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  • Post #201
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  • May 17, 2010 9:25am May 17, 2010 9:25am
  •  ssherwood76
  • | Joined Nov 2007 | Status: Member | 270 Posts
Will you be updating your MyFXBook profiles soon?
 
 
  • Post #202
  • Quote
  • May 17, 2010 10:04am May 17, 2010 10:04am
  •  robertw
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Dec 2009 | 210 Posts
Quoting ssherwood76
Disliked
Will you be updating your MyFXBook profiles soon?
Ignored
Yes, coming soon.
and live as usual
 
 
  • Post #203
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  • May 25, 2010 5:25pm May 25, 2010 5:25pm
  •  s2659
  • | Joined Apr 2010 | Status: the Icelander | 316 Posts
Quoting robertw
Disliked
Yes, coming soon.
and live as usual
Ignored
hope thats soon looking forward for next update
A person is only limited by the thoughts he chooses.Þeir fá byr sem bíð
 
 
  • Post #204
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  • May 30, 2010 4:26pm May 30, 2010 4:26pm
  •  Primate
  • | Joined Nov 2006 | Status: Swingin' trader | 270 Posts
Quoting robertw
Disliked
I haven't posted in a while.

Been busy fighting with the market and unfortunately I lost this battle, BUT the war is not over yet and you can take that to the bank.

Picking myself up and getting back to work.

. . . .

I'm going to target 2% daily or about 30% monthly.


R
Ignored
Now that's my kind of number.
I did notice that spreads have widened and the market has become somewhat illiquid at times lately.
Most memorable event which caused this was the 10% drop on DJI, but also there was another moment on the Euro-scene which I think was when Fat-head Merkel banned naked short selling in Deutsche markets.
Tonight I see that the French Financial Minister has made an alternative attempt at upstaging her with claims that France's debt ratio may be too huge to carry, I wonder if he is already short the Euro.....!

Just been catching-up on your thread.
Somewhere a while back you mentioned SL.
Would you share your approx. SL please.

Thx, and wishing you continued success.
Minesweeper target: 284
 
 
  • Post #205
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  • May 31, 2010 8:07am May 31, 2010 8:07am
  •  grandpost
  • | Membership Revoked | Joined Feb 2010 | 847 Posts
Hey I like what you are doing.......I tried to do the same.......it worked and I doubled 3 months in a row.......then disaster hit.......I am at the 6 months of trading ................and now I am only doubled once..............instead of 6 times as targeted...............

Let me tell you that as you are trying to double you will fry your nerves.....meaning I had some time off after going koko.....so I waisted time.....If I trade more I could do it........but to do that you need high levels of concentration and focus..........lots of energy............posotive thinking...........determination........I really have issues with that being energetic and healthy.......

My best trades are when I havent traded for a while and really want to trade..........meaning high concentration and energy........this is when I catch on the market and ride the waves perfectly until i am worn out...........then my loosing happens

I can pinpoint turning points incluting TIME and I see perfect picture and fib measurements of ELLIOTT WAVES.......I am not systematic and not disciplined.....I see perfect pictures from all the different tools and indicators or channels........I take Action based on Decision........

My decisions are good or bad based on my ENERGY

I believe there is a CODE you can't know it ALL but THEY DO.......BASED on DECISION you have to know when you have to sit the sidelines because your knowledge is limited.....and when you can strike the homerun......
 
 
  • Post #206
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  • May 31, 2010 9:54am May 31, 2010 9:54am
  •  ssherwood76
  • | Joined Nov 2007 | Status: Member | 270 Posts
Robert,

Don't get discouraged, just stop trading for now if you are having trouble. The market has changed in the last few weeks and it has been very hard for me to stay in a good trade because of all the volatility.

I dramatically lowered my risk and withdrew most of my account because of how things are with the market. Maybe I'll just start trading demo to keep an eye on things and when I start making virtual money I'll revert back to real.
 
 
  • Post #207
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  • Jul 24, 2010 12:24am Jul 24, 2010 12:24am
  •  robertw
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Dec 2009 | 210 Posts
Hi Everyone

Has been a while since I last posted.

Well the markets were kind of crazy when I slowed my post, after all the DOW doesn't drop 900 points in few minutes exactly every month

Anyway, I don't get discouraged easily as I said before and right after I got down I got right up and I keep going. Someone said that its not important how many times you get down but how many times you get up and I believe he/she was right.

