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  • Post #150,641
  • Quote
  • Jun 28, 2022 12:06pm Jun 28, 2022 12:06pm
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 18,787 Posts
Quoting zippo22
Disliked
{quote} Seems EUR is struggling reaching even the 38.2 Fibo... for the time being. What I see the DXY has a good support @ 104.30+- So this reversal could have some legs. P.S. In the meantime he made it to the 38.2...
Ignored
Not quite 38.2 yet... fell a few pips short.. shows that sell pressure is still high... I am short from 1.0536 as planned..
Be a seer, not a looker!
Ata's Trend Hunter V1.2 All Time Return: 311.8%
 
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  • Post #150,642
  • Quote
  • Jun 28, 2022 12:16pm Jun 28, 2022 12:16pm
  •  Windstrown
  • | Joined May 2014 | Status: Member | 1,156 Posts
If daily closes above 1.0532 my monthly target is void
 
 
  • Post #150,643
  • Quote
  • Jun 28, 2022 12:24pm Jun 28, 2022 12:24pm
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 18,787 Posts
Quoting Windstrown
Disliked
If daily closes above 1.0532 my monthly target is void
Ignored
Speaking of "monthly" and to keep things super-simple, I have 1.0594 there as touchpoint to the main trendline when projected to new month...

Meaning: if this month closes below this level bearishness will probably continue.. If month closes above, then that would be a whole different story..

Only 2 days left to see..
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Be a seer, not a looker!
Ata's Trend Hunter V1.2 All Time Return: 311.8%
 
3
  • Post #150,644
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  • Jun 28, 2022 12:37pm Jun 28, 2022 12:37pm
  •  Enagy
  • | Joined Mar 2022 | Status: Member | 286 Posts
what? what what what? eu
 
 
  • Post #150,645
  • Quote
  • Jun 28, 2022 2:23pm Jun 28, 2022 2:23pm
  •  JBRolim
  • Joined Sep 2018 | Status: Trader Man | 825 Posts
Retraction Projection 1.05720
"No pain no gain"
Trading Seeder All Time Return: 143.0%
 
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  • Post #150,646
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  • Jun 28, 2022 2:35pm Jun 28, 2022 2:35pm
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 18,787 Posts
H1 resistance is holding well so far...
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Be a seer, not a looker!
Ata's Trend Hunter V1.2 All Time Return: 311.8%
 
2
  • Post #150,647
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  • Jun 28, 2022 2:35pm Jun 28, 2022 2:35pm
  •  zippo22
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Member | 256 Posts
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Disliked
{quote} Speaking of "monthly" and to keep things super-simple, I have 1.0594 there as touchpoint to the main trendline when projected to new month... Meaning: if this month closes below this level bearishness will probably continue.. If month closes above, then that would be a whole different story.. Only 2 days left to see.. {image}
Ignored
I have the feeling before close of the month he wants to test the low of the pre-previous month (April).. which is 1.0470. Well, that could be easily done tomorrow but what to do with the remaining time (day)?
 
 
  • Post #150,648
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  • Edited at 3:03pm Jun 28, 2022 2:40pm | Edited at 3:03pm
  •  fontu
  • Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Name real with real own way | 18,063 Posts
Quoting fontu
Disliked
watching for h1 close arounds 0522 , lows + good signal or target next likely 0513 for good confirmation 0481, lets see litte careful as daily done enough already and close likely compete for 0522 for a good bounce again. in that case 0513 low be fine too , otherwise drop further without more correction , one last chance for bull to low further and close at perfect level! {image} {image}
Ignored
Price may try astray any close of interest to support bull like today 0522, /monthly 0524 or just previous 0546, may those 2 closes much lower to continue bear for now without decision at least. Lets see

PA now, 0541+ not done, that is minimum correction not done yet, likely up above before next leg down for most critical level for now decision 0443 but may signal at 0482 next try next day possible.
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Not understand?never follow my analyses!
 
1
  • Post #150,649
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  • Jun 28, 2022 2:52pm Jun 28, 2022 2:52pm
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 18,787 Posts
Quoting zippo22
Disliked
{quote} I have the feeling before close of the month he wants to test the low of the pre-previous month (April).. which is 1.0470. Well, that could be easily done tomorrow but what to do with the remaining time (day)?
Ignored
Take a pan... put some oil.. some salt... and some corn in it and prepare popcorn.. best thing to do for the rest of the day..
Be a seer, not a looker!
Ata's Trend Hunter V1.2 All Time Return: 311.8%
 
4
  • Post #150,650
  • Quote
  • Jun 28, 2022 3:43pm Jun 28, 2022 3:43pm
  •  marcin.kamaj
  • Joined Feb 2020 | Status: Full-Time Trader | 218 Posts
I left for Asian's session sell limit at 1.0543 ( around 200SMA on H1 ) with SL at 1.0568. TP open for tomorrow.

I think we should see test area unde 1.05.

Best for All!
Everyone makes mistakes, but only few use equity management.
 
