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- 4rXal-ghul replied Oct 29, 2018
It's so true what you say about Ransquawk. I also have been contemplating a non-renewal on my subscription. But I can't deny that they have a great edge with their analyst chat.. and their research suite is broad and delivered concisely. I would ...
- 4rXal-ghul replied Aug 27, 2018
Are you long this pair?
- 4rXal-ghul replied May 14, 2018
Why are the banks recommending short USD? Do you suspect there is any fundamental reason(s) for this? Or they looking to play the correction of the bullish run. I don't think last week's below-estimates CPI is strong enough reason on it's own.
- 4rXal-ghul replied May 14, 2018
I think this makes sense. For a while now, the USD trade has been driven mostly by the political climate in the US surrounding Trump and foreign policy. Now Trump is showing signs that he can actually be an achiever, but it is not yet 'uhuru' for ...
- 4rXal-ghul replied May 11, 2018
Sold GBPAUD into the event... took profits a couple hours before the event. After the announcement, I remained very cautious with my entry... missed some nice pullbacks on GBPJPY, GBPUSD (GBPCAD especially). Then later I entered short GBPUSD on a ...
- 4rXal-ghul replied May 9, 2018
There seems to be a feeling that if the BOE doesn't hike now, then Carney may lose the chance to hike this year or at all before the end of his tenure.. seeing as the outlook for inflation and brexit risks isn't very positive. Any chance we will see ...
- 4rXal-ghul replied May 8, 2018
Conflicting reports all over the media. Thankfully, I'm out of the trade for now
- 4rXal-ghul replied May 8, 2018
Now I regret exit my OIL short too early. I suspected that whatever will be the outcome, the trade looked more and more like a sell regardless. Now looks like Trump isn't pulling out.
- 4rXal-ghul replied May 7, 2018
divergence to the upside? or to the downside? In the case that it is to the upside, Is it possible the market may show a lack of confidence in the BOE's ability to forecast accurately and follow through?
- 4rXal-ghul replied May 7, 2018
Yeah, what I meant is that I am not so sure by how much it will affect oil's output. But I am sure it will turn global risk sentiment sour, hence its probably a more solid trade to go long Yen instead. Do you think the Saudis' wanting oil at $80pbl ...
- 4rXal-ghul replied May 7, 2018
I think we'll more likely get an outcome from the Iran situation first before NAFTA, right? But then, how much actual damage to Oil will a collapse of the Iran deal cause? Is it probably a more solid trade to play it from the risk-off angle?
- 4rXal-ghul replied May 7, 2018
Did he explicitly state this? Or did he indicate by what he said in his speech last week? I see why it may not be practical to pair against USD, but can you kindly say why you choose AUD? Thanks.
- 4rXal-ghul replied May 7, 2018
So anything short of a rate hike OR an added voice to Saunders' and McCafferty's will not be enough to convince the market to resume GBP buying, right? They will definitely hold. However, don't you think we may see a hawkish hold?
- 4rXal-ghul replied Dec 13, 2017
As for the USD tonight, The expectation is for the Fed to hike rates by 25 basis points (USD neutral). They could show confidence in the economy by significantly upgrading their economic projections -most especially for inflation (USD positive) ...
- 4rXal-ghul replied Dec 13, 2017
If I may, what is your experience level in trading the fundamentals? How much stuff do you know about fundamental analysis? The basic stuff? In any case, I encourage you to read this thread right from the first post on page 1 thru to this page. I ...
- 4rXal-ghul replied Dec 12, 2017
Downgrades to the dot? Surely that would be a big surprise regardless of Friday's disappointing wage data (NB: it did not fall). Considering also the Fed are yet to factor in the potential effects of tax reform into their economic projections... at ...
- 4rXal-ghul replied Dec 6, 2017
Seems like the markets no longer believes in anything but hard evidence... And even then, it seems to be looking for excuses to sell the dollar. Also, the sooner this controversy surrounding Trump/election ends, the clearer things becomes for the ...
- 4rXal-ghul replied Nov 8, 2017
RBA out of the way: Though we wait for Policy Statement on Friday, which could offer bigger clues on policy going forward and direction for the Aussie also. RBNZ out of the way: Big one for me! Brought forward forecast timing for next rate. Positive ...
- 4rXal-ghul replied Nov 6, 2017
On the central bank front. It seems to me that focus is on the RBNZ and RBA forecasts. It looks a really quiet week this one. So we look to geo-political headlines then.