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  • Post #41
  • Quote
  • Feb 16, 2008 3:24pm Feb 16, 2008 3:24pm
  •  Paulus
  • Joined Dec 2007 | Status: Member | 2,600 Posts
Hi all..things have slowed down but Im happy to see the system isnt producing any large or long running losers


Currently open


USDCAD 11th short 1.0020 1st tgt of 113 pips at 0.9907 - comments - very risky ...up bar STILL OPEN
GBPCHF 12th long 2.1585 1st tgt of 201 pips at 2.1773 - 1st tgt hit 50% closed stop bought- STOP HIT now flat

Total pips gained for positions totally closed

USDCAD loss 90 pips
EURCHF- profit +75
GBPCHF- profit + 297 pips
EURGBP - profit +56 pips


AUDUSD- profit +317 pips

GBPUSD - profit +502 pips
EURUSD - profit +303 pips
EURCHF - profit +59 pips
EURJPY - profit +196 pips
AUDUSD - profit +94 pips
EURGBP - profit + 242 pips
EURUSD - profit + 98 pips
GBPCHF profit + 261 pips

EURCHF profit + 51 pips
GBPJPY profit + 214 pips
USDJPY profit + 133 pips

EURJPY profit +192 pips
GBPCHF profit +177 pips

EURCHF loss - 53pips
USDCHF profit +132 pips
AUDUSD loss -87pips
GBPJPY Profit + 280 pips
USDJPY Loss -101 pips
EURGBP profit + 48 pips
EURGBP loss - 32 pips
EURJPY profit + 198 pips

AUDUSD loss -84 pips
EURCHF profit +82





 
 
  • Post #42
  • Quote
  • Feb 20, 2008 6:03pm Feb 20, 2008 6:03pm
  •  Paulus
  • Joined Dec 2007 | Status: Member | 2,600 Posts
Sorry the lack of updates ..had some personal probs

System been doing very well here is latest update

New Signals

USDCHF (20th) long 1.0991 1st tgt of 113 pips



Currently Open

GBPUSD (18th) short 1.9525 1st tgt of 154 pips hit stop now set to break even
EURGBP (15th) long 0.7485 1st tgt of 46 pips hit stop now set to break even on 50%
GBPCHF (18th) short 2.1515 1st tgt of 242 pips hit stop now set to break even on 50%
EURAUD (19th) Short 1.6017 1st tgt of 156 pips - comments- this is a risky short on up bar and a signal by the slimmest of margins




Closed today


USDCAD 11th short 1.0020 stopped today loss 113 pips

Total pips gained for positions totally closed

USDCAD loss 90 pips
EURCHF- profit +75
GBPCHF- profit + 297 pips
EURGBP - profit +56 pips


AUDUSD- profit +317 pips

GBPUSD - profit +502 pips
EURUSD - profit +303 pips
EURCHF - profit +59 pips
EURJPY - profit +196 pips
AUDUSD - profit +94 pips
EURGBP - profit + 242 pips
EURUSD - profit + 98 pips
GBPCHF profit + 261 pips

EURCHF profit + 51 pips
GBPJPY profit + 214 pips
USDJPY profit + 133 pips

EURJPY profit +192 pips
GBPCHF profit +177 pips

EURCHF loss - 53pips
USDCHF profit +132 pips
AUDUSD loss -87pips
GBPJPY Profit + 280 pips
USDJPY Loss -101 pips
EURGBP profit + 48 pips
EURGBP loss - 32 pips
EURJPY profit + 198 pips

AUDUSD loss -84 pips
EURCHF profit +82 pips
GBPCHF profit +210 pips




 
 
  • Post #43
  • Quote
  • Feb 20, 2008 9:19pm Feb 20, 2008 9:19pm
  •  khanma
  • | Joined Jun 2006 | Status: Member | 19 Posts
Your system looks impressive, can't wait to see 6 months results.
Khan
 
 
  • Post #44
  • Quote
  • Feb 21, 2008 2:17am Feb 21, 2008 2:17am
  •  farimir
  • | Joined May 2007 | Status: Member | 72 Posts
Hi Paulus

I like what I see and I admire your good trading especially during these volatile markets. Any chance that you will explain more on what you are doing, please?

farimir
 
 
  • Post #45
  • Quote
  • Mar 1, 2008 6:34am Mar 1, 2008 6:34am
  •  Paulus
  • Joined Dec 2007 | Status: Member | 2,600 Posts
Hi Farimir

I will publish things after 6 months i think any system needs that long to prove itself.

