Our research shows the same (eventual) outcome for all the carry/commodity currencies. And this is REGARDLESS of global growth or risk-sentiment. The way we see it, the possibilities are as follows and they all look bad for these currencies: ...

Look at what just happened to this major currency............. Just another example (and further evidence) that nothing is guaranteed in this game. And there is no such thing as "OB/OS". Even if this thing recovers completely, you better believe ...

My thoughts exactly!

Hey brother. WOW, small world indeed (101st)! We own a rental-cabin in TN and I make the trip to FT. Campbell at least once every 2 years. It's always a great feeling to drive through that front-gate I appreciate the time and effort you've taken ...

First and foremost, thank you for your time at Desert Storm and Camp V. This political conversation between you and I is just one of the many benefits we get to have as Americans, BECAUSE of all that sacrifice. My older brother served in Desert ...

I don't agree with the guy's policies any more than you do. I know that this administration has been a power-grab on various levels. He speaks nice and calmly on camera and then signs executive orders to do whatever he wants. Trust me, I see what's ...

I'm not familiar with this "matrix response" that you are referring to. But I can definitely see the manipulation involved and the facts for what they are. This is essentially a no-win situation, between two flawed candidates. It'll just come down ...

I could care less about these politicians. I'm an Independent and have voted for both sides (at different times) in the past. And I've learned that it is useless. Because they all lie in one way or another. All I know is that I have to pay a ...

You are absolutely correct. In this case, the Japanese people are feeling a distinct version of the 'wealth effect' (because of the fact that they will pay 'lower taxes' to their government). And whenever a populace experiences this dynamic, they ...

Very well said and you are absolutely correct. Institutional traders make money because they are FORCED to be disciplined and patient. These guys can't just place any random trade on a whim. There are checklists, procedures and a boss that will fire ...

Wow, this guy graduated from Stanford and worked at GSachs for 8 years. And STILL managed to lose 90% of this account. You would think that somewhere along the line he would have learned something about investing/trading. At the very least, he ...

For anyone on the right-side of the trend, the next crash will make plenty of people VERY RICH. But for many more people around the world, it's going to be sad. And you all are correct. It's only a matter of time. There's (realistically) no way to ...

Very well said Nick. We've worked with several HIGHLY-EXPERIENCED traders over the years who used divergences as their bread-and-butter. But not all divergences are equal. And it takes time and effort to really understand why this is. Unfortunately, ...

You could be absolutely right (avoiding taxes). But then again, there's plenty of ways to avoid paying taxes. At least this method is helpful for society in a variety of ways. My 2 cents........

Absolutely correct. We have worked with numerous former bank/fund traders over the years. And trust me, some of these guys have been BAD-ASS traders. Yet none of them (as far as I know) have traded personal accounts with anything less than $300k. It ...

1000000% correct..... Our own research keeps pointing toward only 1 rate-hike this year (due to behind-the-scenes, election-related politics). And as utterly absurd as it might seem, we wouldn't be shocked if they stay on hold the entire year. Think ...

Agree 100%. Sometimes, liquidity issues (alone) can be the source of large price fluctuations on the lower tf's. JPY is the most widely-used funding currency in the world. So it essentially lives and dies depending on risk-sentiment. Especially in ...

Over-leveraging themselves ultimately led to the demise of Bear Stearns and Lehman brothers. In addition to a sudden lack of liquidity. And for Lehman, mark-to-market regulations greatly added to their problem. But the main culprit was ...

Absolutely right. Just about every decision we make seems to be right 'at the moment'. Especially in trading. And when you see a guy post ridiculous returns in any given year, you need to understand that he HAD to take out-sized risks. If it works ...

Ignore the day-to-day noise in the markets. The U.S. is the prettiest house in an ugly neighborhood. And the only G8 economy with a higher trajectory for interest rates. Therefore, the USD will continue to rise against the EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD and ...