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Hedge a losing position?

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  • Post #141
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  • Dec 21, 2018 3:58am Dec 21, 2018 3:58am
  •  DwainUK
  • | Joined Feb 2016 | Status: Member | 476 Posts
Quoting CassandraK
Disliked
{quote} I don't see the point of hedging.
Ignored
It makes sense, but the strategy (EA) should be created by professional coders, with risk management included and tested.
 
 
  • Post #142
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  • Dec 21, 2018 10:03am Dec 21, 2018 10:03am
  •  Mindsetter
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Nov 2017 | 13 Posts
Hedging in most cases is because you don't know what markets/you are doing, so why should you stay in the position in the first position? That's the number one rule in risk management.
 
 
  • Post #143
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  • Jan 4, 2019 2:37pm Jan 4, 2019 2:37pm
  •  nullx8
  • Joined May 2016 | Status: Canned-Tuna-Eater | 343 Posts
Quoting Mindsetter
Disliked
Hedging in most cases is because you don't know what markets/you are doing, so why should you stay in the position in the first position? That's the number one rule in risk management.
Ignored
I like hedging, it takes the pressure off when things go wrong, so you stay cool as the drawdown stops, and you can make money the other way as well.
plus there is the thing with math re-entering a trade after stoped out, makes it pretty much a breakeven run, as the gain will likely just pay for the loss generated before.
well if you are a trend-trader, then i guess this is different and hedging makes much less sense, but as a range-trader this most certainly is the case.

look at this deal map from today (AUDJPY) (i hedge at 0.65% drawdown)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: cT_cs_3403622_AUDJPY_2019-01-04_19-00-24.png
Size: 61 KB

at 17:21 when price finally broke out (as expected) the hedge positions paid all of the equity loss already (as I realized it twice) giving me a 0.06% drawdown the moment I closed the short position (hedge) .. the last position added a 0.2% loss to the account so makes it a drawdown to total 0.26% .. the spike up made a massive profit, where the initial entry was not even in a profit. thanks to hedging.

in single trades, I would never enter in a structure like this, but because of the hedges, I could let it develop over serval hours, and make money by doing so.
I made 2 failed attempts to resolve the hedge (both made me money), on conventionally trading that would mean 3 stop outs, plus i would never have re-entered anyway.
so let's do the math I maintained a 0.5-0.8% drawdown over the time and exit the whole set with a 4% gain
conventionally this would be 3 stop outs causing a 1.95% balance drawdown. the gain would "just" have paid for the loss and likely not been executed anyway as the setup was not exactly perfect for it. the rest is just math I prefer to maintain a fixed equity drawdown over collecting serval losses in a row.

but that is just how I do it, I'm sure there are many others doing it completely different for different reasons.

as for "not knowing" well i most certainly do NOT know what the market is doing and, in my opinion, everyone claims otherwise is just delusional.
it's about probabilities, not about being right.
not knowing something, doesn't make it a bad thing
 
 
  • Post #144
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  • Jan 4, 2019 4:41pm Jan 4, 2019 4:41pm
  •  STrading
  • | Joined Jul 2018 | Status: Member | 422 Posts
Quoting nullx8
Disliked
{quote} I like hedging, it takes the pressure off when things go wrong, so you stay cool as the drawdown stops, and you can make money the other way as well. plus there is the thing with math re-entering a trade after stoped out, makes it pretty much a breakeven run, as the gain will likely just pay for the loss generated before.
Ignored
If you hedge your drawdown stops and if you close your position or it hits your stop what do you think that will happen
"and you can make money the other way as well"
no you cant when you hedge you have a flat position thats why your drawdown stops.
"plus there is the thing with math re-entering a trade after stoped out, makes it pretty much a breakeven run, as the gain will likely just pay for the loss generated before"
its the same with hedging or are you saying that just because you hedged your loss magically disappears
 
 
  • Post #145
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  • Jan 5, 2019 12:01pm Jan 5, 2019 12:01pm
  •  fx4money
  • Joined May 2009 | Status: Member | 874 Posts
Quoting nullx8
Disliked
{quote} I like hedging, it takes the pressure off when things go wrong, so you stay cool as the drawdown stops, and you can make money the other way as well. plus there is the thing with math re-entering a trade after stoped out, makes it pretty much a breakeven run, as the gain will likely just pay for the loss generated before. well if you are a trend-trader, then i guess this is different and hedging makes much less sense, but as a range-trader this most certainly is the case. look at this deal map from today (AUDJPY) (i hedge at 0.65%...
Ignored
agree, just do it buddy ! everyone claims they know better, just do what we know best is better than following what others do best, unless they are proven better.
 
