The Swamp | Page 4781 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread
Attachments: The Swamp
Exit Attachments

The Swamp

  • #95,601
  • Feb 15, 2022 7:20am Feb 15, 2022 7:20am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1320 st norm s. 1331 ish may slap it (1340.1).. 1h 15 min till lc. {image}
Time is short before lc. 1340 may be a R.
Attached Image
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,602
  • Feb 15, 2022 7:37am Feb 15, 2022 7:37am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Time is short before lc. 1340 may be a R. {image}
Looks like BS.. I just have to treat above 1308 as bullish.. The largest close above is the week. It may need a week close below it now. The day close yesterday didnt do it. It has a 12h close above it today.

Since last week 1369 has a week close below. 1331 and 1308 dont have a week close below. I figured a day close below was enough yesterday. Evidently is wasn't atm. 1369 may be the one to stop bulls.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,603
  • Feb 15, 2022 7:51am Feb 15, 2022 7:51am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Looks like BS.. I just have to treat above 1308 as bullish.. The largest close above is the week. It may need a week close below it now. The day close yesterday didnt do it. It has a 12h close above it today. Since last week 1369 has a week close below. 1331 and 1308 dont have a week close below. I figured a day close below was enough yesterday. Evidently is wasn't atm. 1369 may be the one to stop bulls.
Everything is chugging along
Everything looks like a sell until 13602 is broken
  • #95,604
  • Feb 15, 2022 8:02am Feb 15, 2022 8:02am
Quoting q_import
{quote} im short... I think this might be the place..
Yeah its still under 1369.. Timing wise things are not adding up for me. Maybe it was Russia, I dont know. I dont like being between in the chop. I guess chop is always where you find it. PA is still between 1208 and any of those in this area. 1369 looks to be the pivot. At least till 1245.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,605
  • Feb 15, 2022 8:19am Feb 15, 2022 8:19am
This is no longer looking bearish. Moreover that dip was the final clue. It will most likely head higher. Higher tonight and even higher tomorrow before any short.
  • #95,606
  • Feb 15, 2022 8:21am Feb 15, 2022 8:21am
Quoting Mitiblotch
This is no longer looking bearish. Moreover that dip was the final clue. It will most likely head higher. Higher tonight and even higher tomorrow before any short.
1369.9 R is next to test. (It may be 1367)
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,607
  • Feb 15, 2022 8:26am Feb 15, 2022 8:26am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1369.9 R is next to test. (It may be 1367)
Yes. LC should be much higher today than yesterday? And 1370 is obvious. One guy told me the lowest of day sell stops yesterday were at 1285 and it appears price hit those sell stops and flew up. I don't like the 30mins and 1 hr chart facing up. I guess it will hurt bears a little. Tomorrow London might open with a good spike up.

1370 was yesterday's pivot which it missed by 1.2 pips. Let's see how it goes.
  • #95,608
  • Feb 15, 2022 8:33am Feb 15, 2022 8:33am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} picking the right side of that yellow line could be worth a 450+. But it may test your balls. {image}
1369.9
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 35 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,609
  • Feb 15, 2022 8:39am Feb 15, 2022 8:39am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1369.9 {image}
What day? or time.. Who knows.. 1369.9 (1367) is not a generic level on a 5 min chart.
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} picking the right side of 1449 could be worth more than 1369.9 (450 pips+). The year closed below 1449 at 1369. Last week closed below 1369. The week before, closed below 1447. The month below 1331, but above 1208. 1208 seems to be the one thing in the way of a drop. Picking the right side of 1449 may be helped shorts by the close at 1369. 1449 was tested last week. Its norm at 1308 this week. Its in post sex mode. I didnt think it would go much past 1308. But if it did, the stops should be close to 1308 for shorts. I cant be certain, Maybe...
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,610
  • Feb 15, 2022 9:12am Feb 15, 2022 9:12am
I got a mixture of time frames here. I do need closes below 1331 and 1308. In the st I think pa closing this next 4h below 1351 is bearish. I think 1351 could also provide some support. This may be setting up 1.0921
Attached Image
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,611
  • Feb 15, 2022 9:13am Feb 15, 2022 9:13am
The game of Cat and Mouse to be continued...

