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The Swamp

  • #104,541
  • Oct 1, 2022 2:53pm Oct 1, 2022 2:53pm
9695 before 9870. EZ! (I wish LOL)
dreams do come true.
  • #104,542
  • Oct 1, 2022 9:53pm Oct 1, 2022 9:53pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} On the same page mostly. .9900/.9950 to me on the up, may drop after .99. But i opted out on longing, from .98 to tp .99. I like more reward. .99, 1.0348. 1.0805.5 are within the conversation to me. Before making those big lower lows 0.8 0.77.. So next week I will see if .9678 holds baseline support before Wednesday. I think it may bounce .9678/90 ish. This buy is if it hasn't gone to .99 first. Either .9690/78 is buy to me. or .9900/5x is a sell to me. Getting there I will not trade. I dont risk more then about 40 pips on this little ones,...
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,543
  • Oct 2, 2022 4:56am Oct 2, 2022 4:56am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Well done..thank you!!!! that made my brother very very happy
I was tracking these for you about 6 months ago. I haven't looked in a while. The U.S. 30 is due for a bounce. Its in the slip of a pool. Its near hitting a decent support. The R/R looks decent. Since its a support number is there, the slip there may be small. Plus its within a pool. 28676.25 is looking like a support. No need for large stops. It's right or wrong. Second choice 28077.50. The same criteria.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,544
  • Oct 2, 2022 5:51am Oct 2, 2022 5:51am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Yeah people will rebuild. Insurance will. pa X. But once something like this happens. That generational wealth is lost. First off the deductible may be 3%+. Many of these people are not in a flood plane. So did not have flood insurance. Since it was not required. A lot of rebuilding money comes from savings etc. Insurance doesn't cover all that is replaced. Insurance wants to pro-rate personal items. A home owner policy will only cover water entering from the roof/broken window. etc. If the flood water hit the house and knocked it down first....

Yep. Debt free at 44. Cancelled flood insurance shortly thereafter ($6k per year). 3' of water in my home 8 months later and now back in debt.

Not mad as this is pain I caused myself to some degree even though flood insurance would not have covered all the losses. Additionally I'm so much better off than many who lost everything and simply walked away.

