the 12h below 0844 and 0834.. It's not below the 200 day. But it was number 2 time, reaching the 200 day this week. ADP coming. NFP comes Friday. I dont know where it closes today. I would think off the 200 day at a month close. Bulls would do their best to protect the day 200. Looking at the 12h under 0834 close. Bears dont seem to be giving up.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,959
  • Jan 31, 2024 4:06am Jan 31, 2024 4:06am
Big day today a few hours before close. Either way could be fun. A rate cut outlook looked good before October. The Red Sea stuff may dull that some with inflation possible Fed comment. Now to included Red Sea. Also a small shift to safety assets. That month close today will have a few hours to absorb this. Price is already near the 200 day. That news release and the comment after. Can move this well beyond normal.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,960
  • Jan 31, 2024 5:16am Jan 31, 2024 5:16am
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That cold may have affected it..Red number 41k short
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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