AFP : EU Slams Russian Lawmakers' Bid To Recognise Separatist Ukraine Regions...
https://www.barrons.com/news/eu-slam...efsec=afp-news
I am who I am
  • #95,612
  • Feb 15, 2022 9:17am Feb 15, 2022 9:17am
4h is about 45 min away (lets watch 1351).. PA is on the 1.0922 sequence of numbers.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 22 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,613
  • Feb 15, 2022 9:25am Feb 15, 2022 9:25am
When 1308 was achieved yesterday. I should have gave a bounce a better chance. Because once something completes. Other forces want to bounce it. When the day closed below 1308. I thought that was it. I did recommend a tight stop above 1308 ("a few") That should have protected shorts on this bounce. I will try to do better. 1369.9 R may be all the bulls get for months or years. I cant say if that day is today.

ATm there is a developing path to 1.092x. We can watch it together. We can see if 1369.9 has topped or not. No different than 1492 last week.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,614
  • Feb 15, 2022 9:30am Feb 15, 2022 9:30am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Im bearish.. A long at 1308 may bounce some. Maybe 1331. They are like 1369. Or like pa acted Thursday when unable to close below 1407.5. Just like pa inability to close above 1492 leading to test 1447 yesterday. That's why I was so cautious. About all of them. Just make sure 1308 and 1331 get the closes in the direction you want. I'm bearish because of recent pa. 1208 is another spot. A month close below 1208 opens up a lot of hedge funds to short. Then pa will hit 1.09x. Pa dont always wait for the month to close. We...
I should of reposted this one from last week. Once 1308 completed, a bounce was possible. I discounted a bounce because the day closed below 1308
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,615
  • Feb 15, 2022 9:42am Feb 15, 2022 9:42am
This is all speculation on 1369.9 holding eventually. I dont know if today is that day. I assume it has a chance because the rejection last week of 1492 1447/49 and 1369 with a week close. I may be wrong. But if this is the case, 1331 and 1308 were closed with a day yesterday. Assuming I'm right. The ones below are 1245 and 1208. I think they may need a month close below 1245 and 1208. 1308 a week+ close below.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 19 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,616
  • Feb 15, 2022 9:48am Feb 15, 2022 9:48am
Quoting gatorinla
ATm there is a developing path to 1.092x. We can watch it together. We can see if 1369.9 has topped or not. No different than 1492 last week.
Quoting gatorinla
I got a mixture of time frames here. I do need closes below 1331 and 1308. In the st I think pa closing this next 4h below 1351 is bearish. I think 1351 could also provide some support. This may be setting up 1.0921 {image}
Quoting gatorinla
4h is about 45 min away (lets watch 1351).. PA is on the 1.0922 sequence of numbers. {image}

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 14 KB

1351.4
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,617
  • Feb 15, 2022 10:02am Feb 15, 2022 10:02am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} {quote} {quote} {image} 1351.4
The 4h did hold above 1351. Below 1369
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 17 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,618
  • Feb 15, 2022 10:17am Feb 15, 2022 10:17am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The 4h did hold above 1351. Below 1369 {image}
That's a very bullish 4h. Which reminds me of sg sisse taught us: price will always return to the scene of the crime. Which in this Russian invasion-nonsense is 1.1392 and 'coincidentally' a mofu. So larger bears might want that level, also bulls want that level going long off of 1289 which has been the level since Nov. If that breaks, I don't think 1492 will hold much for the third time.
Legal disclaimer: I'm not bullish. I'm not bearish. I don't give trading advice. No hablo inglés.
  • #95,619
  • Feb 15, 2022 10:42am Feb 15, 2022 10:42am
Quoting xav
{quote} That's a very bullish 4h. Which reminds me of sg sisse taught us: price will always return to the scene of the crime. Which in this Russian invasion-nonsense is 1.1392 and 'coincidentally' a mofu. So larger bears might want that level, also bulls want that level going long off of 1289 which has been the level since Nov. If that breaks, I don't think 1492 will hold much for the third time. Legal disclaimer: I'm not bullish. I'm not bearish. I don't give trading advice. No hablo inglés.
Time makes fools of us all.
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #95,620
  • Feb 15, 2022 11:04am Feb 15, 2022 11:04am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Time makes fools of us all. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vNG4xKYiLrA
Any level either holds or not. This isn't the same as foolishness.
76 traders viewing now