I think its the most frustrating thing in the world to find a newish system only to find it works for a couple weeks then crashes and burns.

Thanks for the interest
 
 
  • Post #46
  • Quote
  • Mar 1, 2008 6:43am Mar 1, 2008 6:43am
  •  Paulus
  • Joined Dec 2007 | Status: Member | 2,600 Posts
Ive been extremely busy in my day trading exploits in Futures and have found it hard to post every thing every night so please forgive me..Below are the current signals status.as we all know the forex has been consildating for some time after some great runs.

Im quite happy with the way the system is performing in these times still throwing out winners but obviously inc more losers.I will be quite happy to break even for 1month out of every 3-4 whilst things consolidate then break out this is why its crucial to test for 6months...Im testing live with my money not hypothetical.

But here are some stats from the placement of the 1st trade

Number of signal = 34
Wins = 25
Losers = 9
Strike rate = 75%

Points gained = 4,613
Points lost = 753

----------------------------------------------------------

here is the latest update

New signal

GBPJPY (28th) short 209.44 1st tgt of 210 pips hit 50% closed stop moved to break even

Currently Open

EURGBP (15th) long 0.7485 1st tgt of 46 pips hit ......stop now set 0.7505

Positions recently closed

EURAUD (19th) Short 1.6017 1st tgt of 156 pips stop hit loss 38 pips
GBPJPY 25th Long 212.44 1st tgt of 204 stop hit loss 200 pips





Total pips gained for positions totally closed

USDCAD loss 90 pips
EURCHF- profit +75
GBPCHF- profit + 297 pips
EURGBP - profit +56 pips

AUDUSD- profit +317 pips
GBPUSD - profit +502 pips
EURUSD - profit +303 pips
EURCHF - profit +59 pips
EURJPY - profit +196 pips
AUDUSD - profit +94 pips
EURGBP - profit + 242 pips
EURUSD - profit + 98 pips
GBPCHF profit + 261 pips
EURCHF profit + 51 pips
GBPJPY profit + 214 pips
USDJPY profit + 133 pips
EURJPY profit +192 pips
GBPCHF profit +177 pips
EURCHF loss - 53pips
USDCHF profit +132 pips
AUDUSD loss -87pips
GBPJPY Profit + 280 pips
USDJPY Loss -101 pips
EURGBP profit + 48 pips

EURGBP loss - 32 pips
EURJPY profit + 198 pips

AUDUSD loss -84 pips
EURCHF profit +82 pips
GBPCHF profit +210 pips
GBPUSD profit +154 pips
USDCHF loss - 68pips
GBPCHF profit +242





 
 
  • Post #47
  • Quote
  • Mar 8, 2008 12:51pm Mar 8, 2008 12:51pm
  •  Paulus
  • Joined Dec 2007 | Status: Member | 2,600 Posts
Hi All,

1st 2 signals for a time

New Signals

AUDUSD (8th) Long 9276 1st tgt of - Took at my normail time but at the end of the session wasnt a signal 1st time this has happened but live now intetresteing to see the outcome

USDCAD (8th) short 0.9900 1st tgt of - high risk signal .. triggered on upbar





Existing signals

GBPJPY (28th) short 209.44 1st tgt of 210 pips hit 50% closed stop moved to break even

Recently closed

EURGBP (15th) long 0.7485 1st tgt of 46 pips hit ......stop hit + 140 pips on 2nd half

Positions recently closed





Total pips gained for positions totally closed

USDCAD loss 90 pips
EURCHF- profit +75
GBPCHF- profit + 297 pips
EURGBP - profit +56 pips

AUDUSD- profit +317 pips
GBPUSD - profit +502 pips
EURUSD - profit +303 pips
EURCHF - profit +59 pips
EURJPY - profit +196 pips
AUDUSD - profit +94 pips
EURGBP - profit + 242 pips
EURUSD - profit + 98 pips
GBPCHF profit + 261 pips
EURCHF profit + 51 pips
GBPJPY profit + 214 pips
USDJPY profit + 133 pips
EURJPY profit +192 pips
GBPCHF profit +177 pips
EURCHF loss - 53pips
USDCHF profit +132 pips
AUDUSD loss -87pips
GBPJPY Profit + 280 pips
USDJPY Loss -101 pips
EURGBP profit + 48 pips

