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  • Post #341
  • Quote
  • Feb 8, 2021 5:04pm Feb 8, 2021 5:04pm
  •  pampaq
  • | Joined May 2013 | Status: Member | 867 Posts
A difficult day, to operate with a certain probability of success, and peace of mind. It starts upwards, leaves a deep setback, and there we notice that LL is doing. Then HH, HL, and leaves a failed retest of HH. We now have an LH and do an LL. Expectation, that goes down, doing another LL. It breaks down and leaves us about 5 Pts of TP.
Strong upward movement, and then a series of HH and LL at a similar height. That is a range. Then the bullish breakout, which accelerates as it reaches the supply zone. Break that MRI with a decision candelstick. And there again with a high probability of success and tranquility we can take another 6 points, which the market gives us.
Patience, and decision, at the right time. Greetings.
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  • Post #342
  • Quote
  • Feb 8, 2021 7:45pm Feb 8, 2021 7:45pm
  •  Winston Reed
  • Joined Mar 2009 | Status: Hobby Trader | 4,477 Posts
Quoting pampaq
Disliked
A difficult day, to operate with a certain probability of success, and peace of mind. It starts upwards, leaves a deep setback, and there we notice that LL is doing. Then HH, HL, and leaves a failed retest of HH. We now have an LH and do an LL. Expectation, that goes down, doing another LL. It breaks down and leaves us about 5 Pts of TP. Strong upward movement, and then a series of HH and LL at a similar height. That is a range. Then the bullish breakout, which accelerates as it reaches the supply zone. Break that MRI with a decision candelstick....
Ignored
Hello pampas,

Thanks for your charts. But I must admit I'm not clear on which market you are showing here nor which time frame. Please help us. Thanks!
 
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  • Post #343
  • Quote
  • Feb 8, 2021 7:51pm Feb 8, 2021 7:51pm
  •  Winston Reed
  • Joined Mar 2009 | Status: Hobby Trader | 4,477 Posts
Quoting Winston Reed
Disliked
EURGBP 15 min sell limit. This is not a "trade call". Please do your own due diligence. EURGBP on the 15 min chart has been relentlessly downtrending. It seemed price was trying to fill the gap above but now a pivot has appeared. I've tweaked the R:R and although I would like a lower entry this is what I'm going with. {image}
Ignored
As can be seen my limit sell missed being filled by a mere pip or two. I don't like the way things look now so I'll be exiting this trade unfilled.

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  • Post #344
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  • Feb 9, 2021 5:11pm Feb 9, 2021 5:11pm
  •  pampaq
  • | Joined May 2013 | Status: Member | 867 Posts
Another choppy day, following the pivots and applying candel stick, we were able to go in and take out about 5.5 points.
These days, without clear direction, it is necessary to know in advance that the routes are short. It opened, made a new HH, breaks the bearish sequence, to fall and leave an LL. Had we not been attentive to that market data, an HH in a bearish sequence, we could have entered to the downside and be trapped there.
We go long, when it leaves a close above the broken LL, and a green hammer, an indication of strong demand at that level. We went to the flat SMA of 200. and there we closed one part and then with no clear break the other. regards
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  • Post #345
  • Quote
  • Edited 12:08pm Feb 10, 2021 4:18am | Edited 12:08pm
  •  rover99x
  • | Joined Sep 2009 | Status: Member | 492 Posts
Quoting pampaq
Disliked
Another choppy day, following the pivots and applying candel stick, we were able to go in and take out about 5.5 points. These days, without clear direction, it is necessary to know in advance that the routes are short. It opened, made a new HH, breaks the bearish sequence, to fall and leave an LL. Had we not been attentive to that market data, an HH in a bearish sequence, we could have entered to the downside and be trapped there. We go long, when it leaves a close above the broken LL, and a green hammer, an indication of strong demand at that...
Ignored
What is the market you're using and what time-frame are you trading? I can't work it out
 
 
  • Post #346
  • Quote
  • Feb 10, 2021 12:06pm Feb 10, 2021 12:06pm
  •  rover99x
  • | Joined Sep 2009 | Status: Member | 492 Posts
Quoting Winston Reed
Disliked
A free website (www.the-gapbar-trader.com (http://www.the-bargap-trader.com)) with no commercial strings whatsoever is associated with this thread. It represents the opinions of the thread starter. Welcome supply and demand traders! Here I'm going to post my take on how to trade with supply and demand but your strategies are also welcome. I followed Redsword11 from the beginning of his "Price is Everything" thread until his mysterious disappearance. Many offshoots of Red's thread sprouted up but most seem to have gone commercial. I'm...
Ignored
Hi Winston

Thanks for starting this thread and your website, I love your analysis and reasoning of the Gap-Bar. Also looking forward to more of your videos.....
 
