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The Swamp

  • #101,841
  • Jun 29, 2022 5:27am Jun 29, 2022 5:27am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} I try not to trade EU because it can be illogical. Today I got in shorts and it's testing my patience. GU is dumping nicely and today of all days I decided to not trade it.
lol..Miti.. I see you are tired of Eur but you keep coming back....
Good luck with your trades.. hope all works out.. at least Eur shorts are with trend...
  • #101,842
  • Jun 29, 2022 6:01am Jun 29, 2022 6:01am
okay boss. i am also waiting for news
  • #101,843
  • Jun 29, 2022 6:28am Jun 29, 2022 6:28am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} I try not to trade EU because it can be illogical. Today I got in shorts and it's testing my patience. GU is dumping nicely and today of all days I decided to not trade it.
you should be happy now.. Eur dropping..
  • #101,844
  • Jun 29, 2022 6:29am Jun 29, 2022 6:29am
USDCHF is giving an opportunity to run the 5th Wave up as long as PA does not breach the top of 1st wave (few pips below should be your STP).
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  • #101,845
  • Jun 29, 2022 6:40am Jun 29, 2022 6:40am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} you should be happy now.. Eur dropping..
Oh yes! Hahaha... thank you.
  • #101,846
  • Jun 29, 2022 6:43am Jun 29, 2022 6:43am
0482 68 44 next light S.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,847
  • Edited 7:42am Jun 29, 2022 7:02am | Edited 7:42am
1.0467 checked may be missed by 5 pips. EU might run up now, unless end of M/Q enter in play with parity expectation.
  • #101,848
  • Jun 29, 2022 8:36am Jun 29, 2022 8:36am
I got a week fib at 0472.. I got an extension at 0414, and some day support at 0421,, I will look for something in the 1.0400/21 area. If the bears cant make the LL.. Anywhere above 0339 has bounce potential. I cant really pin point anything on months end. I do expect this to break at some point. But that day could be another month. Some s/R 0472/80 expected. Close side should matter.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,849
  • Edited 9:16am Jun 29, 2022 8:59am | Edited 9:16am
Quoting Steamroller
Hi Gator any view on chf jpy? How far could it run? I have a couple of shorts running.
It could drop thousands of pips. When/where is the high. I don't know. 142.11 had some long time R potential. It blew through it.. Notice after it did. It was used as support. Now see it its acting as S/R. It it falls below, it may be R again. Be sure to take some profit now your have some. If its dropping now your doing good. The next R is 145 i see.. A fib extension can bring it to a new hh. 144.37.. A retrace can easily be a shitload. You may have already caught the top.. Only time can show that. It was near the extension.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,850
  • Jun 29, 2022 9:42am Jun 29, 2022 9:42am
Quoting gatorinla
It into 4h R, its into day R 0594, its into week R 0610, Its into 0835.5 Mid (blue line), If it runs past these. Using this with the short bias of COT. Bulls don't seem to care. But its here, and only time can answer now. If it don't swing down from here (box), I'm wrong. {image}
I shorted too early, and closed too early. It did hit the mid 045x Sunday target.

It may go to 0421/14.. I'm not in.. 0475/80 may be some R. I did scalp one off 77 a fem min ago.. out now..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,851
  • Jun 29, 2022 10:01am Jun 29, 2022 10:01am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I shorted too early, and closed too early. It did hit the mid 045x Sunday target. It may go to 0421/14.. I'm not in.. 0475/80 may be some R. I did scalp one off 77 a fem min ago.. out now.. {image}
Just got back home. I missed all this ride down after 1.05 break...I am going to wait for some bounce to short again..
  • #101,852
  • Jun 29, 2022 10:06am Jun 29, 2022 10:06am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Bears have reversed H4 trend at Sys II.. sys I is next...I am shorting Eur bounces {image}
Bears have also reversed H4 per system I.. now both sys H4 are downtrend.. more drop may come for next a few days...
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  • #101,853
  • Jun 29, 2022 10:18am Jun 29, 2022 10:18am
Quoting Fadhl
1.0467 checked may be missed by 5 pips. EU might run up now, unless end of M/Q enter in play with parity expectation.
If H4 closes below 1.0467, EU is going south and 1.0359 will be tested.
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  • #101,854
  • Jun 29, 2022 10:40am Jun 29, 2022 10:40am
euro swiss is right below parody. On the day the signup for NATO.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,855
  • Jun 29, 2022 10:56am Jun 29, 2022 10:56am
Quoting gatorinla
euro swiss is right below parody. On the day the signup for NATO. {image}
I closed the eur/chf long. I had forgot about NATO join today. I may regret closing. I don't know how joining NATO could affect the swiss. I was looking to tp 500. I talked myself out the trade.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,856
  • Jun 29, 2022 11:07am Jun 29, 2022 11:07am
Quoting Fadhl
{quote} If H4 closes below 1.0467, EU is going south and 1.0359 will be tested. {image}
If I can get one at 0477 again.. I may try for 042x. Using a 3-4 pip stop. i will wait till after rollover..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,857
  • Jun 29, 2022 1:07pm Jun 29, 2022 1:07pm
Quoting Fadhl
{quote} If H4 closes below 1.0467, EU is going south and 1.0359 will be tested. {image}
Not the ideal time month close wise. If it closes today below 0444.. That's not bullish in normal times. On a day chart. If it closes below 0444, it seems to agree with the same level.. 0354 on this extension. Later, a possible short from 0477/85 ish may be a good short. A partial tp maybe 042x, and the final 035x. A test near the decade low.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,858
  • Jun 29, 2022 1:21pm Jun 29, 2022 1:21pm
Quoting Fadhl
{quote} If H4 closes below 1.0467, EU is going south and 1.0359 will be tested. {image}
I don't know all the rules. I do know if pa can not close below 0421 and 0520 (make a LL). I will be looking for a retest of 0786. 0835 and 1.1065 may be in that range. In July I will be longing some. Looking for a higher place to short.
If this be the case, 0786 0835 0936 1184 need to be considered. I think 0835 is a tough one for closes to beat. I will look for short setups at all of these. But I will be long too..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,859
  • Jun 29, 2022 2:58pm Jun 29, 2022 2:58pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I don't know all the rules. I do know if pa can not close below 0421 and 0520 (make a LL). I will be looking for a retest of 0786. 0835 and 1.1065 may be in that range. In July I will be longing some. Looking for a higher place to short. If this be the case, 0786 0835 0936 1184 need to be considered. I think 0835 is a tough one for closes to beat. I will look for short setups at all of these. But I will be long too.. {image}
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Not the ideal time month close wise. If it closes today below 0444.. That's not bullish in normal times. On a day chart. If it closes below 0444, it seems to agree with the same level.. 0354 on this extension. Later, a possible short from 0477/85 ish may be a good short. A partial tp maybe 042x, and the final 035x. A test near the decade low. {image}

possible short from 0477/86 ish R. The day close was below 0444
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #101,860
  • Jun 30, 2022 1:53am Jun 30, 2022 1:53am
If it drop to 0410, I will tp all old shorts. Then I will look for a bounce again to 0699/0716. I don't know If it bounce from support. It depends on close Q and month today. btw, I think this trampoline is still intact. 0410 is below some S. So I have to be more patient to tp my shorts.
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
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