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The Swamp

  • #24,321
  • Sep 27, 2018 10:29am Sep 27, 2018 10:29am
Quoting JulienM2
My view on S&P500 and NASDAQ100 {image}{image}{image}{image}{image}{image}{image}{image}{image}{image}
Closed now because i want to sleep.

Normally i exit my trade with this template:

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MT4, QChartist, Stooq, Alpha Vantage, TC 2000, TradingView, Yahoo Finance
  • #24,322
  • Sep 27, 2018 10:33am Sep 27, 2018 10:33am
before I get access to my dollar chart.. I borrow one from a twitter..dollar ATM 94.84..
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  • #24,323
  • Sep 27, 2018 11:13am Sep 27, 2018 11:13am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} your s3 and the window i have a possible bounce 1668 area box 1656/82 pa was already in it.. july close at 1678 {image}
here now// Bears look strong.. in the window lower end atm..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #24,324
  • Sep 27, 2018 12:19pm Sep 27, 2018 12:19pm
i think it wants 1623.
  • #24,325
  • Sep 27, 2018 12:43pm Sep 27, 2018 12:43pm
Quoting jaylovin
I have closed 1/2... rest at break even. Eco later. This can break to go to 1.1640. Daily still over bought so another dip is possible
1.1640 hit... some sort of bounce... its bearish for sure... 1.16 next support
  • #24,326
  • Sep 27, 2018 1:00pm Sep 27, 2018 1:00pm
Quoting ill_be_back
Possible scenario EU Daily {image}
I agree.
then the retracement should be now
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Profit growth tells you the trader ability.
  • #24,327
  • Sep 27, 2018 1:20pm Sep 27, 2018 1:20pm
stepping back a bit more.
i'll try 1623, last attempt.
when broken this could become a cypher.

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  • #24,328
  • Edited 4:54pm Sep 27, 2018 2:47pm | Edited 4:54pm
Quoting BlueCirrus
I'm back!!....for a minute anyway....lol I'm starting to sound like a broken record, but it's still Double S - Double D (Same Sequence - Different Day) since early August.... Be aware that a 155.9 bull proj. has been hit (1.1803x - 1.1810x) and the norm/LM for this bull corrective sequence is 1.1464/1.14447, and I show a 225 bear into that level... It should be noted that this is a correction in a bear sequence and the ultimate target is 1.10267 norm/1.09457 LM as shown on the chart. Good luck...C-YA! {image}
Seems to be working so far..........

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There is, however, an alternate scenario that could play out.....

1.1608 - 1.1610 is an area where equal swings occur as shown on chart and it is an LM. This is also an area where daily moving averages may provide some support.

Edit: I forgot to mention that 1.1607 (or 1.15947 depending on the monthly close time you use) is the August LC and 1.1600 is the August NY close. Also, 1.16658 (or 1.16757) was the second quarter LC and 1.1682 was the NY Q2 close.
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Quoting longshot_nl
stepping back a bit more. i'll try 1623, last attempt. when broken this could become a cypher. {image}
My first scenario (1.1444) matches up with your cypher it appears............
  • #24,329
  • Sep 27, 2018 2:47pm Sep 27, 2018 2:47pm
Quoting Marco-Kanto
{quote} Hedged 17819 at 16978
17819 now hedged at 16454

If it comes back to 1679 I'll look to sell again, harder at 1719-1723
Focus.
  • #24,330
  • Sep 27, 2018 4:55pm Sep 27, 2018 4:55pm
nice wedge here.. bears are strong.. but, the wedge may be bullish on break
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #24,331
  • Edited 9:21pm Sep 27, 2018 5:47pm | Edited 9:21pm
All set
Lets see
S/L at BE
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A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #24,332
  • Sep 27, 2018 7:44pm Sep 27, 2018 7:44pm
Quoting BlueCirrus
{quote} Seems to be working so far.......... {image} There is, however, an alternate scenario that could play out..... 1.1608 - 1.1610 is an area where equal swings occur as shown on chart and it is an LM. This is also an area where daily moving averages may provide some support. Edit: I forgot to mention that 1.1607 (or 1.15947 depending on the monthly close time you use) is the August LC and 1.1600 is the August NY close. Also, 1.16658 (or 1.16757) was the second quarter LC and 1.1682 was the NY Q2 close. {image} {quote} My first scenario (1.1444)...
yes, my scenarios are almost the same.
bearish is 1410
bullish is 1.2

i stick with the bullish scenario for now.
symmetry wise this move is acceptable for a possible butterfly @ 1.2. now both wings look broken.
  • #24,333
  • Sep 27, 2018 8:11pm Sep 27, 2018 8:11pm
Eur/Usd: Key Target Levels For 9/28/2018,

Shorts/Support Levels: S1: 1.1604 S2:1.1571 S3: 1.1517

Longs/Resistance Levels: R1: 1.1670 R2:1.1703 R3: 1.1757

Currently @10pm est

1H Downtrend stop : 1.1717;
4H Downtrend stop : 1.1777
Daily Uptrend stop : 1.1542
Trading Strategy: Short
  • #24,334
  • Sep 27, 2018 8:13pm Sep 27, 2018 8:13pm
got more data on the london open thing.

in the past 34 days.
19 times it worked.
15 it didn't.

there was one period it did not work 5 days in a row.
there was one period it did work 7 days in a row.

a few times it did not work it was close in time or price.

this is now a solid addition to my toolbox.
  • #24,335
  • Sep 27, 2018 8:52pm Sep 27, 2018 8:52pm
Quoting longshot_nl
got more data on the london open thing. in the past 34 days. 19 times it worked. 15 it didn't. there was one period it did not work 5 days in a row. there was one period it did work 7 days in a row. a few times it did not work it was close in time or price. this is now a solid addition to my toolbox.
This seems to be true mainly on trending days. Although yesterday they started early, two hours before London Open.
  • #24,336
  • Sep 27, 2018 10:17pm Sep 27, 2018 10:17pm
Anyone having issues logging into Oanda?
  • #24,337
  • Edited 10:44pm Sep 27, 2018 10:29pm | Edited 10:44pm
Quoting petehnm
{quote} just curious longshot..when do you see it getting to 1.20?
Quoting longshot_nl
{quote} estimated guess: 6 weeks. so many opportunities along the way.
i am an idiot. it got from 1.13 to 1.1733 in 9 days.
same could happen.
  • #24,338
  • Sep 27, 2018 10:36pm Sep 27, 2018 10:36pm
Quoting lixobags
Anyone having issues logging into Oanda?
Bout 10 min ago? Yes, both on phone and desktop. Seems fixed now
A snails pace wins the race :-)
  • #24,339
  • Sep 27, 2018 10:50pm Sep 27, 2018 10:50pm
oanda orders more bullish then yesterday.


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  • #24,340
  • Sep 27, 2018 11:48pm Sep 27, 2018 11:48pm
Quoting longshot_nl
stepping back a bit more. i'll try 1623, last attempt. when broken this could become a cypher. {image}
triggered and rejected a little.
if holds, after 12:00 50% chance i am safe.
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