EURGBP loss - 32 pips
EURJPY profit + 198 pips

AUDUSD loss -84 pips
EURCHF profit +82 pips
GBPCHF profit +210 pips
GBPUSD profit +154 pips
USDCHF loss - 68pips
GBPCHF profit +242
EURAUD loss - 38 pips
GBPJPY loss -200 pips










 
 
  • Post #48
  • Quote
  • Mar 13, 2008 2:21pm Mar 13, 2008 2:21pm
  •  Paulus
  • Joined Dec 2007 | Status: Member | 2,600 Posts
New Signals

AUDUSD long signal ( 11th) at 0.9290 1st tgt of 135 pips at 0.9425

Note - 1st tgt of 135 pips hit on 12th ..close half stop now break even on remainder

EURGBP long signal(12th) at 0.7667 1st tgt of 53 pips at 0.7720




recently closed

GBPJPY (28th) short 209.44 1st tgt of 210 pips hit 50% 2nd half closed for +182 pips



Total pips gained for positions totally closed

USDCAD loss 90 pips
EURCHF- profit +75
GBPCHF- profit + 297 pips
EURGBP - profit +56 pips

AUDUSD- profit +317 pips
GBPUSD - profit +502 pips
EURUSD - profit +303 pips
EURCHF - profit +59 pips
EURJPY - profit +196 pips
AUDUSD - profit +94 pips
EURGBP - profit + 242 pips
EURUSD - profit + 98 pips
GBPCHF profit + 261 pips
EURCHF profit + 51 pips
GBPJPY profit + 214 pips
USDJPY profit + 133 pips
EURJPY profit +192 pips
GBPCHF profit +177 pips
EURCHF loss - 53pips
USDCHF profit +132 pips
AUDUSD loss -87pips
GBPJPY Profit + 280 pips
USDJPY Loss -101 pips
EURGBP profit + 48 pips

EURGBP loss - 32 pips
EURJPY profit + 198 pips

AUDUSD loss -84 pips
EURCHF profit +82 pips
GBPCHF profit +210 pips
GBPUSD profit +154 pips
USDCHF loss - 68pips
GBPCHF profit +242
EURAUD loss - 38 pips
GBPJPY loss -200 pips
EURGBP profit+ 140 pips
AUDUSD loss -33 pips
USDCAD loss - 35 pips












 
 
  • Post #49
  • Quote
  • Edited at 7:13am Mar 16, 2008 6:28am | Edited at 7:13am
  •  Paulus
  • Joined Dec 2007 | Status: Member | 2,600 Posts
New Signals

EURJPY short (14th) at 155.45 1st tgt of 239 pips

GBPJPY short (14th) at 200.52 1st tgt of 368 pips

GBPCHF short (14th) at 2.0176 1st tgt of 287 pips




Updated signals

AUDUSD long signal ( 11th) at 0.9290 1st tgt of 135 pips hit closed 50% ,stop set to break even on remainder


EURGBP long signal(12th) at 0.7667 1st tgt of 53 pips hit closed 50% ,stop set to break even on remainder








Total pips gained for positions totally closed

USDCAD loss 90 pips
EURCHF- profit +75
GBPCHF- profit + 297 pips
EURGBP - profit +56 pips

AUDUSD- profit +317 pips
GBPUSD - profit +502 pips
EURUSD - profit +303 pips
EURCHF - profit +59 pips
EURJPY - profit +196 pips
AUDUSD - profit +94 pips
EURGBP - profit + 242 pips
EURUSD - profit + 98 pips
GBPCHF profit + 261 pips
EURCHF profit + 51 pips
GBPJPY profit + 214 pips
USDJPY profit + 133 pips
EURJPY profit +192 pips
GBPCHF profit +177 pips
EURCHF loss - 53pips
USDCHF profit +132 pips
AUDUSD loss -87pips
GBPJPY Profit + 280 pips
USDJPY Loss -101 pips
EURGBP profit + 48 pips