 
  • Post #146
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  • Jan 6, 2019 4:08am Jan 6, 2019 4:08am
  •  nullx8
  • Joined May 2016 | Status: Canned-Tuna-Eater | 343 Posts
Quoting fx4money
Disliked
{quote} agree, just do it buddy ! everyone claims they know better, just do what we know best is better than following what others do best, unless they are proven better.
Ignored
that's correct, I'm doing this since years in small ranges.
provided a live deal map that shows how i utilize it every day. (no theory, real trades) and still, get told that the loss magically disappear. I was actually about to respond with a simple "Yes" haha. but that has no value, so just let it be.

I have no interest in proving anything to anyone, this is not a race, i really don't know why everyone always has to be right, trading (especially intraday) is about probabilities, ego just makes you go broke.

there is always someone better, or know something better.
but in the end of the day, its just You trading, once realized that, trading becomes pretty easy, as yourself is the only enemy as well
 
1
  • Post #147
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  • Jan 6, 2019 9:18am Jan 6, 2019 9:18am
  •  STrading
  • | Joined Jul 2018 | Status: Member | 422 Posts
Quoting nullx8
Disliked
{quote} that's correct, I'm doing this since years in small ranges. provided a live deal map that shows how i utilize it every day. (no theory, real trades) and still, get told that the loss magically disappear. I was actually about to respond with a simple "Yes" haha. but that has no value, so just let it be. I have no interest in proving anything to anyone, this is not a race, i really don't know why everyone always has to be right, trading (especially intraday) is about probabilities, ego just makes you go broke. there is always someone better,...
Ignored
The thing with your other post is that you said things that are not correct, and i pointed out some off those things. If you like to hedge it is up to you and i really dont care how you trade, if you made that post with the chart and the explanation of the trades i got no problem with that , i can understand that in that case hedging could helped to track what you had done and what you where gonna do. But you just put somethings in there that are false and will just confuse people that have little experience. Hedging doesnt reduce your drawdown , hedging doesnt allow you to make money the other way as well and hedging is the same as a stop loss plus a extra spread. If i buy 1 lot and place a stop loss that stop loss is nothing more than a 1 lot sell.
 
 
  • Post #148
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  • Jan 6, 2019 10:08am Jan 6, 2019 10:08am
  •  nullx8
  • Joined May 2016 | Status: Canned-Tuna-Eater | 343 Posts
Quoting STrading
Disliked
Hedging doesnt reduce your drawdown
Ignored
I never make any statement like this, that would be just plain wrong and VERY stupid too! (math )
I said it STOPS your drawdown, that's not the same plus it delivers a major psychological advantage at first. as you have no more pressure on making a quick (usually wrong) decision.

if the setup is still valid, you stop out the hedge out at +1 (or whatever, most of the time BE is not the right place to do this), no harm done, and you good to go when the price comes back at no cost, and if it doesn't (meaning me being wrong) then just close it all and move on


doing this also allows far greater position sizes by maintaining the same risk per trade. I myself hedge at 0.65% but the trade has an allowance of 1.4%, so i have room to work, once I made my decision on what to do. and if it fails again, close it all at predefined (rule) Drawdown.
sticking to the rules becomes VERY important at his point, as this can become very fast, very expensive, but upholding the own rules makes this a powerful tool.
 
 
  • Post #149
  • Quote
  • Jan 6, 2019 10:09am Jan 6, 2019 10:09am
  •  nullx8
  • Joined May 2016 | Status: Canned-Tuna-Eater | 343 Posts
oh one more thing, if spread and commissions become an issue doing this, you trading WAY too big!
 
