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(ask) real divergence or fake one

  • Post #1
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  • First Post: Edited at 8:24am Sep 9, 2010 8:05am | Edited at 8:24am
  •  dashboard
  • | Joined Dec 2008 | Status: Member | 201 Posts
as you know divergence is true reversal (not lagging system) but day by day it seems more difficult. i'm ussualy use macd (12,26,0) to confirm the divergence but still there's much fake that cause lose.

i want to ask to all of you that use divergence, how to recognize that the divergence is the real one but don't make you left by the trend ???

http://%3Ca%20href=http://upload.kap...1b139e87-t.gifhttp://upload.kapanlagi.com/images/t...1b139e87-t.gif
  • Post #2
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  • Sep 9, 2010 8:08am Sep 9, 2010 8:08am
  •  Slack
  • | Joined Aug 2009 | Status: Member | 649 Posts
1) Nothing is 100%.
2) Count on nothing working properly when the volume is whack.
 
 
  • Post #3
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  • Sep 9, 2010 8:08am Sep 9, 2010 8:08am
  •  tradpat
  • | Joined Jul 2010 | Status: I LOVE MACD | 511 Posts
Quoting dashboard
Disliked
n.b : if what i'm explain not clear yet, i will post the chart that so many fake divergence if just confirm by the macd
Ignored
yes. pls. post the charts :0
cheers
 
 
  • Post #4
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  • Sep 9, 2010 8:36am Sep 9, 2010 8:36am
  •  Rob Mondave
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Member | 531 Posts
The price has to have a reason to change direction. MACD is just showing divergence from moving averages, so a trend can simply slow down, which would cause the MACD to reverse, but then the trend can resume. This technique of MACD-Price divergence works at levels of support and resistance, and a few other circumstances.

In the chart you posted, your 'confirmed sell' is at support - the place where you should be thinking about buying.

Rob
 
 
  • Post #5
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  • Sep 9, 2010 8:51am Sep 9, 2010 8:51am
  •  dashboard
  • | Joined Dec 2008 | Status: Member | 201 Posts
Quoting Rob Mondave
Disliked
The price has to have a reason to change direction. MACD is just showing divergence from moving averages, so a trend can simply slow down, which would cause the MACD to reverse, but then the trend can resume. This technique of MACD-Price divergence works at levels of support and resistance, and a few other circumstances.

In the chart you posted, your 'confirmed sell' is at support - the place where you should be thinking about buying.

Rob
Ignored
will you explain what condition of divergence that can make a change of trend ?? thanks before
 
 
  • Post #6
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  • Last Post: Feb 17, 2012 6:06am Feb 17, 2012 6:06am
  •  kishoresiju
  • | Joined Jan 2012 | Status: Junior Member | 2 Posts
http://dl.dropbox.com/u/12634873/for...ing/feb-17.jpg
 
 
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