EURGBP loss - 32 pips
EURJPY profit + 198 pips

AUDUSD loss -84 pips
EURCHF profit +82 pips
GBPCHF profit +210 pips
GBPUSD profit +154 pips
USDCHF loss - 68pips
GBPCHF profit +242
EURAUD loss - 38 pips
GBPJPY loss -200 pips
EURGBP profit+ 140 pips
AUDUSD loss -33 pips
USDCAD loss - 35 pips
USDCAD loss - 85 pips
GBPJPY profit + 210 pips













 
 
  • Post #50
  • Quote
  • Mar 17, 2008 3:54am Mar 17, 2008 3:54am
  •  Paulus
  • Joined Dec 2007 | Status: Member | 2,600 Posts
Sorry guys but had to post this the 3 forex taken out Friday at 8.45pm all hit thier tgt when Sydney then esp. Tokyo opened in the early hours of this morning

Out of the 5 trades running 3 hit thier 1st tgts with a combined gain of 894 pips one closed out its 2nd 50% at zero gain but made 135 pips on its 1st 50% and the 5th made gains of 40 at the time of this mail over night but had been up 125

3 of the positions are short and 2 are long.. and if we look at all 5 we've had a gain of over 1000 pips ..

New Signals

EURJPY short (14th) at 155.45 1st tgt of 239 pips tgt of 239 pips hit closed 50% stop now at break even

GBPJPY short (14th) at 200.52 1st tgt of 368 pips tgt of 368 pips hit closed 50% stop now at break even

GBPCHF short (14th) at 2.0176 1st tgt of 287 pips tgt of 287 pips hit closed 50% stop now at break even

Gain over night - 894 pips




Updated signals

AUDUSD long signal ( 11th) at 0.9290 1st tgt of 135 pips hit closed 50% ,stop set to break even on remainder stop hit now flat


EURGBP long signal(12th) at 0.7667 1st tgt of 53 pips hit closed 50% ,stop set to break even on remainder going well up another 40 this morning has been up 125 !








Total pips gained for positions totally closed

USDCAD loss 90 pips
EURCHF- profit +75
GBPCHF- profit + 297 pips
EURGBP - profit +56 pips

AUDUSD- profit +317 pips
GBPUSD - profit +502 pips
EURUSD - profit +303 pips
EURCHF - profit +59 pips
EURJPY - profit +196 pips
AUDUSD - profit +94 pips
EURGBP - profit + 242 pips
EURUSD - profit + 98 pips
GBPCHF profit + 261 pips
EURCHF profit + 51 pips
GBPJPY profit + 214 pips
USDJPY profit + 133 pips
EURJPY profit +192 pips
GBPCHF profit +177 pips
EURCHF loss - 53pips
USDCHF profit +132 pips
AUDUSD loss -87pips
GBPJPY Profit + 280 pips
USDJPY Loss -101 pips
EURGBP profit + 48 pips

EURGBP loss - 32 pips
EURJPY profit + 198 pips

AUDUSD loss -84 pips
EURCHF profit +82 pips
GBPCHF profit +210 pips
GBPUSD profit +154 pips
USDCHF loss - 68pips
GBPCHF profit +242
EURAUD loss - 38 pips
GBPJPY loss -200 pips
EURGBP profit+ 140 pips
AUDUSD loss -33 pips
USDCAD loss - 35 pips
USDCAD loss - 85 pips
GBPJPY profit + 210 pips













 
 
  • Post #51
  • Quote
  • Mar 17, 2008 4:59am Mar 17, 2008 4:59am
  •  tdion
  • Joined Nov 2005 | Status: EURUSD Quant FREAK | 3,197 Posts
These are amazing results if true.

Hope things don't go cold for you.
 
 
  • Post #52
  • Quote
  • Mar 18, 2008 4:31am Mar 18, 2008 4:31am
  •  Paulus
  • Joined Dec 2007 | Status: Member | 2,600 Posts
hehe nice one...if true...but know what you mean.

Well the EA is being written as we speak .. and one of the guys off of this forum is doing it so I guess he can vouch for the accuracy..

There was another signal on the 14th I missed it and havnt taken it but it will be recorded in the results .. I guess if any one wants the signals to be validated the best thing would be to email them out the night they appear.I check for signals 8.45pm GMT ..you will get the signal that night but cant guarantee it will be before mkt close.

