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Intraday swing trading

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  • Post #261
  • Quote
  • Mar 22, 11:21am (29 hr ago) Mar 22, 11:21am (29 hr ago)
  •  giselle1723
  • Joined Jan 2019 | Status: Member | 414 Posts
Quoting pipcatcher2
Disliked
{quote} looks like TMA with price at bands extremes to me
Ignored
I think he uses a kind of ADR Bands indicator.
Attached one is similar to his tool,but this one is not easy to use(Not repaint indi)
Attached File(s)
File Type: ex4 R4M-BD-ADR.ex4   152 KB | 25 downloads
 
1
  • Post #262
  • Quote
  • Edited 7:09pm Mar 22, 5:37pm (23 hr ago) | Edited 7:09pm
  •  BWilliam
  • Joined Jan 2020 | Status: Member | 2,260 Posts
Quoting BWilliam
Disliked
{quote} Fail again as expected. Another attempt which look weaker. Tomorrow is crucial, h4 intent is still poised bullish. Huge move is required to succeed. Cheers.
Ignored
GY update. I made it clear that "huge move is required to succeed". Today's large moved failed to clear 161.870 called on last Thursday. Look at the day candle to "see" how banks kept the close below this level, almost in a straight line.

Until market falls below this level in the pic, market will continue to push towards this 161.87. This is how important this demarcation zone. Look left on day chart to "see".
(Btw, I don't adopt TA look left assumption. Look left is nonsense and too late.)

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FF members say no one know the future. I say TA faulty, misleading and dangerous assumption is the reason. If the FF member write essays to claim he knows about market structure or mechanism how organised this market is, yet at the same time say no one know the future he contradicts himself. His real trades contradict his supposed market structure or mechanism knowledge. Indoctrination activity on FF, the blind leading the blind(the clear sign of blindness is TA scalping, it's so easy to spot). Nobody know the future, I'd say, speak for yourself.

I don't do personal attacks. I take aim at faulty, misleading and dangerous TA assumptions, and TA market structure or mechanism. The losers 75-90% rate is the proof.

My purpose is to wake FF members up. If you do what these losers pool do, you get the same result. Years down the road you will realise this, that's wasted time you pay. This is the purpose of this thread.

It's useless to repeat myself. I have delivered the message loud and clear.

It's a difficult message to deliver. Because the SHRINKS say the reason for your failure is due to YOU vs YOU. I say bullshit! Opportunist SHRINKS use losing traders vulnerability to sell their books and seminars. Shame on you!

Cheers

***REMINDER - this thread is not about the way I trade.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Size: 17 KB
Trade the value
 
1
  • Post #263
  • Quote
  • Mar 22, 5:50pm (22 hr ago) Mar 22, 5:50pm (22 hr ago)
  •  BWilliam
  • Joined Jan 2020 | Status: Member | 2,260 Posts
Quoting pipcatcher2
Disliked
I have a final question (kindly refer to your image uploaded below) regarding your tools you use , you left out what metrics one tool measures so i draw your attention if you will mention its purpose like you mentioned for the other ones cheers and thanks for the alarms in a more responsible manner this time {image}
Ignored
Hi pipcatcher2, it's zigzag pointer ring. The purpose is to show the swings. It's not a swing until the ring show, it's a swing if the ring show. Cheers
Trade the value
 
1
  • Post #264
  • Quote
  • Mar 22, 6:45pm (21 hr ago) Mar 22, 6:45pm (21 hr ago)
  •  PeterCaleb
  • Joined Nov 2020 | Status: Been And Gone. | 1,493 Posts
Quoting RickM
Disliked
{quote} Mate, you should be asking Peter Caleb because I am sure you will recieve a 1950 word post about the merritts of that organsation. I started trading on a Wet Tuesday Morning otherwised called Black Tuesday 1987. To the rest of the world it was Black Monday but due to time zones, it was a Tuesday morning in Wellington New Zealand. I had just watch my brother lose $100,000 on his Share portfolio and he was yelling at his broker (no online brokers then) to get his positions closed. Everybody then was borrowing money of their banks to get into...
Ignored
Why is it that people are SO afraid to learn something UNLESS it's in their periphery to get and keep something? I don't like seeing normal people lose money either, but I don't believe in selling the idea of candy to children and calling it "nutritional supplements". I do know some things about the WB but I wouldn't bother speaking about its merits no. Instead I would say that a person needs to stop living in an "endless holiday mode", thinking that "some other person/entity" is always going to take care of everything FOR YOU. People will never know what they can do with their trading activity unless they see the landscape properly. And to see it properly, you have to stop pretending you're a simpleton in an age where simpletons 'make good decisions'.

From my perspective, just as with this thread's content, people are afraid of anything real. Technical analysis is ANYTHING beyond a "brick-n-mortar" presentation. SO EVERYTHING on this site IS technical analysis in some form or another. SO there's no point in arguing over such self evident things.

