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The Swamp

  • #88,361
  • Jul 27, 2021 5:48am Jul 27, 2021 5:48am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Bulls missed the 12 h 1788+ close. Against the large support at this 1689/1709/1840 area. It may force a test of Boulder's day 1897. 12h trend R at 1851. 8h 1817, Bulls just missed 1788, so this may just be a headfake. Missing 1788 is not the best early sign for bulls. Selling near 1801/190x still seems best to me.. As long as in line with. Boulder's day. The attraction to 1792 was met
8h at 1811.9, pa is above it. 12h at 1832.2. day at 1884/85.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #88,362
  • Jul 27, 2021 5:49am Jul 27, 2021 5:49am
Eur datapoints..
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  • #88,363
  • Jul 27, 2021 5:52am Jul 27, 2021 5:52am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} From the last q perspective. pa is at its PP 1792.7 (Q2 2021). Its just the first month in Q 3, pa could just linger here above 1709 till before q3 close. Or even until years end. Later 1709 may be a pp. Where pp plays around it for a while. For perspective purposes the low is dead center between these 2 points. I leave pendings near 1875 partly for this reason. Just in case. {image}
ATm unable to take the center low, pa is back above 1792. 1875 got a little closer.
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ping pong, with 1792 as center (1851), yields 1875.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #88,364
  • Edited 6:35am Jul 27, 2021 6:03am | Edited 6:35am
Eur bears can't hold lower time frames.. Eur may on its way to challenge day..
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  • #88,365
  • Jul 27, 2021 6:05am Jul 27, 2021 6:05am
GU datapoints..
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  • #88,366
  • Jul 27, 2021 6:12am Jul 27, 2021 6:12am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} ATm unable to take the center low, pa is back above 1792. 1875 got a little closer. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PhOfJhJKZk ping pong, with 1792 as center (1751), yields 1875. {image}
8h flipped to bullish on the last 1h close. the odds of testing the 12 h (1832) and day (1884x) have risen. Careful shorting these lower 18xx levels.

typo in red was changed to 1751, 1851 was wrong.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #88,367
  • Jul 27, 2021 6:17am Jul 27, 2021 6:17am
Eur added 1825..day range high reached...
  • #88,368
  • Jul 27, 2021 6:20am Jul 27, 2021 6:20am
Dxy giving up.. may on its way to 92
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  • #88,369
  • Jul 27, 2021 6:29am Jul 27, 2021 6:29am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 8h flipped to bullish on the last 1h close. The odds of testing the 12 h (1832) and day (1884x) have risen. Careful shorting these lower 18xx levels. Typo in red was changed to 1751, 1851 was wrong. {image}
*federal decision on mask mandate imminent: Cnn, citing source
  • #88,370
  • Jul 27, 2021 6:34am Jul 27, 2021 6:34am
Quoting Boulder
Eur added 1825..day range high reached...
Eur TP 1815
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  • #88,371
  • Jul 27, 2021 6:45am Jul 27, 2021 6:45am
Quoting Boulder
Eur shorted some here 1815
Eur and GU both TP out...
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  • #88,372
  • Jul 27, 2021 8:20am Jul 27, 2021 8:20am
fyi
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  • #88,373
  • Jul 27, 2021 9:50am Jul 27, 2021 9:50am
Quoting Boulder
Eur datapoints.. {image}
any open positions on GU?
  • #88,374
  • Jul 27, 2021 9:54am Jul 27, 2021 9:54am
Quoting genadi
{quote} any open positions on GU?
I do. about 9% negative dd.
Previous week's COT report was indicating massive shorts on gbp. My mistake was ignoring boulder's reminding about month end rebalancing.
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #88,375
  • Jul 27, 2021 10:05am Jul 27, 2021 10:05am
Quoting genadi
{quote} any open positions on GU?
unfortunately I do...I did add some shorts here 1.3880s, TP open...
35 pips away from day downtrend stop 1.3921 atm
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  • #88,376
  • Jul 27, 2021 10:08am Jul 27, 2021 10:08am
Quoting saninvestor
{quote} I do. about 9% negative dd. Previous week's COT report was indicating massive shorts on gbp. My mistake was ignoring boulder's reminding about month end rebalancing.
Good job...keep the DD low...
  • #88,377
  • Jul 27, 2021 10:29am Jul 27, 2021 10:29am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} unfortunately I do...I did add some shorts here 1.3880s, TP open... 35 pips away from day downtrend stop 1.3921 atm {image}
if price stays here for the next 24 hours, will you keep open positions trough the news?
  • #88,378
  • Jul 27, 2021 10:31am Jul 27, 2021 10:31am
Quoting saninvestor
{quote} I do. about 9% negative dd. Previous week's COT report was indicating massive shorts on gbp. My mistake was ignoring boulder's reminding about month end rebalancing.
oh boy, it reminds me old days when i was trading without stop loss. in times when i had drawdown of 10-20%, i was unable to live normally.

hope you will be fine
  • #88,379
  • Jul 27, 2021 10:34am Jul 27, 2021 10:34am
Quoting genadi
{quote} oh boy, it reminds me old days when i was trading without stop loss. in times when i had drawdown of 10-20%, i was unable to live normally. hope you will be fine
No worries here...
you can't handle 10%-20% DD?.. I think that is pretty reasonable if you can make 15%-30% return a month...everything is relative..
I don't like my money to sit to make less than 100% a year, I want more....
  • #88,380
  • Jul 27, 2021 10:41am Jul 27, 2021 10:41am
Quoting genadi
{quote} if price stays here for the next 24 hours, will you keep open positions trough the news?
Under condition: day downtrend stop holds.. if day reverses to uptrend, I will start to long GU and manage out the shorts with time...
I expect day downtrend stop to hold though.. just as I expected week uptrend stop held last week../
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