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The Swamp

  • #112,321
  • Oct 4, 2023 1:55am Oct 4, 2023 1:55am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote}{image} Gold color here, is 2022 low, and this weeks low. After the RSI 14.1668. It made the low last year 2 days later. The gold color on the right at 17.4175 was last week. The 3 less violent blue bounce were 500-650 pips. The blue were with the rising trend. Any bounce now looks to be in a downtrend. In a down trend the bounce may be less. 0565/76 shallow. YPP at 0576. Year close at 0700. PA is bearish with momentum. I need to see if it bounces. I want to short higher. The trend is down. This is just an observation about the past. It does...
My powder is dry. 0406 is 50% since last years low/this year's high. 08xx this years high to current low. The common date, corresponding with the like RSI. Has me curious.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #112,322
  • Oct 4, 2023 2:29am Oct 4, 2023 2:29am
I may nibble some if it runs back to 0475/76 L.. Some light support 0466
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #112,323
  • Oct 4, 2023 2:37am Oct 4, 2023 2:37am
ADP next
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #112,324
  • Oct 4, 2023 4:22am Oct 4, 2023 4:22am
Just woke up , I shorted Eur and pound
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  • #112,325
  • Oct 4, 2023 4:25am Oct 4, 2023 4:25am
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  • #112,326
  • Oct 4, 2023 4:55am Oct 4, 2023 4:55am
Quoting gatorinla
I may nibble some if it runs back to 0475/76 L.. Some light support 0466
some 1h trend R at 0522. ADP in 20m.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #112,327
  • Oct 4, 2023 5:13am Oct 4, 2023 5:13am
Quoting Boulder
Just woke up , I shorted Eur and pound {image}
I flat those trades for now, since news coming out
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  • #112,328
  • Edited 5:47am Oct 4, 2023 5:22am | Edited 5:47am
entered short at top. Short 0519
maybe a bit negative news

edit: added longs as hedge, could be false bo?
You have an IQ lower than 90 if you interact with this user.
  • #112,329
  • Oct 4, 2023 5:26am Oct 4, 2023 5:26am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I flat those trades for now, since news coming out {image}
If it runs back to LC. I will take swing long. Near 0475x
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #112,330
  • Oct 4, 2023 6:03am Oct 4, 2023 6:03am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I flat those trades for now, since news coming out {image}
!h trend went to the bulls. ADR is spent. Plus it often runs back to LC. That 1h break is a little positives for my swing. A mixed short term sign, in a strong downtrend.
The 1h bot shorted at 0531.8.
I closed it..
It helps me to believe it will make 0475/76

The same bot is long on day, and week.
So maybe there is a sweet spot on a retrace to LC
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #112,331
  • Oct 4, 2023 6:08am Oct 4, 2023 6:08am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If it runs back to LC. I will take swing long. Near 0475x
Two red news are yet to come...S&P Global Services PMI (Sep) and ISM Services PMI (Sep)...the consensus are for lower numbers for both of them and in general the consensus is optimistic...lower number than consensus and we can see 1.06 today...
I am who I am
  • #112,332
  • Oct 4, 2023 6:23am Oct 4, 2023 6:23am
Quoting imwim
{quote} Two red news are yet to come...S&P Global Services PMI (Sep) and ISM Services PMI (Sep)...the consensus are for lower numbers for both of them and in general the consensus is optimistic...lower number than consensus and we can see 1.06 today...
I have to wait with adr already above normal. My hope is before the news release, it gets closer to 0476. Often pa will run back to 0476. Timing wise thats a lot to ask. The trend being down. 0476 is not a great move. In hindsight, later this may be F-up
*0490?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #112,333
  • Oct 4, 2023 11:24am Oct 4, 2023 11:24am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I have to wait with adr already above normal. My hope is before the news release, it gets closer to 0476. Often pa will run back to 0476. Timing wise thats a lot to ask. The trend being down. 0476 is not a great move. In hindsight, later this may be F-up *0490?
0476 LC voided now.
I left a pending at 0468
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #112,334
  • Oct 5, 2023 6:41am Oct 5, 2023 6:41am
One good adr move can challenge ypp at 0576.
ATM low 0495
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #112,335
  • Oct 5, 2023 7:37pm Oct 5, 2023 7:37pm
I'ts not looking like a pump before NFP. Will get to 1.0700, the year close. 0565 has some R value. 0576 is the ypp. 0592 is a 50% retrace. If pa does close above 0576 Friday. It may be able to go higher.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #112,336
  • Oct 6, 2023 12:35am Oct 6, 2023 12:35am
I think we are looking at a pump and dump
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #112,337
  • Oct 6, 2023 12:37am Oct 6, 2023 12:37am
Quoting axecap
I think we are looking at a pump and dump
.560
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #112,338
  • Oct 6, 2023 1:15am Oct 6, 2023 1:15am
I dont have an open trade, but expect a bearish resumption. Will jump in short if NF confirms
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #112,339
  • Oct 6, 2023 3:06am Oct 6, 2023 3:06am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote}{image} Gold color here, is 2022 low, and this weeks low. After the RSI 14.1668. It made the low last year 2 days later. The gold color on the right at 17.4175 was last week. The 3 less violent blue bounce were 500-650 pips. The blue were with the rising trend. Any bounce now looks to be in a downtrend. In a down trend the bounce may be less. 0565/76 shallow. YPP at 0576. Year close at 0700. PA is bearish with momentum. I need to see if it bounces. I want to short higher. The trend is down. This is just an observation about the past. It does...
PA is very bearish. The quoted post here could still bring a decent bounce. So far its just a little over 100 pips. I would like to hold powder until a large R is reached. 0565 is a decent one for day/week. But its not so large like 0576 0592 0700 0827/35, or others would be. If pa runs back closer to the low. Thes dynamic reasons will flare up again somewhere down there. Since the same RCI level formend last years low, and this current low. On or about the same date. I preferer to find a solid R, or a dynamic trend R. At 0700 or 0835/7x. The trend is still down to me. In this very bearish trend. How high?, is the billion $ question.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #112,340
  • Oct 6, 2023 3:16am Oct 6, 2023 3:16am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} PA is very bearish. The quoted post here could still bring a decent bounce. So far its just a little over 100 pips. I would like to hold powder until a large R is reached. 0565 is a decent one for day/week. But its not so large like 0576 0592 0700 0827/35, or others would be. If pa runs back closer to the low. Thes dynamic reasons will flare up again somewhere down there. Since the same RCI level formend last years low, and this current low. On or about the same date. I preferer to find a solid R, or a dynamic trend R. At 0700 or 0835/7x....
I did have pendings 0565 76 92. with 2hs to go. I decided to cancel them. Damned if you do, damned if you dont. 0610 is one I didnt post
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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