To gain a 50pip tradable swing formation on ANY instrument, simply multiply the timeframe's medium period movement by half of the weekly average period movement as a square range. This is not up for debate or opinion making as it's done this way in all areas of society ..... it's called "business".

Eg - The following is hypothetical so you'll need to check current numbers yourself.

GBPUSD likes to move between 40-200 pips daily. I will choose the 1HR TF. Weekly it does eg 400pips.

So, if the 1HR view's average movement is say, 20pips, then

20 x (400 / 2) = 4000 / (10 fractional pips in a whole pip) = 400 pips square range.


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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So I don't see what all the fuss is about. It's about KNOWING YOUR MARKET not whether TA is toxic or not.

Have fun arguing over silly stuff.


Peter

PS - Good money management BEGINS with seeing and knowing the landscape. And this leads to learning about ALL forms of risk. Therefore it has nothing to do with making or losing money. Website traders either don't know or understand this or don't want others to know this.
Trading's for those who learn independently. Everyone else is just blind.
 
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  • Post #265
  • Quote
  • Mar 22, 8:41pm (20 hr ago) Mar 22, 8:41pm (20 hr ago)
  •  HTG
  • Joined Apr 2020 | Status: Member | 132 Posts
Quoting BWilliam
Disliked
{quote} GY update. I made it clear that "huge move is required to succeed". Today's large moved failed to clear 161.870 called on last Thursday. Look at the day candle to "see" how banks kept the close below this level, almost in a straight line. Until market falls below this level in the pic, market will continue to push towards this 161.87. This is how important this level. Look left on day chart to "see". FF members say no one know the future. I say TA faulty, misleading and dangerous assumption is the reason. If the FF member claim he knows...
Ignored
This is both a reply to this post and the one here: https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...1#post14366681

Thats a really bad assumption. Your assuming every single trader trades TA? You keep pointing to this percentage and laying claim that all use TA. You don't think there are any failed FA traders? You dont think there are any quantified statistical approach traders that fail? You have to blame the trader. Who else are you looking to blame? Seeking professional help is an option to help people deal with the psychological aspects of investing but its always a PERSONAL decision that one makes and is not a requirement for successful trading/investing. A requirement in my eye though is to make sure your have the skillset to perform in this demanding business, part of that skillset makes up your MINDSET/PSYCHOLOGICAL side and making sure you show up, your dialed in, on point and firing on all cylinders. If not, well you will get your ass handed to you.

Back to the failure rate, what your looking at is the end result, this 75-90% failure figure. What happens in between the opening and closing of those trades gets left out. Fixated on this failure rate is not something you should be focused on really. If your focused on that, you probably should not be in this business.

Take 10 trades and lets just say you loose all 10 trades but.....you were up 30 pips on each and every one of those trades. Now what? In your point here was TA wrong or was the Trader wrong?

Its simple folks, the forex market is hard (shocker). BUSINESS IS HARD!

MY POINT: A successful business/trading career is HARD, REALLY FUCKING HARD and there is a high failure rate. Much like any business across the board, they have high failure rates, the percentages vary based on the specific circumstances of each business but all deal with failure rates of some sort.

Forex itself as a business is one of the most challenging and difficult business to WIN at.

TA, Structure, Banks Intent on price, price action, FA, tape reading, volume or whatever term your looking to use to identify yourself and use to make your decision to buy/sell in whatever market your trading all falls into Market Analysis.

We are all traders/investors and with that we all make some sort of Market Analysis to place a trade. BUY or SELL.

BWilliam, in my opinion you are wrong to say TA is faulty, misleading and dangerous in the context your putting it in.

The TRUTH is, the Investing industry (NOT JUST TA) is littered with faulty, misleading and dangerous content every where you look, across every aspect of trading.

You want the right way, there is only one right way and thats being SUCCESSFUL. One has to define success for themselves.

Look, How about we look to change the narrative here at Forex Factory? A place you visit frequently. A place a-lot of members diss on yet here they are.

You want to help traders see your point of view, wake traders up. RickM wants to help people not loose money. PeterCaleb I think wants to help in some way.

What are you going to do about it?
 
3
  • Post #266
  • Quote
  • Edited 9:32pm Mar 22, 9:15pm (19 hr ago) | Edited 9:32pm
  •  BWilliam
  • Joined Jan 2020 | Status: Member | 2,260 Posts
Quoting HTG
Disliked
The TRUTH is, the Investing industry (NOT JUST TA) is littered with faulty, misleading and dangerous content every where you look, across every aspect of trading.
Ignored
Hi HTG, I agree 100% with this para you wrote. Bingo!
The most accurate, logical and honest I've read so far.

So, yes I ASSUME which I wrote clearly that most retail traders trade TA.

