Selling something. The links come once follower interest peaks.

Assuming a 1-R, winning 66% of the time is unachievable. Above 1-R, win rate of 66% is impossible.

1:1 = 50% win rate 1:3 = 25% win rate

Let me run these scenarios again on EurUsd. I'll post the results for each. The math for the 1:1 & 1:2 are easy, the tricky ones are the Trailing and stop to BE halfway. I had almost all the exact results though.

18 years on here.. every bucket shop has different prices. There is no central exchange with Contracts For Differences.

@jamieharriso why does 2R have a higher EV than the rest? @Awais.212 why does 1R have a higher EV than the rest? If anyone can show any of these setups having an Expected Value higher than another, please post.. or forever stay in Rookie Talk.

Thank you for the kind words. Hoping to share my knowledge of trading without the usual secrets that Forex Charlatans use on here. There are no secrets, no special indicators/settings, just price.

Much appreciated input, as always. That damn spread.. the reason why this breaks down on smaller TP/SL distances. Ie; the 100 pip 1:1 R:R conforms in-line while the 10 pip 1:1 R:R gives a negative skew. Just by observation on this EurUsd Proof of ...

Which scenario has the highest Expected Value and why?

That's true.. there's a reason why these forums/websites promote high-R trades.. they're the counterparty (every 3R trade to us is a 0.3R trade to the broker). I have found a 2R strategy does work just the same.. except the losing streaks will ...

Both buys & sells were used, often at same time. No way to trade a trend as those are unpredictable when they will start or end.

No one is going to Google your stupid languages. You have no proof, no results of anything. You are a little troll just regurgitating junk you've read online, playing with fonts. If you knew what an inefficiency was, you would have proof of ...

A lot of words, zero results. The reason why you don't have any proof. Typical FF troll.

I've provided all metrics, years of backtesting, data, and an acct trading on the exact premise tagged in my signature. Do you have any quantitative results to your "homo oeconomicus" taking advantage of market inefficiencies or is it just rambling?

Oh, then target the most pips cuz that's best.

I'm not saying swing traders should use that R-multiple. It's a conclusion I came to in back testing EurUsd. The higher you go away from 1-R, the more inconsistent the results become. Particularly losing streaks will increase exponentially. Most ...

There is no edge in R:R. I chose 0.8R as it produced some of the most consistent profitability when ran through a Monte Carlo analysis. Higher R-multiples would either be profitable, or the losing streaks from lower win rates would crash the ...

The math in this thread is so wrong. I don't have time to quote all the incorrect examples, but I know if you follow this post, you'll be at best breakeven in trading. I use 0.5-0.8R (0.5:1 to 0.8:1) in this thread just to prove we've been ...

If using at least a 1:3, expect to have losing streaks of 9-12 trades and win about 25% of the time. Size accordingly.