3
  • Post #150,651
  • Quote
  • Jun 28, 2022 5:48pm Jun 28, 2022 5:48pm
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 18,787 Posts
Daily S/R Levels for Wednesday-Thursday

  1. Price is still trapped between the two yellow barriers and this range is slowly narrowing,
  2. 1.05865 is nearest blockage for bulls and 1.0458 is nearest blockage for bears,
  3. Both of my MACDs, the fast and the slow, srill are in bearish territory!
  4. Based on H1: While below 1.0575, bears will probably keep trying to push this lower.

I hope it helps

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Be a seer, not a looker!
Ata's Trend Hunter V1.2 All Time Return: 311.8%
 
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  • Post #150,652
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  • Jun 28, 2022 11:27pm Jun 28, 2022 11:27pm
  •  fontu
  • Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Name real with real own way | 18,063 Posts
Checking why longs not working for perfect target yet! Though eu likely meet a low but usdx not apparently, so pressure little down till all ready for a minimum correction be start
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Not understand?never follow my analyses!
 
2
  • Post #150,653
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  • Jun 28, 2022 11:54pm Jun 28, 2022 11:54pm
  •  JBRolim
  • Joined Sep 2018 | Status: Trader Man | 825 Posts
Quoting fontu
Disliked
Verificando por que os anseios ainda não funcionam para o alvo perfeito! Embora eu provavelmente encontre um valor baixo, mas aparentemente não usdx, então pressione um pouco para baixo até que tudo esteja pronto para uma correção mínima começar {image} {image}
Ignored
I have this strategy for today. Thanks for the reinforcement here
"No pain no gain"
Trading Seeder All Time Return: 143.0%
 
1
  • Post #150,654
  • Quote
  • Jun 29, 2022 1:08am Jun 29, 2022 1:08am
  •  Traderview
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Member | 3,543 Posts
For bears no price is better than 4hrs closing below 1.0515. That's it. No need a chart.
 
 
  • Post #150,655
  • Quote
  • Jun 29, 2022 1:08am Jun 29, 2022 1:08am
  •  CityIndex
  • | Joined Jul 2019 | Status: Member | 58 Posts
EUR/USD has pared today's early gains and is trading 0.06% lower at the time of writing as the 1st regional CPI print from Germany came in softer-than-expected.

The pair could see added volatility today with ECB President Lagarde set to speak again, as well as a speech from Fed Chairman Powell. While the ECB's recent hawkish pivot has helped the Euro recover from its multi-year lows, this pair remains locked in a downtrend, continuing to falter at the channel resistance stemming from its February high.

All trading carries risk, but with EUR/USD is currently hovering just above the key 1.0500 level, it should be interesting to see whether comments from both central banks help the pair bounce today, or result in a breakout to the downside.
 
1
  • Post #150,656
  • Quote
  • Jun 29, 2022 1:26am Jun 29, 2022 1:26am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 18,787 Posts
Meanwhile, on H1...

  1. So far, sell pressure is still effective.
  2. 1.0519 is my nearest resistance area on this timeframe and as long as candles open below it, I keep my short order.

Happy trading day to all

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Be a seer, not a looker!
Ata's Trend Hunter V1.2 All Time Return: 311.8%
 
2
  • Post #150,657
  • Quote
  • Jun 29, 2022 1:36am Jun 29, 2022 1:36am
  •  Js3mwtRc
  • Joined Jun 2016 | Status: "Through Playing Down Graphs" | 4,406 Posts
EU tried to recover from yesterdays drop, but didn't manage it and broke yesterdays low at 0504. If, it drops further below 0542, or 0558 then it can reach 0484/70 or, lower to 0469/0445.
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Feels right this time!
 
1
  • Post #150,658
  • Quote
  • Jun 29, 2022 2:04am Jun 29, 2022 2:04am
  •  JBRolim
  • Joined Sep 2018 | Status: Trader Man | 825 Posts
Another arm is ready...

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Waiting for confirmation
"No pain no gain"
Trading Seeder All Time Return: 143.0%
 
 
  • Post #150,659
  • Quote
  • Jun 29, 2022 2:16am Jun 29, 2022 2:16am
  •  zippo22
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Member | 256 Posts
Well... EUR will go on lower. The DXY target has not reached yet!
From the chart I would expect EUR 1.0470+- probably within the first or second hour on London trading.

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1
  • Post #150,660
  • Quote
  • Jun 29, 2022 2:17am Jun 29, 2022 2:17am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 18,787 Posts
My Original Daily Wave Count

I shared this long time ago and as you can see it is still valid. Now I updated it with my final verdict and fresh calculated levels. As you can see we are now clearly inside a wave 5 down!

  1. 1.0627 is now key resistance and as long as below I think this wave count stays valid.
  2. The potential target and completion point of wave 5 (according to Bill Williams' logic) is somewhere between fib extension 61.8 and 100.. That would be a zone between minimum 1.0358 and 1.0200 max... When we take the average of this zone then the middle would be 1.0290.. pick any of these and stay short until price arrives there (hopefully). I pick the average 1.0290...
  3. The dotted lines are the bottlenecks where choppiness can occur. For the lower dotted line the projected touch level would be 1.0458 area.. There we could see some slowing and struggle but as soon as it breaks the drop should continue..

I hope it helps

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Be a seer, not a looker!
Ata's Trend Hunter V1.2 All Time Return: 311.8%
 
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