 
  • Post #347
  • Quote
  • Feb 10, 2021 12:59pm Feb 10, 2021 12:59pm
  •  rover99x
  • | Joined Sep 2009 | Status: Member | 492 Posts
Would this be somewhere near correct? Taken from the Dow30 today on M15
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  • Post #348
  • Quote
  • Feb 10, 2021 5:02pm Feb 10, 2021 5:02pm
  •  pampaq
  • | Joined May 2013 | Status: Member | 867 Posts
Volatility returned to the market. We were able to do three trades, two short and one long.
The first taking advantage of volalitity. the second, seeing where the power and strength of the bearish momentum, and the weakness of the bullish retracement were canceled.
The third entry, seeing strength and weakness, from the bullish retracement, and a candlestick pattern, which made an extended range bou
The first entry, as the market was slow, was with sl and tp of 2pts and 5pts respectively.
The second entry, already with detected volatility, was allowed to run until the appearance of a 6pts reversal candle.
the third time with sl and tp because it was against trend.
Comparing the strength and weakness of impulses and their setbacks, keeping the order flow, helps us avoid making big mistakes.
As they taught us, the gains take care of themselves, the losses we take care of ourselves.
I also leave you a study on the effectiveness of candlestick patterns.
Highly recommended, if we apply it with a basic strategy.
Greetings.
TF, analysis 15m. Trading 5m or 3m depends on the volatility of the market.
I apologize for my terrible English.
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  • Post #349
  • Quote
  • Edited 5:24pm Feb 10, 2021 5:05pm | Edited 5:24pm
  •  pampaq
  • | Joined May 2013 | Status: Member | 867 Posts
Quoting pampaq
Disliked
Volatility returned to the market. We were able to do three trades, two short and one long. The first taking advantage of volalitity. the second, seeing where the power and strength of the bearish momentum, and the weakness of the bullish retracement were canceled. The third entry, seeing strength and weakness, from the bullish retracement, and a candlestick pattern, which made an extended range bou The first entry, as the market was slow, was with sl and tp of 2pts and 5pts respectively. The second entry, already with detected volatility, was allowed...
Ignored
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  • Post #350
  • Quote
  • Feb 10, 2021 8:21pm Feb 10, 2021 8:21pm
  •  Winston Reed
  • Joined Mar 2009 | Status: Hobby Trader | 4,477 Posts
Quoting pampaq
Disliked
Volatility returned to the market. We were able to do three trades, two short and one long. The first taking advantage of volalitity. the second, seeing where the power and strength of the bearish momentum, and the weakness of the bullish retracement were canceled. The third entry, seeing strength and weakness, from the bullish retracement, and a candlestick pattern, which made an extended range bou The first entry, as the market was slow, was with sl and tp of 2pts and 5pts respectively. The second entry, already with detected volatility, was allowed...
Ignored
Hello pampas,
I and one other contributor here have asked you questions and so far you refuse to answer. I'm not sure what you are trying to accomplish but I think you need to be responsive to our questions or perhaps start a journal which is what your posts sound like. Fair warning.
 
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  • Post #351
  • Quote
  • Feb 10, 2021 8:30pm Feb 10, 2021 8:30pm
  •  Winston Reed
  • Joined Mar 2009 | Status: Hobby Trader | 4,477 Posts
Quoting rover99x
Disliked
Would this be somewhere near correct? Taken from the Dow30 today on M15 {image}
Ignored
Hello rover99x,
On the website the trading course is going through an approach that I think will help you. It seems you are stuck on very traditional s/d zones. I've been clear that I don't really use "zones" in that manner.

Having said that your "zone" seems to just coincide with where price seemed to stop and imho is pretty weak.

The chart below shows the trend progression with HHs and HLs. I've also marked off some gapbars that I think were important historically. The large gapbar Ive marked off is most relevant currently.

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  • Post #352
  • Quote
  • Feb 11, 2021 4:56am Feb 11, 2021 4:56am
  •  rover99x
  • | Joined Sep 2009 | Status: Member | 492 Posts
Quoting Winston Reed
Disliked
{quote} Hello rover99x, On the website the trading course is going through an approach that I think will help you. It seems you are stuck on very traditional s/d zones. I've been clear that I don't really use "zones" in that manner. Having said that your "zone" seems to just coincide with where price seemed to stop and imho is pretty weak. The chart below shows the trend progression with HHs and HLs. I've also marked off some gapbars that I think were important historically. The large gapbar Ive marked off is most relevant currently. {image}
Ignored
Thanks Winston, I'll go back and study your site again
 
 
  • Post #353
  • Quote
  • Feb 11, 2021 3:24pm Feb 11, 2021 3:24pm
  •  Nino
  • | Joined Jun 2011 | Status: Member | 51 Posts
Hi Winston, how about this trade? Comments from others are welcome too.