Certainly is a kick to the mid-section but I'm almost over it 6 years later. ;-)
  • #104,545
  • Oct 2, 2022 6:39am Oct 2, 2022 6:39am
Matt Gaetz just voted against hurricane relief. Soooo happy I left Florida. Place is an armpit.
  • #104,546
  • Oct 2, 2022 7:05am Oct 2, 2022 7:05am
Quoting charlienoble
Matt Gaetz just voted against hurricane relief. Soooo happy I left Florida. Place is an armpit.
Reality will set in. no cell service, electricity, cable, cable, hot shower, Petro for the generator, cold food or internet. Gets old on Marco Island quick. They will have a rope for Gaetz.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,547
  • Oct 2, 2022 7:26am Oct 2, 2022 7:26am
Quoting charlienoble
Matt Gaetz just voted against hurricane relief. Soooo happy I left Florida. Place is an armpit.
if you have a 2$ million condo or a 5-10 million dollar home that took flood waters you are screwed. Fema flood insurance only covers 250K (if they had it), The reinsurance from Lloyds is out the ass high already. It will just be rising. The flooding here was 20-30 years ahead of other coastal regions. The country is starting to see it now. From massive Hurricanes, droughts in Alabama, South. hurricane in Canada, Lake Mead drying up, wild fires in Colorado, Wyoming, Idaho. Montana, Oregon, Washington. Its not just California anymore. Floods in Kentucky, Tennessee. etc. Its starting to add up. The trajectory is just increasing to more extreme climate change. This is just the early part.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,548
  • Oct 2, 2022 7:29am Oct 2, 2022 7:29am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if you have a 2$ million condo or a 5-10 million dollar home that took flood waters you are screwed. Fema flood insurance only covers 250K (if they had it), The reinsurance from Lloyds is out the ass high already. It will just be rising. The flooding here was 20-30 years ahead of other coastal regions. The country is starting to see it now. From massive Hurricanes, droughts in Alabama, South. hurricane in Canada, Lake Mead drying up, wild fires in Colorado, Wyoming, Idaho. Montana, Oregon, Washington. Its not just California anymore. Floods...
The tip of the iceberg. We haven't seen anything yet.
  • #104,549
  • Oct 2, 2022 12:10pm Oct 2, 2022 12:10pm
This is so scary.. hope Floridian trader friends are ok...
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  • #104,550
  • Oct 3, 2022 2:32am Oct 3, 2022 2:32am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I was tracking these for you about 6 months ago. I haven't looked in a while. The U.S. 30 is due for a bounce. Its in the slip of a pool. Its near hitting a decent support. The R/R looks decent. Since its a support number is there, the slip there may be small. Plus its within a pool. 28676.25 is looking like a support. No need for large stops. It's right or wrong. Second choice 28077.50. The same criteria. {image}
I risked 1-10 reward on a 31,494 U.S. 30 bounce. tp 31,494
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,551
  • Oct 3, 2022 2:41am Oct 3, 2022 2:41am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I want to edit. Still in the area below 9690 may be a long. I think above 9678.7 leans bullish. Of course 9732 is above. A possible slip below 9690/slip is normal. The .9678.7 should be a balance point. I'm not calling for a long. Because i do think it will hit .99. But on the chance it may fall first, I will wait for .9690/.9578 area to see how it goes. I acknowledge I may miss a run to .99. But since it didnt close above 9822. and Cot shorts. It leaves the chance open it will fall. Plus it did hit the last target .9807. Those usually retrace...
Sunday eu couldn't take back .9822, So i think Friday's low area will come .9746,, I will try to wait for .9690/78/70 area. Its breaking down tl trajectory. After .9690, I will take the shot at longs.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,552
  • Oct 3, 2022 3:41am Oct 3, 2022 3:41am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Sunday eu couldn't take back .9822, So i think Friday's low area will come .9746,, I will try to wait for .9690/78/70 area. Its breaking down tl trajectory. After .9690, I will take the shot at longs. {image}
Its not back to .9748 yet. Friday the .9732 balance point may still have the residual support. If its unable to close below .9732. It is still working. Its not that I dont know its there. The nearest larger algo is .9690. So I was waiting for it. Near and above .9732 still has its positives. And it may stop pa from reaching .9690
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,553
  • Oct 3, 2022 3:59am Oct 3, 2022 3:59am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I risked 1-10 reward on a 31,494 U.S. 30 bounce. tp 31,494 {image}
A green day/week on equities will be good for me. I may short tp line later. Its October.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,554
  • Oct 3, 2022 4:06am Oct 3, 2022 4:06am
A lot of stuff may go out the window with a OPEC oil cut.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,555
  • Oct 3, 2022 4:27am Oct 3, 2022 4:27am
Quoting gatorinla
A lot of stuff may go out the window with a OPEC oil cut.
A OPEC cut will hurt EZ more. With higher oil prices.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,556
  • Oct 3, 2022 5:33am Oct 3, 2022 5:33am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} A OPEC cut will hurt EZ more. With higher oil prices.
5 now
  • #104,557
  • Oct 3, 2022 7:12am Oct 3, 2022 7:12am
EU stuck in the middle
  • #104,558
  • Oct 3, 2022 7:49am Oct 3, 2022 7:49am
9870 on the eu seems very likely to me. my question is: should i hold till 9966? 9870 should see some shorts coming in and long take profit... maybe its better to be safe than sorry...
dreams do come true.
  • #104,559
  • Oct 3, 2022 7:54am Oct 3, 2022 7:54am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} 5 now
Its ok to miss those little ones. Focus on the real cherry picks. That's where the real money is, with less risk. Less drawdown is less risk. Drawdown kills accounts.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #104,560
  • Oct 3, 2022 8:15am Oct 3, 2022 8:15am
Quoting wannaberich
9870 on the eu seems very likely to me. my question is: should i hold till 9966? 9870 should see some shorts coming in and long take profit... maybe its better to be safe than sorry...
I think .99/slip. Or just .9853+20ish to screw shorts. Either way those stops above 9853 are in jeopardy to me. I cant short till above .99.. But need to allow 40ish pips of slip. .99 may be a dud. 1.0349 or 1.0805.5 may be the real thing. That would wean many off the short tet. They will say trend change (lets go long) yadda yadda. I suspect a new LL after, before a 0.93xx bounce to catch late shorts again.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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