If anyone needs a proof they can check out my stats at myfxbook link in the signature. The method keeps working in fairly normal market conditions and by normal I mean everyday conditions except the situations with the DOW as described above. And given the latest adjustments I believe now I could even survive that kind of event.

I have lowered my goals down to about 30%-50% monthly range, which kind of takes us away from the subject of the thread but I have proven to myself and hopefully few others that 100% monthly can be done purposely and consecutively with only a few under performing months each year.

That said doing 100% each and almost every month comes with a price of high stress and lots of time away from family and other things in life - price which I decided was not worth it in the long run.
I've done over 50% this month without even trying too hard so I'll probably do 100% every now and then when I have more time for trading.
(myfxbook calculation methods are misleading on PAMM accounts because they lower the actual gain due to some technical issues, but still even taking what they show is a great return).

I'll read all the comments and try to answer any questions that may be there in the next few days and I'll try to get back to posting at least once a week.

R
 
 
  • Post #208
  • Quote
  • Jul 24, 2010 4:27am Jul 24, 2010 4:27am
  •  Ipndasno
  • | Joined Feb 2010 | Status: Member | 593 Posts
Quoting Twiitch
Disliked
a good friend just sent this to me.

it's funny...
Ignored
I couldn't even finish reading your thread robert without laughing my @*@# off .

This concept reminds me of my first 3months live back in 2006. Yep Lost 3k quickly and Honestly, the Picture/attachment was exactly how it played out.. Ok back to your thread..
 
 
  • Post #209
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  • Jul 24, 2010 1:28pm Jul 24, 2010 1:28pm
  •  Slack
  • | Joined Aug 2009 | Status: Member | 649 Posts
Inserted Video
 
 
  • Post #210
  • Quote
  • Jul 24, 2010 5:25pm Jul 24, 2010 5:25pm
  •  robertw
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Dec 2009 | 210 Posts
Quoting Ipndasno
Disliked
I couldn't even finish reading your thread robert without laughing my @*@# off .

This concept reminds me of my first 3months live back in 2006. Yep Lost 3k quickly and Honestly, the Picture/attachment was exactly how it played out.. Ok back to your thread..
Ignored
Cool
 
 
  • Post #211
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  • Jul 24, 2010 5:34pm Jul 24, 2010 5:34pm
  •  robertw
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Dec 2009 | 210 Posts
Quoting tdion
Disliked
sounds dangerous.
Ignored
but profitable and so true again and again
unfortunately most people don't have the faith that the cycle will repeat itself again and don't use the opportunities which they only see when the sun is fully shining at noon but then its too late and they loose again.

The more I trade the more I'm convinced that the only thing necessary is strong faith in the cycles and ability to recognize them - nothing else, really.

R
 
 
  • Post #212
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  • Jul 24, 2010 5:37pm Jul 24, 2010 5:37pm
  •  robertw
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Dec 2009 | 210 Posts
Quoting s2659
Disliked
hope thats soon looking forward for next update
Ignored
It is being updated every 5 minutes except for when the MT4 platform is closed mostly for the weekends or my laptop is shut down which sometimes happens, I have no internet connection while traveling which also happens.

R
 
 
  • Post #213
  • Quote
  • Jul 24, 2010 5:40pm Jul 24, 2010 5:40pm
  •  robertw
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Dec 2009 | 210 Posts
Quoting Primate
Disliked
Now that's my kind of number.
I did notice that spreads have widened and the market has become somewhat illiquid at times lately.
Most memorable event which caused this was the 10% drop on DJI, but also there was another moment on the Euro-scene which I think was when Fat-head Merkel banned naked short selling in Deutsche markets.
Tonight I see that the French Financial Minister has made an alternative attempt at upstaging her with claims that France's debt ratio may be too huge to carry, I wonder if he is already short the Euro.....!

Just been...
Ignored
I have abandoned the use of SL for time being its just not compatible with what I do now. I will close manually when I don't believe in the trade anymore. My trades are relatively small now so even a 200 pips loss will not bother me too much.

