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High probability live trades

  • #2,601
  • Aug 1, 2019 2:22am Aug 1, 2019 2:22am
Quoting PayTheLimit
and to be frank, I'm moved away from trading S/R blindly anyway, been concentrating on PA more...and I'm happier
S/R come in var flavors also. Flip, fake, mirror, etc etc.
  • #2,602
  • Aug 1, 2019 2:24am Aug 1, 2019 2:24am
sure, and everything works part of the time....
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #2,603
  • Aug 1, 2019 2:27am Aug 1, 2019 2:27am
Quoting PayTheLimit
sure, and everything works part of the time....
patterns are great. Just not the regular EW BS. Here's my GU before/after.
Target hit (+500) with low DD.
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  • #2,604
  • Aug 1, 2019 2:30am Aug 1, 2019 2:30am
Quoting PayTheLimit
sure, and everything works part of the time....
tight stops are great. 5 points or so. If you are really sharp. That way you take one 100 point winner and you get 20 free entries.
  • #2,605
  • Aug 1, 2019 2:33am Aug 1, 2019 2:33am
Quoting asgcorp
{quote} patterns are great. Just not the regular EW BS. Here's my GU before/after. Target hit (+500) with low DD. {image} {image}
yea that was a great set up.....but exceedingly difficult for me to hold trades for more that a day, two most...I was trading the daily for a while, but back to taking trades off the the hourly....
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #2,606
  • Aug 1, 2019 2:34am Aug 1, 2019 2:34am
Quoting asgcorp
{quote} tight stops are great. 5 points or so. If you are really sharp. That way you take one 100 point winner and you get 20 free entries.
yes, my SLs are prolly averaging 12-15 lately, which is great...as long as you are selective....
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #2,607
  • Aug 1, 2019 2:37am Aug 1, 2019 2:37am
you should look into FX options. ))) That way you only pay a set price for your option upfront without having a risk of the equity wipeout.
But then again options also got time decay, etc etc, options premiums fluctuate, so it ain't that simple.
Still huge edge over spot FX.
  • #2,608
  • Aug 1, 2019 2:45am Aug 1, 2019 2:45am
I traded options when I was a younger man, made my stake on some long shots....traded options on futures, never traded them on spot FX, never even looked at them really....they have there place, and can be useful, but for the sake of simplicity I gave them up...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #2,609
  • Aug 1, 2019 2:48am Aug 1, 2019 2:48am
ok man, good chatting with you..got to run...check ya later..
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #2,610
  • Aug 1, 2019 2:49am Aug 1, 2019 2:49am
Quoting PayTheLimit
ok man, good chatting with you..got to run...check ya later..
likewise, catch up soon!
  • #2,611
  • Aug 1, 2019 2:55am Aug 1, 2019 2:55am
PS, just covered my short GJ....bbl...

good trades to ya man...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #2,612
  • Aug 1, 2019 2:56am Aug 1, 2019 2:56am
Quoting PayTheLimit
PS, just covered my short GJ....bbl... good trades to ya man...
solid
  • #2,613
  • Aug 1, 2019 5:49am Aug 1, 2019 5:49am
108.55 is my guess for support in UJ....
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #2,614
  • Aug 2, 2019 12:55am Aug 2, 2019 12:55am
Major EUR expiration today

 

  1. 1.1000. EU1.0B
  2. 1.1075, EU1.2B
  3. 1.1100, EU1.6B
  4. 1.1150, EU1.5B

  • #2,615
  • Aug 2, 2019 1:33am Aug 2, 2019 1:33am
Quoting asgcorp
Major EUR expiration today 1.1000. EU1.0B 1.1075, EU1.2B 1.1100, EU1.6B 1.1150, EU1.5B
Hello buddy, remember few weeks ago I told you Im keeping some GBPUSD shorts? I just closed them after Powell's speech and booked juicy profits.

With this expiration coming today for EU in such large quantities do you also see EURUSD lower? My weekly Ichimoku charts show a clear path to 1.09 and if that it's broken ( might happen on NFP later today ) I think EURUSD will retest the lows from December 2016.

What's your take on this view? Your comments / critics are appreciated as always !

Regards and green pips,
T G
  • #2,616
  • Aug 2, 2019 1:41am Aug 2, 2019 1:41am
what's up man. good stuff.

Already posted elsewhere. I'm shorting EURUSD later today. Small levels don't matter. 12 bln USD barrier set @ 1000.

short EURUSD post NFP print and after rejection near 1160//1180. New EZ tariffs pending, DXY going up into EOD today.
Next move in EURUSD 1160//1180 - 1000. 1000 massive 12 bln usd barrier option will drag EUR lower.
Just my 2 cents. good luck.
  • #2,617
  • Aug 2, 2019 1:49am Aug 2, 2019 1:49am
.
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  • #2,618
  • Aug 4, 2019 10:30pm Aug 4, 2019 10:30pm
crazy end of the week there, looking for some pips, but going to be picky.....lets have a good week...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #2,619
  • Aug 5, 2019 12:25am Aug 5, 2019 12:25am
Quoting asgcorp
big options levels for 31st July. Put them on your chart. 1.1145, EU1.3 billion on July 31 1.1200, EU1.7 billion on August 1 1.1250, EU1.1 billion on July 31
Hello buddy, can you be kind enough to tell me where you take this data from?

Much appreciated and have a great and fruitful week forward,
T G
  • #2,620
  • Aug 5, 2019 12:26am Aug 5, 2019 12:26am
dtcc
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