- *** ECONOMIC DATA ***
- SW Oct Headline CPI: M/M 0.5% v 0.4%e || Y/Y 2.7% v 2.6%e
- SW Oct Underlying CPI: M/M 0.5% v 0.3%e || Y/Y 1.4% v 1.1%e
- UK Oct PPI Input: M/M 1.8% v 1.5%e || Prior revised from 3.2% to 3.9% |||| Y/Y 8.6% v 7.0%e || Prior revised from 6.4% to 6.5%
- UK Oct PPI Output: M/M 0.6% v 0.2%e || Prior revised from 0.1% to 0.3% |||| Y/Y 3.8% v 3.3%e || Prior revised from 2.7% to 2.8%
- UK Oct PPI Output Core: M/M 0.3% v 0.2%e || Prior revised from 0.2% to 0.1% |||| Y/Y 2.3% v 2.2%e
- UK Sep DCLG House Prices: 10.8% v 10.8%e || Prior revised from 11.4% to 11.3%
- Producer prices for the month of October blew out consensus expectations all around with upward revisions to most of September’s readings, weighing down on the front end of the yield curve in the UK. PPI input was bolstered by a rise in fuel and oil prices, as was PPI output. The data kicks off the a long week of economic data in the UK, and is perhaps a sign of things to come over the next few days.
- *** COMMENTS/SPEAKERS ***
- ECB Gonzalez-Paramo: The ECB remains in information gathering mode
- ECB Gonzalez-Paramo: We will see very important info at the start of December
- ECB Gonzalez-Paramo: What we have seen on FX markets has not been smooth
- ECB Gonzalez-Paramo: Sharp FX movements are not good for growth
- ECB Tumpel-Gugerell: Globalization means that any financial distress at a big global player would have far reaching effects
- JP MOF Tsuda: Reiterates that will monitor financial market moves
- JP MOF Tsuda: Japan is recovering despite some weaknesses
- JP MOF Tsuda: Waching impact of oil prices and US economic slowdown on Japan
- JP MOF Tsuda: Says strong Yen has both good and bad aspects
- CH Currency Regulator: To relax controls on outward investment, to gradually make Yuan fully convertible
- *** FIXED INCOME/FX/COMMODITIES/ERRATUM ***
- USD/JPY fell to 18-months lows on the back of sub-prime jitters. Additional jitters come as the US FASB regulation 157 is set to take effect this Thursday, which could result in a further $100B in loss writedowns. The effects of the unwinding of the JPY are not just limited to the USD, and are being felt across the board.
- Front month crude continues to trade in negative territory in the session ahead of the mid-November OPEC summit scheduled to take place next weekend. Front-month crude jumped higher in the session on reports of an gun battle at a Nigerian based oil right, however the news was not enough to push front month contracts into positive territory.
By: John J. Phillips IV