R
 
 
  • Post #214
  • Quote
  • Jul 24, 2010 5:44pm Jul 24, 2010 5:44pm
  •  robertw
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Dec 2009 | 210 Posts
Quoting grandpost
Disliked
Hey I like what you are doing.......I tried to do the same.......it worked and I doubled 3 months in a row.......then disaster hit.......I am at the 6 months of trading ................and now I am only doubled once..............instead of 6 times as targeted...............
.....and when you can strike the homerun......
Ignored
I agree with you brother, we know it can be done but there are more important things in life that we need to save our strength for. as you can see I came down a notch or two.

R
 
 
  • Post #215
  • Quote
  • Aug 8, 2010 4:11pm Aug 8, 2010 4:11pm
  •  robertw
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Dec 2009 | 210 Posts
I just read this article about this blackberry mess going on right now http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/...BP5jgD9HFFAF00

It seems like too much money makes you too stupid or lazy to think Saudi Arabia and other emirates are building these huge cities and aspiring to become world financial centers and yet they want to limit basic freedoms that are present in most other centers. I mean who do they think is going to relocate and live in such a tightly controlled society.
I believe they think that all this money allows them to do whatever they please but that will come to a pass soon enough.

R
 
 
  • Post #216
  • Quote
  • Aug 8, 2010 8:03pm Aug 8, 2010 8:03pm
  •  CrucialPoint
  • Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Good-Bye FF | 857 Posts
Congratulations Robert on your efforts.
I somewhat knew from the beginning this is where you will end up. I, for one, had the same experience and came to the same hurdle that "it comes with a price of high stress and lots of time away from family."

Quoting robertw
Disliked
That said doing 100% each and almost every month comes with a price of high stress and lots of time away from family and other things in life - price which I decided was not worth it in the long run.
I've done over 50% this month without even trying too hard so I'll probably do 100% every now and then when I have more time for trading.
Ignored
It doesn't have to be this way. It doesn't have to come with the high stress and time spent. The first time I looked at your account... I already knew you were complicating it. But, I was hoping your style of trading would be successful because I wanted to see a different approach.

I've been at this game for 10 years now... I can guarantee 100% monthly... I trade one pair... I work for 6-8 hours a day (full-time trader)... It may sound a bit of a cliche: If you can guarantee 20 pips daily consistently, you can make 100% monthly with ease.

Of course, I'm not suggesting 100% perfect with every trade, but 20 pips daily including a loss. The problem is people don't have a clue on how to achieve 20pips daily. Again I pose the objective: The majors moves 100-200 points daily... give me one good reason why you are not able to capture 10pips consistently daily.

Such cliche is a fantasy dream, but there are those who are living the dream... It takes a lot of time, energy, hard work and sacrifices to capture the gold-laying goose. As much as I like to explain how it is done, Forex is a simple game; one is the winner and the other is the loser. In order for me to win, someone has to lose. No-one is going to give away the goose that lays the golden eggs. I hope you will understand; All is fair in love and war.

All the best,
CrucialPoint
 
2
  • Post #217
  • Quote
  • Aug 8, 2010 8:49pm Aug 8, 2010 8:49pm
  •  robertw
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Dec 2009 | 210 Posts
CrucialPoint

I completely agree with you, just going back to statistics if you look at my July performance Myfxbook shows about 60% gain but that is smoothed due to the way they calculate PAMM accounts, I have not done the math myself yet what the true number should be but I'm betting its somewhere between 80%-100% and that was done with me being 3 out of 4 weeks on the road and just trading in the little free time I had - so not really much effort and I wasn't even shooting that high.

Now lets get back to the 20 pip thing, that is actually something I've been fighting with myself about for a while now. I have tried to stick to a hard TP like that but my greed just gets in a way too often and I try to get more even though I noticed that most of my trades reach about 20-30 pips then reverses before returning again which is another reason I've been trying to stick to it. Its definitely getting better but like everything else will probably take few more lessons if you know what I mean.
The way I have my position size set most of the time 20 pips will give me about 1% gain and if you compound that, its about 40% monthly I believe so that is all one should need.
Also like you say the majors move quite a bit so all one needs to do is scan most of the pairs (I scan about 20, few times a day) and then just pick the one that has the best moves for a day and you should be able to easily get 20 or 40 or even 2 entries X 20 each day which I think would produce that 100% monthly.

