The Swamp

I added this:
What about local support industries such as restaurants, fuel stations, local tax and governments, housing, car dealerships, etc?

ChatGPT said:
If the U.S. imposed a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports, the economic shock would ripple through local communities, especially in manufacturing-heavy areas.
Local Support Industries That Would Be Hit Hardest
1. Restaurants & Bars

1. Fewer factory workers = fewer customers.
2. Laid-off workers cut back on eating out, reducing revenue.
3. Beer & canned goods cost more (aluminum prices up), leading to higher drink prices.
4. Many small diners near factories could close.

Risk: Local restaurants and bars in industrial areas (Detroit, Ohio, Indiana) could see 20-40% revenue drops.
2. Gas Stations & Auto Services

1. Factory closures = fewer workers commuting → Less gas sold.
2. Higher car prices = fewer new car sales → Less demand for auto parts, repairs, and services.
3. Truckers and construction workers buy less fuel as projects slow down.

Risk: Gas stations near factories and industrial areas take a major hit.
3. Local & State Government Revenue

1. Fewer jobs = less income tax revenue.
2. Less business activity = lower sales tax revenue.
3. Housing slowdown = fewer property taxes collected.
4. States with major auto & steel industries (Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Texas, Alabama) could face budget shortfalls.

Risk: Local governments may cut public services (police, schools, road maintenance) due to lost tax revenue.
4. Housing & Real Estate

1. Laid-off workers can’t afford mortgages → Foreclosures increase.
2. Fewer home buyers → Housing market stagnates in affected areas.
3. Landlords struggle as renters can’t pay.

Risk: Industrial towns could see home values drop by 10-30%.

Like before, he will do the absolutely worst thing to do with a communicable disease: try to keep it quiet. "Pray" that it goes away by itself. By then, it's too late.

The world knows that if we have a systemic collapse, it will be a global nightmare.

'Systemic collapse': How to 'prepare for the worst' if Trump triggers a 'global crisis'

Meanwhile, markets are still high on their own supply of BS and pretending that the evaporation of 200,000 federal employees, not to mention the agencies where they work, most of which do important things, can just be ignored.

Some areas vote a certain way. They will be the hurt the most. Because they dont believe in science. It won't be long before the space lasers, windmill causes cancer, 5G mind control, hurricane machine believing crowd. Will blame it on the lizard people in the pizza basement. Putin took over 1/2 of America without firing a shot. When they they finally snap out of it. You will not find many admit they said yeah, "I want that". He told them he was a Putin suck ass. He told them who he was. I knew who he was. I just didnt know who my neighbors were. I'm already hearing the crying from friends in business losing contracts. Guys who voted for it. I just laugh. I live in the heart of Grandpa supporters. Those flags are coming down. Too late, his stupidity has already cost 2.6 T each year since. Now he wants 4.5T. Conservative my f-ing ass
I invite people to ask AI questions. I like the people who quote constitutional amendments, but skip a few.


Those areas that vote a certain way had the most death % during covid. Darwinism is not the smartest or strongest. It favors the one who can adapt.

EURCAD has a gap at 1.4565. If it retraces some to the upside maybe look for short???

GBPCAD seems to be at R and going down... ?...
Haven't traded them much...

EA Bast..d

Or 61.8

USTEC Gap at 22223 on the upside, Gap at 22143 on the downside

I woke up with a stop out.

I asked GPT another question.

The last 45+ years most Americans sat on the couch eating popcorn. As a small % of volunteers kept us safe. We promised Ukraine we would protect them. If they gave up their nukes. They gave up their nukes. They were invaded. Yet some idiots blaming Ukraine for the invasion. Maybe when people realise they may have to get off the couch, or send their children or grandchildren to a world war. They may speak up. But its too late by then.

Using your knowledge of Russian history. Including what you know about V Putin. What would happen if the U.S. pulled out of supporting Ukraine. Would Putin be emboldened to attack Poland and other countries? Would this likely lead to world war 3?

ChatGPT said:
If the U.S. pulled out of supporting Ukraine, it would likely trigger major geopolitical shifts with serious consequences for Europe, NATO, and global stability. Here's a breakdown of what could happen:
1. Immediate Consequences in Ukraine

1. Without U.S. military and financial support, Ukraine would struggle to hold its defensive lines.
2. Russia would gain ground quickly, possibly capturing Kharkiv, Odessa, or even Kyiv.
3. Mass civilian displacement (millions could flee to Europe, causing a refugee crisis).
4. Ukraine may be forced to negotiate a surrender or accept a Russian-controlled puppet government.

Best-case scenario: Europe steps up, replaces U.S. aid, and Ukraine holds out.
Worst-case scenario: Ukraine collapses, and Russia gains full control.
2. Would Putin Be Emboldened?
Yes. Putin’s historical pattern (Georgia 2008, Crimea 2014, Ukraine 2022) suggests he expands when he senses weakness.
Possible Next Moves

1. Moldova – Russia might invade Transnistria and take full control of Moldova.
2. Baltic states – Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania are NATO members, but Putin may test NATO resolve by stirring unrest or cyberattacks.
3. Poland – If Ukraine falls, Poland would be next in line for Russian provocations, including border tensions, sabotage, and hybrid warfare.

Dangerous Outcome: If Russia attacks any NATO country, it triggers Article 5, which requires all NATO members (including the U.S.) to respond militarily → This could lead to WW3.
3. Would This Lead to World War 3?
The risk of global war increases dramatically if:

1. Russia invades a NATO country (Poland, Baltic states, etc.)
2. China sees U.S. weakness and attacks Taiwan
3. North Korea escalates tensions with South Korea or Japan

Possible War Scenarios

1. If NATO defends Poland or the Baltics, the war spreads beyond Ukraine.
2. Nuclear threats rise as Putin may escalate rather than accept defeat.
3. China could use the chaos to move on Taiwan, triggering a second major war.

Likelihood of WW3 if U.S. abandons Ukraine? Moderate to High (depending on how quickly Russia moves beyond Ukraine).
Final Verdict: Is U.S. Withdrawal a Global Risk?
Short-term U.S. savings, but...
Ukraine likely collapses.
Putin is emboldened to attack new targets.
NATO’s credibility is damaged → Russia, China, Iran, North Korea take advantage.
Higher chance of WW3 if Russia pushes into NATO territory.
Want a breakdown of how different countries would react?

GBPCAD

EU

If it rises, I will short. 460 or 440. What sucks is 403 may be where swing bulls were. I had it 0442 area. So it's not that much slip. But since we haven't been going back to LC.. I will short those retraces.
ADR is about 50 pips. Fundi wise the news last week was bearish. But it kept rising.

Yup

About prucking time someone grows some balls.

Some possible momentum for bulls sustained above 453.. But 461 has R. If it breaks 461.3 +, and sustained above 453. 506/14 may be the next R test. That may lead to the R at 533. 533 or any of the others can push it down. Its near 452/53 now. 461 untouched atm. 561 is a 12h, Bulls broke the 6h and 4h R. The day at 506 and wk 533 I'm using. But to get there, 461 is in the way.

I'm noticing something. I got 2 computers. The same broker, the same account, the same platform. One has bullish sustained above 453, the other 456. I have no clue on the differenc, except one has more candles in it's memory.

I have a pending at 460.. it missed so far. Pa is in that 453/56 area. I'm counting on the 12h to hold. So my stops are very close.

I did get one earlier near 441. It did start to fall there. But it came back and hit my stop b.e. It cost me 1 pip.