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Disliked{quote} Right they drove down into the London open. And bought it from there. Had a limit order of .8880- go the rally. Then dollar sentiment took over. This move up is due mainly to euro being a bit stronger than the pound. However, the closer we get to Thursday the more bullish the EG will get. But one concern is the ECB meeting on Thursday- need to have all the levels prepared on thatIgnored
FA
Fanatasitc employment figures on Friday- then pound rallied into liquidity level- under short accumulation and sold off into the POC
China appear to have a vaccine
The UK - if they do bring in neg rate will be a long time waiting
UK China relations not good
Especially, if UK bans Huwaei equipment
Also PM and Chancellor not getting on
Latest news
Boris Johnson is looking to further boost business to get it to return - and a major speech has been prepared
Trump builds a wall around the White House
FOMC meet this week- important
Tec
I prefer clear sentiment - as this is what will focus the minds of the portfolio managers- when they have to adjust their positions
The pullback on Friday was long covering for the weekend-
We had tested into a liquidity level- nice sell location actually
They did accumulate a sell position into Friday's high
Closed at the POC
There has been a reduction in selling the dollar
FOMC due this week.........so this must weigh on senitment.
Best trade I think is CADJPY- decent figs on Friday, opec news and as long as there is a risk on bias= which I think there should be
China figues beat estimates...
Will check fixing
Even if strength returns on the dollar this will benefit the CAD
No CAD news this week
As the pound is a risk currency - it will be affected as such.
However, I did see that the largest holders of the CAD- had increased their short positions according to CME
MAIN RISKS WITH THE POUND:
Risk in infections
Boris Johnson blocking Huwaei which will bring a response from China
DislikedSo where are we at- pricing cable: Yuan fixing: 7.0812 Options smile - bearish (since Friday) Defended 1.2750 weekly & monthly 1.2700 to 1.2750 sticky Yds spd- flat Pension F: flat Structure: top edge, bought at London - but 1.2700 defended FA: nothing really...quiet Monday bds- br steep + equities got a bid- but any move up on Cable should be slow 1.2750 area of interest Really everything is about the FOMC on Wednesday- hopefully we can get positive news out Nice seller at 1.27000 ish This says everything: https://www.tradingview.com/x/QY65vVji/...Ignored