Would love to keep the discussion going with you, I have nothing to hide about my ways of trading, actually I hope I can help someone but from reading these forums I know that most people don't have the patience for it.


Robert
 
 
  • Post #218
  • Quote
  • Aug 8, 2010 10:24pm Aug 8, 2010 10:24pm
  •  CrucialPoint
  • Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Good-Bye FF | 857 Posts
Quoting robertw
Disliked
Now lets get back to the 20 pip thing, that is actually something I've been fighting with myself about for a while now. I have tried to stick to a hard TP like that but my greed just gets in a way too often and I try to get more even though I noticed that most of my trades reach about 20-30 pips then reverses before returning again which is another reason I've been trying to stick to it. Its definitely getting better but like everything else will probably take few more lessons if you know what I mean.
Ignored
I know exactly what you mean
I used to reach 40-70 pips in 3 hours and then give it all back in the next 3 hours of trading.

I always analyze my trades at the end of the week. To an extent, greed does play a role. From years of research, here's what I can conclude: It doesn't matter how greedy you can get... if it is done right, it will be right. One can trade with discipline and be greedy at the same time, if you have a proven system (let me get to this proven system in the end).

Here is an interesting story. Believe it or not, this is true a true story. I traded for 18hrs straight (one time and never did it again). I took a break for 5 minutes every hour. In 18hrs, I turned $900 into $12,258 (approx 600pips). I went to sleep for the next 24hrs (just got up to pee then back to bed). Was it luck?... No. I'll explain in the end.

First of all, let me make it clear: "I don't suggest anyone to try it."
Second of all, this is not: "let's gamble and see how lucky we can get."

So here is the explanation:
There are times when you greedy , you end up not following your trading plan. But what is more important is that there are times when you strictly follow your trading plan and you will lose.

The more I analyzed my trades, I found that 30% was greed and 70% was trading system which had led to failure. Every high achiever in trading has 2 systems; One is offensive and the other is defensive.

System 1 (offensive) is what everyone is working on. A trading system based on capturing pips; entries and exits.

System 2 (defensive) is what you don't hear about. This system is designed to identify losing trades before it happens.

For example:
System 1 will identify 100 of the high probability trades. System 2 will identify out of those 100 signals are the ones that will fail. It is not a mere decision of entering when your system tells you and not entering when there are no signal. Every system will produce a failed/false signal... The key is; Can you identify those failed signals? Because if you can't, you will end up giving back those pips.

If one just want to be profitable... all that require is (a proven) system 1 and a little discipline. If one wants to be the top 5%, one will need more than system 1.


Regards,
CrucialPoint
 
4
  • Post #219
  • Quote
  • Aug 8, 2010 11:13pm Aug 8, 2010 11:13pm
  •  muzani
  • | Joined Jan 2010 | Status: Member | 35 Posts
Quoting CrucialPoint
Disliked
I know exactly what you mean
I used to reach 40-70 pips in 3 hours and then give it all back in the next 3 hours of trading.

I always analyze my trades at the end of the week. To an extent, greed does play a role. From years of research, here's what I can conclude: It doesn't matter how greedy you can get... if it is done right, it will be right. One can trade with discipline and be greedy at the same time, if you have a proven system (let me get to this proven system in the end).

Here is an interesting story. Believe it or not, this is...
Ignored
this i got to hear... can u explain more on this topic.... how can we know that the trade is going south... before it happens? is this have anything to do with having a proper placed stoplosses? how can we identify failed signals? please... we traders need to know this..
 
 
  • Post #220
  • Quote
  • Aug 9, 2010 3:14am Aug 9, 2010 3:14am
  •  CrucialPoint
  • Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Good-Bye FF | 857 Posts
Quoting muzani
Disliked
this i got to hear... can u explain more on this topic.... how can we know that the trade is going south... before it happens? is this have anything to do with having a proper placed stoplosses? how can we identify failed signals? please... we traders need to know this..
Ignored
To answer your question...

Quoting CrucialPoint
Disliked
It takes a lot of time, energy, hard work and sacrifices to capture the gold-laying goose. As much as I like to explain how it is done, Forex is a simple game; one is the winner and the other is the loser. In order for me to win, someone has to lose. No-one is going to give away the goose that lays the golden eggs. I hope you will understand; All is fair in love and war.
Ignored
 
 
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