I don't know where you get your data from but you should check your sources. The food inflation rate is - neither in the US, nor in Germany or Europe - at 5%. It is slightly above 2%. You are right, lower rates won't solve german industrial problem, ...

She wants to see Europe burn

The russian economy is just doing good because of the war due to increased government expenditures. That is economics 101. But Russia starts to see inflation increasing tremendously, which is at 21% (not 8-9%). That is why Putin wants a new ...

Unfortunately, there is a lot more to that. The minister of Thüringen, Björn Höcke, is as far right as it gets. He uses Nazi slang in a lot of speeches.

Good analysis. In addition, all major recessions (with the exception of COVID) in the past were preceded by a negative 10Y2Y spread, which ended in a recession 1-2 years later. The 10Y2Y spread turned negative in June 2022. This is only a matter of ...

Billy your opionion usually differs from most other FF members but now it aligns with them when it comes to Taylor Swift's shitty music. This is funny.

The decline in shelter palys a key role in why the data came in less than expected. 0.4% in May vs 0.2% in June month-over-month. I am actually curious if the inflation data will rebound if FED announces rate cuts since it will increase house prices ...

In the end, you still need the knowledge to tell ChatGPT what to code or which trading ideas to compare/combine. The wording will be decisive. ChatGPT itself is just a tool and the people who use it still need to know how to use it. It is not ...

That will have a bad impact on the economy. The FED needs to be forward looking and not backward looking. Why should you wait for the data if interest rate changes have a lagged impact?

I do not share the woke mentality. In fact, I really dislike it. My point is your over-simplified wording, because there are many young hard-working people and you discredit those by statements like "the youth [in general] of nowadays don't want ...

I am young myself and i can tell you that wokish people are only a minority but they are loud. That is why most old people think that all the young people are woke. In fact, the majority of young people voted for the right-wing party (at least in ...

I would like to know where you get your information from because there is so much bullshit written in your text. And it shocks me that so many people like the misinformation you spread.

4% unemployment is still very low. image

The unemployment rate increases because you have more people willing to work, which did not find a job yet, but at the same time firms’ labor demand increases as seen by the non-farm employment change. Labor supply and labor demand increased ...

That was the joke lol. There will be no interest rate hikes in the near future. The BOJ should have hiked when the other CBs hiked but now it is too late. Just my two cents.

I wouldn't be surprised if the BOJ will follow.

First cut but higher for longer from here on. Hawkish cut.

The value of a currency is heavily dependent on the interest rate, which will increase/stay higher for longer with high inflation prints. Inflation itself is bad for a currency but the resulting policy impacts are good for it and this is implied ...

He was wrong 2021 and will be wrong again. Time for ECB to cut this summer.

I am interest because I cannot believe that you are not trolling lol