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Attachments: Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles
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Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles

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  • Post #9,081
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  • Oct 6, 2022 5:29am Oct 6, 2022 5:29am
  •  parisboy
  • Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Member | 9,303 Posts
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  • Post #9,082
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  • Oct 6, 2022 12:31pm Oct 6, 2022 12:31pm
  •  parisboy
  • Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Member | 9,303 Posts
But there is no "lag" with a Moving Average . A Moving Average is calculated on all the last data.

You have a Position "Lag" if you use a Centered Moving Average because you offset the results 1/2 period back

look at how Excel worked

Excel can not position a MA 128 result before Data 129 !

Hence Excel positions the 128 last MA Calculations results AFTER the last available bar (say today)

If you do it manually you will understand how, why and the limits of what you do .
Otherwise if you trust your computer you will master nothing.
Until I interested me in (Centered) Moving Averages because of Hurst I had no understanding of MA's.
I just looked at my screen and had never noticed that Excel positioned the X period MA it calculated X bars AFTER the last point used for the calculation

notice that we have not a Lag but an Advance !
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  • Post #9,083
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  • Oct 7, 2022 4:51am Oct 7, 2022 4:51am
  •  parisboy
  • Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Member | 9,303 Posts
GBPUSD 1 mn

Long Position
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  • Post #9,084
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  • Oct 7, 2022 5:59am Oct 7, 2022 5:59am
  •  parisboy
  • Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Member | 9,303 Posts
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  • Post #9,085
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  • Oct 7, 2022 6:02am Oct 7, 2022 6:02am
  •  parisboy
  • Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Member | 9,303 Posts
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  • Post #9,086
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  • Oct 7, 2022 6:10am Oct 7, 2022 6:10am
  •  parisboy
  • Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Member | 9,303 Posts
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  • Post #9,087
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  • Oct 7, 2022 7:22am Oct 7, 2022 7:22am
  •  parisboy
  • Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Member | 9,303 Posts
Long Follow Up
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  • Post #9,088
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  • Oct 8, 2022 1:46am Oct 8, 2022 1:46am
  •  blueRocket
  • | Joined Feb 2022 | Status: Member | 140 Posts
Hi guys, still working about Curvilinear channels, envelopes, Focal points
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  • Post #9,089
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  • Oct 10, 2022 12:14pm Oct 10, 2022 12:14pm
  •  parisboy
  • Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Member | 9,303 Posts
GBPUSD 1 mn

Envelopes
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  • Post #9,090
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  • Oct 10, 2022 12:57pm Oct 10, 2022 12:57pm
  •  parisboy
  • Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Member | 9,303 Posts
GBPUSD 1 MN

Short Follow Up
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  • Post #9,091
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  • Oct 11, 2022 6:12am Oct 11, 2022 6:12am
  •  parisboy
  • Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Member | 9,303 Posts
when you simplify / stylize your chart you see immediately what is important and what is less. Then you can better observe the changes

hence you see that in the context of the chart the Downtrend is deepening
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  • Post #9,092
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  • Oct 11, 2022 12:29pm Oct 11, 2022 12:29pm
  •  parisboy
  • Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Member | 9,303 Posts
GBPUSD 1 mn

Closed Long Position
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  • Post #9,093
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  • Oct 12, 2022 3:48am Oct 12, 2022 3:48am
  •  parisboy
  • Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Member | 9,303 Posts
GBPUSD 15 mn

short position opened and kept overnight
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  • Post #9,094
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  • Oct 12, 2022 6:02am Oct 12, 2022 6:02am
  •  parisboy
  • Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Member | 9,303 Posts
GBPUSD 1 mn

Why Trend is Up ?
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  • Post #9,095
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  • Oct 12, 2022 11:09am Oct 12, 2022 11:09am
  •  parisboy
  • Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Member | 9,303 Posts
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  • Post #9,096
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  • Oct 12, 2022 2:14pm Oct 12, 2022 2:14pm
  •  parisboy
  • Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Member | 9,303 Posts
Long Follow Up
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  • Post #9,097
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  • Oct 13, 2022 6:09am Oct 13, 2022 6:09am
  •  parisboy
  • Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Member | 9,303 Posts
SPX 500 Daily

Envelopes
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  • Post #9,098
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  • Oct 13, 2022 6:10am Oct 13, 2022 6:10am
  •  parisboy
  • Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Member | 9,303 Posts
GBPUSD 15 mn
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  • Post #9,099
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  • Oct 14, 2022 5:27am Oct 14, 2022 5:27am
  •  parisboy
  • Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Member | 9,303 Posts
GBPUSD 1 mn

Short Follow Up
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  • Post #9,100
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  • Oct 14, 2022 5:36am Oct 14, 2022 5:36am
  •  parisboy
  • Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Member | 9,303 Posts
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