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- fullperson replied Jul 25, 2016
Mkt is so quiet...just happy I can send indics out to keep me busy. Not quite sure what the plan is on your wine products, can you re-phrase?
Technical Analysis Fallacy
- fullperson replied Jun 24, 2016
Watch out guys, BOJ on alert. They are gathering committee now.
Technical Analysis Fallacy
- fullperson replied Jun 23, 2016
Your budget was 100mio?! Even with my spot, and fwd business, my budget is a small fraction. I haven't quoted anything in yards besides yen...Truly puts things in perspective.
Technical Analysis Fallacy
- fullperson replied May 16, 2016
We ascribe meaning because we can't accept that price just moves where it wants to (we are creatures that crave reasons for things). So Sales/research/trading needs some sort of reference for when we can't find a fundamental reason why there is a ...
Technical Analysis Fallacy
- fullperson replied Feb 27, 2016
Your conscience and concern for the novice shows your true colors. You went way above your initial goals, and attempted to tackle a question that really has thousands of viable answers, so clearly there will be mixed results. If I may allude your ...
Technical Analysis Fallacy
- fullperson replied Feb 26, 2016
2016, heard bonus used to be 3-4x base back in the day..much has changed. You can make a lot more in tech or medicine.
Is anyone here an institutional trader?
- fullperson replied Oct 27, 2015
Unfortunately, the best strategies are actually pretty simple: 1) Build a price aggregator and have people hit your platform, alter prices in your favor. 2) Sit in between as a broker and collect money 3) Have clients and pass your prices + sales ...
Technical Analysis Fallacy
- fullperson replied Oct 27, 2015
Hi Jacque, Like fti says, it's important to take into account the risk of ruin. For leveraged strategies, drawdown is important, so something like the calmar ratio is useful, although perhaps not as relevant an indicator in FX. Off topic, but I ...
Technical Analysis Fallacy
- fullperson replied Oct 2, 2015
It's when you see something you don't remember doing where things get dicey..
Technical Analysis Fallacy
- fullperson replied Aug 10, 2015
Good to see thread is alive and well. Summer markets very slow!
Technical Analysis Fallacy
- fullperson replied Aug 25, 2013
It's been a while, I hope everyone is well. I'm glad you're still helping out and teaching peeps as they learn.
Technical Analysis Fallacy
- fullperson replied Mar 7, 2013
Yes, recently my offer for a dream job was taken back due to a "hiring freeze". I had to deny another job I really liked and was a bit annoyed. I cleaned up the posts because I didn't want anyone to get rigid without proper understanding of the ...
Technical Analysis Fallacy
- fullperson replied Mar 3, 2013
I re-read my previous post and noticed some ego. I realize that the way I phrased my "human nature" disclosure probably sounded like malicious intent. My only goal in writing that part was to show that I acknowledge my curiosity scorpion and that ...
Technical Analysis Fallacy
- fullperson replied Mar 1, 2013
Very good Gro! My win rate is not as high as yours (75ish pct), I don't tend to press as hard. I hope I can get to 80 pct some day though. I understand also my qqq back tested strategy. But alas, it only lasted a brief period before someone moved ...
Technical Analysis Fallacy
- fullperson replied Feb 28, 2013
You giving me the b-s equation? Ah no fti, while it is human nature for me to want you to teach (I am certain I tried to trick you into it in the past, and I might think about it in the future), I value our open communication much more. I don't want ...
Technical Analysis Fallacy
- fullperson replied Feb 26, 2013
Long time no see all. Hi fti, it's good to see you are still doing ok. I just had a chat with a retired senior fx mm at about jobs and his experiences in general. Speaking with him reminded me of you since a lot of what you say rings true with ...
Technical Analysis Fallacy
- fullperson replied Aug 15, 2012
People see lots of patterns in randomness, overtime it becomes bias. I have not read any research paper on 30's but there's one on round numbers that showed statistical significance (which they defined as bouncing at the area after 15 mins).
Technical Analysis Fallacy
- fullperson replied Aug 13, 2012
hahaha fti, my father acts the same. Very young at heart, but getting old. He comes up with the worst pick up lines ever.
Technical Analysis Fallacy
- fullperson replied Aug 13, 2012
automating a strategy is difficult, hard enough to define support resistance. But human eyes take a few seconds can find it easily and accurately.
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