Any way here is the missing signal..

EURCHF short (14th) at 1.5640 1st tgt of 158pips was hit so halve the position would of been closed and stop bought to break even on remainder
 
 
  • Post #53
  • Quote
  • Mar 18, 2008 4:34am Mar 18, 2008 4:34am
  •  Paulus
  • Joined Dec 2007 | Status: Member | 2,600 Posts
When I apply the same system to other markets I also get some great signals.
If I look at just the popular markets off of the Capital spreads front page on the 14th I also had the followng

Sell on

dax 6395
Ftse 5615
Wall st 11980
Barclays 431.50
Msft 28.65

If you apply my 5 day ATR for the 1st target all would of done very nice I think.

Also 2 days before I had a buy on GOLD at 981.70
 
 
  • Post #54
  • Quote
  • Mar 26, 2008 4:53pm Mar 26, 2008 4:53pm
  •  Paulus
  • Joined Dec 2007 | Status: Member | 2,600 Posts
New signals

UDSDCHF short 26th 0.9890 1st tgt 121 pips

EURUSD long 26th 0.5853 1st tgt 191 pips - comments ..........at all time high res

Total pips gained for positions totally closed

USDCAD loss 90 pips
EURCHF- profit +75
GBPCHF- profit + 297 pips
EURGBP - profit +56 pips

AUDUSD- profit +317 pips
GBPUSD - profit +502 pips
EURUSD - profit +303 pips
EURCHF - profit +59 pips
EURJPY - profit +196 pips
AUDUSD - profit +94 pips
EURGBP - profit + 242 pips
EURUSD - profit + 98 pips
GBPCHF profit + 261 pips
EURCHF profit + 51 pips
GBPJPY profit + 214 pips
USDJPY profit + 133 pips
EURJPY profit +192 pips
GBPCHF profit +177 pips
EURCHF loss - 53pips
USDCHF profit +132 pips
AUDUSD loss -87pips
GBPJPY Profit + 280 pips
USDJPY Loss -101 pips
EURGBP profit + 48 pips

EURGBP loss - 32 pips
EURJPY profit + 198 pips

AUDUSD loss -84 pips
EURCHF profit +82 pips
GBPCHF profit +210 pips
GBPUSD profit +154 pips
USDCHF loss - 68pips
GBPCHF profit +242
EURAUD loss - 38 pips
GBPJPY loss -200 pips
EURGBP profit+ 140 pips
AUDUSD loss -33 pips
USDCAD loss - 35 pips
USDCAD loss - 85 pips
GBPJPY profit + 210 pips
AUDUSD profit +135 pips
AUDUSD loss - 55 pips
EURJPY profit + 239 pips
GBPJPY profit + 368 pips
GBPCHF profit + 287 pips
EURCHF profit +158 pips
EURGBP profit +102 pips















 
 
  • Post #55
  • Quote
  • Mar 27, 2008 4:17pm Mar 27, 2008 4:17pm
  •  Pervaz
  • | Joined Dec 2006 | Status: Member | 162 Posts
Hi Paul

Im still not able to map my ATR values to yours (I use Alpari UK MT4)

For example I have 26/03 - ATR(5) = 0.0165 (closed candle)
and on the 25/030 the ATR is 0.0151 (closed candle).

Im just a little confused on how you set your 1st target

Thanks

Pervaz
 
 
  • Post #56
  • Quote
  • Mar 29, 2008 9:30am Mar 29, 2008 9:30am
  •  Paulus
  • Joined Dec 2007 | Status: Member | 2,600 Posts
Taken on 28th

GBPJPY (28th) short 197.99 1st tgt 318 pips

Taken on 27th

USDJPY (27th) short 99.65 stop hit loss 60 pips ( was on up bar)

EURGBP (27th) Long 0.7872 1st tgt 72pips

GBPCHF (27th) Short 1.9922 1st tgt 262 pips




Existing signals

USDCHF short 26th 0.9890 1st tgt 121 pips - still live no tgts hit

EURUSD long 26th 0.5853 1st tgt 191 pips - still live no tgts hit

Total pips gained for positions totally closed

USDCAD loss 90 pips
EURCHF- profit +75
GBPCHF- profit + 297 pips
EURGBP - profit +56 pips