 
  • Post #150
  • Quote
  • Jan 6, 2019 11:03am Jan 6, 2019 11:03am
  •  STrading
  • | Joined Jul 2018 | Status: Member | 422 Posts
Quoting nullx8
Disliked
{quote} I never make any statement like this, that would be just plain wrong and VERY stupid too! (math ) I said it STOPS your drawdown, that's not the same plus it delivers a major psychological advantage at first. as you have no more pressure on making a quick (usually wrong) decision. if the setup is still valid, you stop out the hedge out at +1 (or whatever, most of the time BE is not the right place to do this), no harm done, and you good to go when the price comes back at no cost, and if it doesn't (meaning me being wrong) then just...
Ignored
Ok but do you realize that you just went long price went against you, you got stopped out and then you went long again and it made some profit. you just made this in a more complicated way.
 
 
  • Post #151
  • Quote
  • Jan 6, 2019 11:56am Jan 6, 2019 11:56am
  •  nullx8
  • Joined May 2016 | Status: Canned-Tuna-Eater | 343 Posts
Quoting STrading
Disliked
{quote} Ok but do you realize that you just went long price went against you, you got stopped out and then you went long again and it made some profit. you just made this in a more complicated way.
Ignored
ahhh, Yes, I can't argue with that that is true.
but because price fell so deep, the re-entry price was so much better, that I didn't even need a complete rebound to get out of it at no cost.

well on the Set I made where the screenshot is from, I managed to minimize get back most of the equity loss already by closing the hedge positions (I think was like 144$ to go, so i could close the original Buy position with a 1500ish$ loss to go break even because the hedges put the majority of the drawdown already on the account balance (but I have to admit, this was a prime example, just happen to happen at the day I responded to this topic) its usually looks a lot more ugly.
 
 
  • Post #152
  • Quote
  • Jul 22, 2019 7:14am Jul 22, 2019 7:14am
  •  MaxHype
  • | Joined Jul 2019 | Status: Junior Member | 1 Post
Hello, I'm struggling with hedging with the same pair, and I'm trying to understand if there's a situation where hedging a losing position against using a SL could be a catch.
In theory, you could use a SL and enter an opposite position contextually.
But if the new position also turns eventually wrong, didn't have make it better to hold the old losing position instead of closing it?
 
 
  • Post #153
  • Quote
  • Jul 22, 2019 8:33am Jul 22, 2019 8:33am
  •  fx4money
  • Joined May 2009 | Status: Member | 874 Posts
Quoting MaxHype
Disliked
Hello, I'm struggling with hedging with the same pair, and I'm trying to understand if there's a situation where hedging a losing position against using a SL could be a catch. In theory, you could use a SL and enter an opposite position contextually. But if the new position also turns eventually wrong, didn't have make it better to hold the old losing position instead of closing it?
Ignored
1 position could be wrong in 1hr but could turn to be right in 4hr or next day. just look at eu last friday, that's a good example. anyway, we have the right to use our method that we like as long as we are not losing money.
 
1
  • Post #154
  • Quote
  • Jul 22, 2019 8:36am Jul 22, 2019 8:36am
  •  nullx8
  • Joined May 2016 | Status: Canned-Tuna-Eater | 343 Posts
Quoting fx4money
Disliked
{quote} 1 position could be wrong in 1hr but could turn to be right in 4hr or next day. just look at eu last friday, that's a good example. anyway, we have the right to use our method that we like as long as we are not losing money.
Ignored
thats right, it comes all down to just this little sentence, all this agruing about good/bad and whatnot is just peoples putting themselfs (and others) into boxes of definition.

in the end its just "whatever floats your boat"
 
 
  • Post #155
  • Quote
  • Dec 21, 2019 9:28am Dec 21, 2019 9:28am
  •  Hummad21
  • | Joined Dec 2019 | Status: Junior Member | 1 Post
Hi Jeuro, are you still active on this forum as I wanted to ask couple of things please? thanks
 
