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Trend Manager Trading System

  • #101
  • Quote
  • Sep 2, 2010 7:49am Sep 2, 2010 7:49am
Quoting danielfppps
Thank you for your reply I understand what you are saying but the fact is that your entries in themselves do not contain any long term statistical edge. That is, the probability of price moving in the direction in which you want it to is slightly worse than the probability of it moving in the other direction across 10 years of analysis. In the end this system lacks a proper edge regardless of its money management aspects.

I have analyzed your entries over a 10 year period against the 7 period ATR and the maximum movement in favor and against...
So far its working well for me, though i don't trade 24/5, what ever signal occurs during my time zone is quite working for me, if you show some better methods, which shows positive statistical edge with 10 yrs of testing quite this whole trading community will thanks you from their hearts, back testing has its own flaw, there are back tested systems which always generate millions btw can you post your system generated reports to have a look


I am satisfied with performance of it and quite happy with this simple style and thanks for your wonderful reports but reports are just worth less paper to me as long as my equity curve is at 60 degree upside isn't
  • #102
  • Quote
  • Sep 2, 2010 8:15am Sep 2, 2010 8:15am
is it possible to have an MTF version of trend manager in order to view higher TF candles on lower TFs?

cheers
  • #103
  • Quote
  • Sep 2, 2010 11:05am Sep 2, 2010 11:05am
Quoting HiCS
is it possible to have an MTF version of trend manager in order to view higher TF candles on lower TFs?

cheers
I hope Ferrufx will help on this
  • #104
  • Quote
  • Sep 3, 2010 3:40am Sep 3, 2010 3:40am
No fresh signals yet.....but if one, hopefully it will be good one

Status : waiting for new signals
  • #105
  • Quote
  • Sep 3, 2010 6:14am Sep 3, 2010 6:14am
sell GBPUSD @ 1.54065 Stop Loss @ 1.54558 T @ Open
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: trend manager - gbpusd - day 5 signal 1.gif Size: 13 KB
  • #106
  • Quote
  • Sep 3, 2010 8:44am Sep 3, 2010 8:44am
Quoting amarfx
sell GBPUSD @ 1.54065 Stop Loss @ 1.54558 T @ Open
Stop loss triggered = -49
  • #107
  • Quote
  • Sep 3, 2010 8:46am Sep 3, 2010 8:46am
Buy GBPUSD @ 1.54551 Stop @ 1.53860 T @ Open
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: trend manager - gbpusd - day 5 signal 2.gif Size: 22 KB
  • #108
  • Quote
  • Sep 4, 2010 2:20pm Sep 4, 2010 2:20pm
Quoting amarfx
sell GBPUSD @ 1.54065 Stop Loss @ 1.54558 T @ Open
Dear Sir,
good morning,

HOW CAN I IDENTIFY TRENT BY USING ONLY TREND MANAGER.
  • #109
  • Quote
  • Sep 6, 2010 1:57am Sep 6, 2010 1:57am
Quoting Rohini
Dear Sir,
good morning,

HOW CAN I IDENTIFY TRENT BY USING ONLY TREND MANAGER.
Just based on color of histogram as describe in 1st post
  • #110
  • Quote
  • Sep 6, 2010 4:35am Sep 6, 2010 4:35am
Quoting amarfx
Buy GBPUSD @ 1.54551 Stop @ 1.53860 T @ Open
Exited at 1.54450 = -10
  • #111
  • Quote
  • Sep 6, 2010 4:37am Sep 6, 2010 4:37am
Sell GBPUSD @ 1.54300 Stop loss @ 1.5483 T @ Open
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: trend manager - gbpusd - day 6 signal 1.gif Size: 18 KB
  • #112
  • Quote
  • Sep 6, 2010 4:59am Sep 6, 2010 4:59am
promising system gonna try it
  • #113
  • Quote
  • Sep 6, 2010 7:47am Sep 6, 2010 7:47am
Quoting amarfx
Sell GBPUSD @ 1.54300 Stop loss @ 1.5483 T @ Open
Exit GBPUSD sell @ 1.53564 = +74 ( want to move out so making exit rather than any solid TA based this time, 1:1.5 size of RR although met )
  • #114
  • Quote
  • Sep 6, 2010 8:20am Sep 6, 2010 8:20am
Quoting amarfx
Buy EURUSD @ 1.26482 Stop loss 1.26220 T @ 1.26702
what was the results of this signal please on Aug 25th also the signal before it ? I cant find it

cheers

Paulus
  • #115
  • Quote
  • Sep 6, 2010 11:41am Sep 6, 2010 11:41am
No more trades today likely....happy pips and see you soon tomorrow.................Keep Posted
  • #116
  • Quote
  • Sep 7, 2010 3:42am Sep 7, 2010 3:42am
Buy GBPUSD @ 1.53985 Stop loss @ 1.53508 T @ Open
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: trend manager - gbpusd - day 7 signal 1.gif Size: 18 KB
  • #117
  • Quote
  • Sep 7, 2010 7:49am Sep 7, 2010 7:49am
Quoting amarfx
Buy GBPUSD @ 1.53985 Stop loss @ 1.53508 T @ Open
Stop loss triggered = -48
  • #118
  • Quote
  • Sep 7, 2010 7:51am Sep 7, 2010 7:51am
Sell GBPUSD @ 1.53220 Stop loss @ 1.53963 T @ Open
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: trend manager - gbpusd - day 7 signal 2.gif Size: 19 KB
  • #119
  • Quote
  • Sep 7, 2010 11:04am Sep 7, 2010 11:04am
Quoting danielfppps
Thank you for your reply I understand what you are saying but the fact is that your entries in themselves do not contain any long term statistical edge. That is, the probability of price moving in the direction in which you want it to is slightly worse than the probability of it moving in the other direction across 10 years of analysis. In the end this system lacks a proper edge regardless of its money management aspects.

I have analyzed your entries over a 10 year period against the 7 period ATR and the maximum movement in favor and against...
Amarfx,

These are good words. If you are trading a system that doesn't have an edge it's just a matter of time until you get your face ripped off. Don't fool yourself with position sizing or scaling nonsense. You have to find an edge!

Best of luck...
  • #120
  • Quote
  • Sep 7, 2010 11:11am Sep 7, 2010 11:11am
Quoting peppermint
Amarfx,

These are good words. If you are trading a system that doesn't have an edge it's just a matter of time until you get your face ripped off. Don't fool yourself with position sizing or scaling nonsense. You have to find an edge!

Best of luck...
As long as it works for me! why should i bother about greatest mathematicians on earth LOL and since it have edge, what i see and what i want, its working fine for me, over half decades and i have found my edge....don't fooled yourself by taking others words seriously and make use of own brain and common sense...

if i say your girl friend is not cute, do you agree
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