That's why my focus is specific on TA.

I can't blame the trader when he learnt faulty, misleading and dangerous TA assumptions. The fault is not the person, the fault is what he is taught.

How to change the narrative on FF, you ask.

Start by calling out TA is faulty, misleading and dangerous. All these traders, the herd, are falling into the fire pit.

Start questioning every TA assumption. Even when the trades return a profit. Instead of saying nice trade.

We should question TA assumptions, question the nice pretty artwork charts. Why we have what we put on our chart. Why we put nothing on our chart. Why we see something on our chart.

All these has their own TA underlying assumptions. Question every single one of them.

That's how we change the narrative on FF.

Start from the beginning,

"TA assumptions are faulty, misleading and dangerous."

Which you and imo every honest, logical veteran in this business agree with.

What are you going to do about it, you ask,

Well, in my small way, I put in this effort to get FF members come on here to chat and discuss about it. This thread is for honest, logical adults. Which my experience posting on FF tell me there are few. Strange isn't it? Even fewer still who chose to do something about it. Cheers
Trade the value
 
1
  • Post #267
  • Quote
  • Mar 22, 9:52pm (18 hr ago) Mar 22, 9:52pm (18 hr ago)
  •  RickM
  • Joined Sep 2015 | Status: Member | 2,131 Posts
Quoting Ihlas
Disliked
{quote} Great, thanks for sharing your story.What will you do once you can't get that volume thing or stops to generate profit? So real life is thing as Peter Caleb says.What I'm doing also imbalance, but some connection with real life.Good luck!
Ignored
Real live is about people, therefore you need to be able to see trader participation before you can be a Peter C.
Volume is the ultimate real life barometer because here we can see real people acting out their fantasies and pushing the trade button.

Once we see so many traders lose their money every day, we understand the best way of being profitable is to be on the other side of their trades.

Volume shows us which side they are on, all we have to do therefore is jump side and become a thief,

What would I do if volume levels stopped providing profits for me, that’s easy. Next week I head over to Japan for a 6 week trading joint where I split my time between trading and doing the odd touristy thing. If the volume signals are providing crappy signals which does happen from time to timer, I will spend my time eating Sushi.

FUCK trading in those occasions
Trading thin liquidity at the boundary of the charts
2
2
  • Post #268
  • Quote
  • Mar 23, 1:07am (15 hr ago) Mar 23, 1:07am (15 hr ago)
  •  Ihlas
  • Joined Nov 2020 | Status: Member | 2,202 Posts
Quoting RickM
Disliked
{quote} Real live is about people, therefore you need to be able to see trader participation before you can be a Peter C. Volume is the ultimate real life barometer because here we can see real people acting out their fantasies and pushing the trade button. Once we see so many traders lose their money every day, we understand the best way of being profitable is to be on the other side of their trades. Volume shows us which side they are on, all we have to do therefore is jump side and become a thief, What would I do if volume levels stopped providing...
Ignored
Believe me, there're more important things than volume! What you're saying is also true.

Especially in FX
 
1
  • Post #269
  • Quote
  • Mar 23, 1:24am (15 hr ago) Mar 23, 1:24am (15 hr ago)
  •  RickM
  • Joined Sep 2015 | Status: Member | 2,131 Posts
Quoting Ihlas
Disliked
{quote} Believe me, there're more important things than volume! What you're saying is also true. Especially in FX
Ignored
Its important to me, but may be totally useless for other traders strategies.

We have communicated before about your ideas in other social media sites, but could you give us some more insights here into how you trade the markets.
Trading thin liquidity at the boundary of the charts
1
2
  • Post #270
  • Quote
  • Mar 23, 4:11am (12 hr ago) Mar 23, 4:11am (12 hr ago)
  •  Ihlas
  • Joined Nov 2020 | Status: Member | 2,202 Posts
Quoting RickM
Disliked
{quote} Its important to me, but may be totally useless for other traders strategies. We have communicated before about your ideas in other social media sites, but could you give us some more insights here into how you trade the markets.
Ignored
Boeing is doing bad, but another company that has firm connection with Boeing is doing good. So by connecting the dots, I can easily go long Boeing.Observation and connecting dots are essential, but I need to find that relations connecting Boeing and X company.In a nutshell, like this!
 
3
  • Post #271
  • Quote
  • Last Post: Mar 23, 5:11am (11 hr ago) Mar 23, 5:11am (11 hr ago)
  •  pipcatcher2
  • | Joined Mar 2011 | Status: Member | 24 Posts | Online Now
Quoting BWilliam
Disliked
{quote} Hi pipcatcher2, it's zigzag pointer ring. The purpose is to show the swings. It's not a swing until the ring show, it's a swing if the ring show. Cheers
Ignored
Thank you for the clarification
 
 
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