 
  • Post #156
  • Quote
  • Dec 31, 2019 5:52am Dec 31, 2019 5:52am
  •  Infassen
  • | Joined Dec 2018 | Status: Member | 120 Posts
Hedging is the way to reduce risks and to protect against losses. This is most often done with the help of a futures contract, which allows trader to buy or sell the asset at a predetermined price, regardless of its current price in the market. Hedging in the form that was described above cannot work in the foreign exchange market. At least because Forex and futures are different markets. By hedging on Forex traders mean the process of locking positions, or just lock. Lock - is a situation in which a trader opens differently directed positions on the same currency pair with the same lot. This step leads to the fact that the formed loss is fixed and the amount of funds in the account doesn't change, however at the same time, one trade brings profit and the second - loss. This method of insurance, rather, is a temporary break, which the trader takes to breathe, gather his thoughts and make a further plan of action. Such hedging can be useful only if you determine the exact point of trend change, close a profitable position and leave a loss-making one in order to make a profit as a result. So there is a hedge in the forex market, but it is different from hedging with futures.
 
1
  • Post #157
  • Quote
  • Dec 31, 2019 5:59am Dec 31, 2019 5:59am
  •  finally-2020
  • Joined Dec 2019 | Status: Member | 103 Posts
Quoting vyder
Disliked
hi guys, i was curious, should you hedge a losing position to get a good idea of market direction/stop losses from mounting? I have heard someone speak of this but wanted to know if this is a great strategy or not.
Ignored
I believe hedging has not a clear-cut definition. Can you tell me what you mean exactly by hedging?

If you mean having both sells and buys on the same pair, I assure you it's a waste of time: you're either net buy or net sell WITH AN INITIAL LOSS.

But then again, I might have misunderstood your point; have I?
 
 
  • Post #158
  • Quote
  • Jan 1, 2020 7:52am Jan 1, 2020 7:52am
  •  Doomseeker
  • | Additional Username | Joined May 2019 | 87 Posts
Hedging is a very convenient tool, which should be used in rice transactions. Hedging in trading is called capital insurance against situations that may adversely affect the trading deposit. Using this method, a trader uses one financial instrument to cover the losses of another. This method is effective only if one of the trades brings profit. Therefore, to compensate for losses, a deal of the same volume is opened, but directed in the opposite direction. Deals counterbalance each other, and losses stop growing. That is, hedging has a second name - the lock method, because the orders are interconnected, which allows to insure the deposit. In fact, hedging is very difficult from a psychological point of view and many traders can not use it properly. Poor self-management can worsen the situation by provoking the opening of new orders that only add to the confusion. This often happens to beginners who do not understand the essence of hedging. However, competent use of hedging methods, on the contrary, can noticeably improve the mood. Seeing that the risk of losing money has decreased, the trader begins to react more correctly to what is happening. He has confidence in the possibility of overcoming difficulties, and in the future and the resulting profits. In hedging, the order opened in the opposite direction becomes a certain variant of a protective order. The trader knows that he can use it at any time if he wants, and that is why trader feels more convinient in own actions.
 
 
  • Post #159
  • Quote
  • Jan 1, 2020 11:46pm Jan 1, 2020 11:46pm
  •  fx4money
  • Joined May 2009 | Status: Member | 874 Posts
Quoting Doomseeker
Disliked
Hedging is a very convenient tool, which should be used in rice transactions. Hedging in trading is called capital insurance against situations that may adversely affect the trading deposit. Using this method, a trader uses one financial instrument to cover the losses of another. This method is effective only if one of the trades brings profit. Therefore, to compensate for losses, a deal of the same volume is opened, but directed in the opposite direction. Deals counterbalance each other, and losses stop growing. That is, hedging has a second name...
Ignored
yes. unless you already find a very good trading system, hedging with planning is not bad. profit maybe not as big as other system, but to me the stress is less to
 
 
  • Post #160
  • Quote
  • Jan 2, 2020 12:00am Jan 2, 2020 12:00am
  •  fx4money
  • Joined May 2009 | Status: Member | 874 Posts
I trade gbpusd using my hedging sistem. Slow, but less stress
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: Screenshot_20200102-125551_MetaTrader 4.jpg
Size: 390 KB
 
 
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