AUDUSD- profit +317 pips
GBPUSD - profit +502 pips
EURUSD - profit +303 pips
EURCHF - profit +59 pips
EURJPY - profit +196 pips
AUDUSD - profit +94 pips
EURGBP - profit + 242 pips
EURUSD - profit + 98 pips
GBPCHF profit + 261 pips
EURCHF profit + 51 pips
GBPJPY profit + 214 pips
USDJPY profit + 133 pips
EURJPY profit +192 pips
GBPCHF profit +177 pips
EURCHF loss - 53pips
USDCHF profit +132 pips
AUDUSD loss -87pips
GBPJPY Profit + 280 pips
USDJPY Loss -101 pips
EURGBP profit + 48 pips

EURGBP loss - 32 pips
EURJPY profit + 198 pips

AUDUSD loss -84 pips
EURCHF profit +82 pips
GBPCHF profit +210 pips
GBPUSD profit +154 pips
USDCHF loss - 68pips
GBPCHF profit +242
EURAUD loss - 38 pips
GBPJPY loss -200 pips
EURGBP profit+ 140 pips
AUDUSD loss -33 pips
USDCAD loss - 35 pips
USDCAD loss - 85 pips
GBPJPY profit + 210 pips
AUDUSD profit +135 pips
AUDUSD loss - 55 pips
EURJPY profit + 239 pips
GBPJPY profit + 368 pips
GBPCHF profit + 287 pips
EURCHF profit +158 pips
EURGBP profit +102 pips
















 
 
  • Post #57
  • Quote
  • Mar 29, 2008 9:37am Mar 29, 2008 9:37am
  •  Paulus
  • Joined Dec 2007 | Status: Member | 2,600 Posts
Hi Pervaz..

I use the same charting software as you and check for signals at 8.45 pm.

If I have a long signal that shows at 8.45pm ..

I take the high and low of the day at that time
and do the same for the last 4 days

That now gives me the high and low values for the last 5 days and from this I can get the daily range for each day ie high minus low

I add all 5 up and divide by 5 this is all done in excel.This gives me the average high low range over the last 5 days which I apply to my 'fill' price and this becomes my 1st target.

ie
hi lo over last 5 days

1 10 pips
2 13 pips
3 18 pips
4 6 pips
5 12 pips

Average is 11.8 pips I go long at 10 so 1st tgt is 21.8

All I want from the 1st 2-3 days is an average move based on what its done in the last 5 days that gives me decent profit and gets my stop to break even,as i close halve only at 1st tgt

Hope that helps

cheers

Paul
 
 
  • Post #58
  • Quote
  • Mar 30, 2008 4:31am Mar 30, 2008 4:31am
  •  Pervaz
  • | Joined Dec 2006 | Status: Member | 162 Posts
Hi Paul

Thanks for that - I use the ATR at the close of the candle (which is 11pm for Alpari) hence the difference.

1. Can you just explain the " apply to my 'fill' price" ?

2. Do you use the ATR value for your stops as well ? (I did read earlier that you use the S/R of the previous candles +/- 10)

Thanks
 
 
  • Post #59
  • Quote
  • Mar 30, 2008 2:32pm Mar 30, 2008 2:32pm
  •  Paulus
  • Joined Dec 2007 | Status: Member | 2,600 Posts
Hi

1. Can you just explain the " apply to my 'fill' price" ?..if I have a short signal at 10..ie thats what my actual entry price is and my ATR is 3 then my 1st tgt is 7..

What the price is when the signal is taken at approx 8.45pm and the actual fill given by my broker are often different just by a few pips


2. Do you use the ATR value for your stops as well ? (I did read earlier that you use the S/R of the previous candles +/- 10)


When i 1st go short for example I will set my initial stop 10 pips above the high of the signal candle.I want the added support of the days high for tomorrow.At this initial stop point 99% of the time my risk reward is at 1:1

Once my atr 1st tgt is hit I close half the position and move my stop to break even.


Hope that helps

Paulus
 
 
  • Post #60
  • Quote
  • Apr 1, 2008 6:35am Apr 1, 2008 6:35am
  •  mini008
  • | Joined Dec 2007 | Status: Member | 13 Posts
amazing trade ! good job man ...
 
 
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