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Attachments: Trading like banks: Risk ON / OFF
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Trading like banks: Risk ON / OFF

JPY Analysis is very interesting

NET POSITION is POSITIVE: so trend is LONG BUT if we study better how SMART MONEY are, we can see that from 06-01-21 SHORT position increased +88% and LONG one -4%

Results: USDJPY goes UP from 102 to 105
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COT COmmodities
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Very BEARISH Signal on GOLD: SMART MONEY have REDUCED LONG position 4% and INCREASED SHORT POSITION 15%
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Quoting helioss
Very BEARISH Signal on GOLD: SMART MONEY have REDUCED LONG position 4% and INCREASED SHORT POSITION 15% {image}
interesting, did you put a short bet on or not? maybe i can put a one month put on gold ,, hmmmm
grist for the mill
RISK ON MODE still VALID
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  • Post #146
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  • Edited at 11:28am Feb 22, 2021 6:47am | Edited at 11:28am
Quoting JackJones
{quote} interesting, did you put a short bet on or not? maybe i can put a one month put on gold ,, hmmmm
I'm searching a good demand to short again ... 1807-1819 could be a good area
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  • Post #147
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  • Feb 23, 7:25am (36 hr ago) Feb 23, 7:25am (36 hr ago)
Today Weak RISK ON
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  • Post #148
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  • Feb 23, 9:56am (33 hr ago) Feb 23, 9:56am (33 hr ago)
Quoting helioss
{quote} I'm searching a good demand to short again ... 1807-1819 could be a good area {image}
Reversal ZOne worked Again
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  • Post #149
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  • Feb 23, 10:01pm (21 hr ago) Feb 23, 10:01pm (21 hr ago)
Quoting helioss
{quote} Reversal ZOne worked Again {image}
With cot reports do you assume they will continue to sell here or are you just in and out? If they are positioning then surely we will see it drop again? Or do they flip 15% on a weekly basis? Is there a trend that you look at?
grist for the mill
  • Post #150
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  • Feb 24, 4:26am (15 hr ago) Feb 24, 4:26am (15 hr ago)
Quoting JackJones
{quote} With cot reports do you assume they will continue to sell here or are you just in and out? If they are positioning then surely we will see it drop again? Or do they flip 15% on a weekly basis? Is there a trend that you look at?
Hi! I prefere trading according with BIAS SMART MONEY but on clear setup
  • Post #151
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  • Feb 24, 8:17am (11 hr ago) Feb 24, 8:17am (11 hr ago)
Quoting helioss
{quote} Hi! I prefere trading according with BIAS SMART MONEY but on clear setup
yes it's your bread and butter by the looks, just asking as i always found cot data interesting but getting a trade out of it on manipulated commodities spot prices to banker needs on their futures and "related (possibly long) positions", and all the rest of it--- going to the end of feb contract tho:will be interesting to see how it turns once feb is up, given this big swing.. my guess is it could go long into march??
grist for the mill
  • Post #152
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  • Last Post: Feb 24, 8:56am (10 hr ago) Feb 24, 8:56am (10 hr ago)
I agree with you how commodities market is manipulated. For this reason i think COT are so important: they tell us RETAIL direction to trade with a low risk profile.
But we have to remember that THEY can support HIGH Drawdown on the contrary of RETAILS.
So i prefere to trade levels & setup to reduce more risk DD

This week we have a BEARISH SIGNAL so the safe way to trade GOLD is SHORT....and at moment it works
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