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  • Post #354
  • Quote
  • Feb 11, 2021 3:46pm Feb 11, 2021 3:46pm
  •  Winston Reed
  • Joined Mar 2009 | Status: Hobby Trader | 4,477 Posts
Quoting Nino
Disliked
Hi Winston, how about this trade? Comments from others are welcome too. {image}
Ignored
Can't find anything wrong with that one Nino. Nice!
 
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  • Post #355
  • Quote
  • Feb 11, 2021 6:21pm Feb 11, 2021 6:21pm
  •  pampaq
  • | Joined May 2013 | Status: Member | 867 Posts
Quoting Winston Reed
Disliked
{quote} Hello pampas, I and one other contributor here have asked you questions and so far you refuse to answer. I'm not sure what you are trying to accomplish but I think you need to be responsive to our questions or perhaps start a journal which is what your posts sound like. Fair warning.
Ignored
Dear Winston Reed, I am looking for nothing more than to give my two cents.
As for the questions, that of rover99x, I have answered it, in my last quote.
And the market is both forex and emini SP. seen in the graph.
As you said that the forum was open, and your position seemed very good to me, I tried to collaborate with the vision that I apply every day in price action. And of course I am available to answer the questions that are asked.
I thought that by placing the graphics and relating, what I did and when I did it, I collaborated in some way with this space that you have created.
If you believe that I should cease my participation, I will do so. My only intention is to show my way of looking at supply and demand, and price action. hoping to shorten the learning curve through the experience of others. Like I did when I started in these businesses.
Greetings and I hope I have made myself understood, it is not easy sometimes, when you do not have a good command of the language. it's easier with graphics. we are in contact.
 
 
  • Post #356
  • Quote
  • Feb 12, 2021 8:16am Feb 12, 2021 8:16am
  •  Nino
  • | Joined Jun 2011 | Status: Member | 51 Posts
Thanks Winston, The trade was successful and it seems that the RR 1:3 is the best thing!
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  • Post #357
  • Quote
  • Feb 12, 2021 8:45am Feb 12, 2021 8:45am
  •  Winston Reed
  • Joined Mar 2009 | Status: Hobby Trader | 4,477 Posts
Quoting pampaq
Disliked
{quote} Dear Winston Reed, I am looking for nothing more than to give my two cents. As for the questions, that of rover99x, I have answered it, in my last quote. And the market is both forex and emini SP. seen in the graph. As you said that the forum was open, and your position seemed very good to me, I tried to collaborate with the vision that I apply every day in price action. And of course I am available to answer the questions that are asked. I thought that by placing the graphics and relating, what I did and when I did it, I collaborated in...
Ignored
Thanks you for your answer! It is much appreciated. I surely don't want to prevent you from contributing but to be more helpful let me make some additional comments and not to be too critical but just honest.

Your charts are difficult to read and unclear. We are also not clear which markets you are trading at the time you post the chart. Not that you have to chart like I do but my charts are generally very clear and easy to read with no indicators.

Thanks again and hope we can learn from you!
 
 
  • Post #358
  • Quote
  • Feb 12, 2021 8:50am Feb 12, 2021 8:50am
  •  Nino
  • | Joined Jun 2011 | Status: Member | 51 Posts
Another example for RR, this trade against trend has reached the target with RR 1:3, but still in progress if we consider RR 1:4 to the next supply.

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  • Post #359
  • Quote
  • Feb 12, 2021 8:58am Feb 12, 2021 8:58am
  •  Winston Reed
  • Joined Mar 2009 | Status: Hobby Trader | 4,477 Posts
This is a beautiful chart to study. It exemplifies so much of what I am trying to teach.

GBPUSD was trending up. Notice the gapbars on the left shown by the purple arrows. Price needed to break down below these bars with force to show evidence of supply coming in to this market. Notice the LL where price takes out a previous swing and the two purple gapbars. Then price comes back up trying to make a new high but fails. Notice the orange arrow gapbar that now is good evidence of supply. Price comes back to it's origin and thus a good opportunity to sell was presented. It went 3:1.
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  • Post #360
  • Quote
  • Feb 12, 2021 9:02am Feb 12, 2021 9:02am
  •  Winston Reed
  • Joined Mar 2009 | Status: Hobby Trader | 4,477 Posts
Quoting Nino
Disliked
Another example for RR, this trade against trend has reached the target with RR 1:3, but still in progress if we consider RR 1:4 to the next supply. {image}
Ignored
Yes against the trend which is ok as long as one knows this. I tend to be very careful about larger trades >3:1 if I'm against the trend.

You are demonstrating excellent knowledge and wisdom in your trades Nino!
 
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