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Global Macro FX

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  • Post #21
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  • Mar 25, 2017 1:59pm Mar 25, 2017 1:59pm
  •  aroxalot
  • Joined May 2015 | Status: Awesome Person | 258 Posts
About to add a hedging beta to counter market crashes.
Quant Trader - My Blog: quantstop.blogspot (dot) com
 
 
  • Post #22
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  • Apr 18, 2017 2:11pm Apr 18, 2017 2:11pm
  •  aroxalot
  • Joined May 2015 | Status: Awesome Person | 258 Posts
RETURNS based on percentage weekly
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: RETURNS.png
Size: 25 KB
Quant Trader - My Blog: quantstop.blogspot (dot) com
 
 
  • Post #23
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  • Apr 18, 2017 3:22pm Apr 18, 2017 3:22pm
  •  aroxalot
  • Joined May 2015 | Status: Awesome Person | 258 Posts
also french elleections near, neato
Quant Trader - My Blog: quantstop.blogspot (dot) com
 
 
  • Post #24
  • Quote
  • May 11, 2017 4:10pm May 11, 2017 4:10pm
  •  aroxalot
  • Joined May 2015 | Status: Awesome Person | 258 Posts
I am developing an HFT stat-arb strategy. Look out for it
Quant Trader - My Blog: quantstop.blogspot (dot) com
 
 
  • Post #25
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  • May 11, 2017 4:11pm May 11, 2017 4:11pm
  •  aroxalot
  • Joined May 2015 | Status: Awesome Person | 258 Posts
14.01% profit margin
Quant Trader - My Blog: quantstop.blogspot (dot) com
 
 
  • Post #26
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  • May 14, 2017 12:28pm May 14, 2017 12:28pm
  •  aroxalot
  • Joined May 2015 | Status: Awesome Person | 258 Posts
Some Research i'm doing:
Inserted Video
Quant Trader - My Blog: quantstop.blogspot (dot) com
 
 
  • Post #27
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  • May 14, 2017 4:44pm May 14, 2017 4:44pm
  •  Neo1
  • | Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Member | 169 Posts
Quoting aroxalot
Disliked
Some Research i'm doing: https://youtu.be/y87kJNaG_w0
Ignored
what is the action taken if the model breaks??
 
 
  • Post #28
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  • May 14, 2017 4:45pm May 14, 2017 4:45pm
  •  aroxalot
  • Joined May 2015 | Status: Awesome Person | 258 Posts
Quoting Neo1
Disliked
{quote} what is the action taken if the model breaks??
Ignored
limiting leverage. Also the strategy is tested on a small balance first to verify it's effectiveness.
Quant Trader - My Blog: quantstop.blogspot (dot) com
 
 
  • Post #29
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  • May 14, 2017 4:47pm May 14, 2017 4:47pm
  •  Neo1
  • | Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Member | 169 Posts
Quoting aroxalot
Disliked
{quote} limiting leverage. Also the strategy is tested on a small balance first to verify it's effectiveness.
Ignored
but its meant to be working on big balance ??
 
 
  • Post #30
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  • May 14, 2017 4:51pm May 14, 2017 4:51pm
  •  aroxalot
  • Joined May 2015 | Status: Awesome Person | 258 Posts
Quoting Neo1
Disliked
{quote} but its meant to be working on big balance ??
Ignored
I should rephrase, the neural network discovers strategies and does early stage research. if they work it reminds me to check it out. I then code and algotrader for the strategy. The machine learning is only for researching the strategies. I then examine, tweak etc until they are perfect.
Quant Trader - My Blog: quantstop.blogspot (dot) com
 
 
  • Post #31
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  • May 14, 2017 4:53pm May 14, 2017 4:53pm
  •  aroxalot
  • Joined May 2015 | Status: Awesome Person | 258 Posts
Inserted Video
Quant Trader - My Blog: quantstop.blogspot (dot) com
 
 
  • Post #32
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  • May 14, 2017 6:15pm May 14, 2017 6:15pm
  •  Neo1
  • | Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Member | 169 Posts
Quoting aroxalot
Disliked
{quote} I should rephrase, the neural network discovers strategies and does early stage research. if they work it reminds me to check it out. I then code and algotrader for the strategy. The machine learning is only for researching the strategies. I then examine, tweak etc until they are perfect.
Ignored
what if you found an existing relation do u look for the fundamentals behin??
 
 
  • Post #33
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  • May 14, 2017 7:03pm May 14, 2017 7:03pm
  •  aroxalot
  • Joined May 2015 | Status: Awesome Person | 258 Posts
Quoting Neo1
Disliked
{quote} what if you found an existing relation do u look for the fundamentals behin??
Ignored
Yes, right now I am researching a system discovered by my neural network. It studies order flow. However the machine learning just knows it works, it doesn't understand why.
Quant Trader - My Blog: quantstop.blogspot (dot) com
 
 
  • Post #34
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  • May 14, 2017 7:36pm May 14, 2017 7:36pm
  •  Neo1
  • | Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Member | 169 Posts
Quoting aroxalot
Disliked
{quote} Yes, right now I am researching a system discovered by my neural network. It studies order flow. However the machine learning just knows it works, it doesn't understand why.
Ignored
what do you mean by order flow??
 
 
  • Post #35
  • Quote
  • May 15, 2017 12:58pm May 15, 2017 12:58pm
  •  aroxalot
  • Joined May 2015 | Status: Awesome Person | 258 Posts
Quoting Neo1
Disliked
{quote} what do you mean by order flow??
Ignored
My model uses tick volume as an estimate of relative transaction frequency. Orderflow is the patterns in orders/volume
Quant Trader - My Blog: quantstop.blogspot (dot) com
 
 
  • Post #36
  • Quote
  • May 18, 2017 3:13pm May 18, 2017 3:13pm
  •  aroxalot
  • Joined May 2015 | Status: Awesome Person | 258 Posts
tested my hft strategy for three days on limited capital+volatility allocation just to find out it I forgot to multiply my dynamic allocacation distribution by -1. lost .3% of return on trade size, but just restarted it, it's running and it's netting profit

AWESOME
Quant Trader - My Blog: quantstop.blogspot (dot) com
 
 
  • Post #37
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  • Last Post: Sep 15, 2017 9:47pm Sep 15, 2017 9:47pm
  •  sexycool
  • | Joined Aug 2017 | Status: Member | 8 Posts
Do you have newer model?

I hope you would consider stoploss to avoid being hit by black swans.
 
 
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