Thanks for your thoughtful response I was hoping to encourage some people to offer counter arguments so I could consider them and test my bias. Your point about all available information being discounted into the price did this, and I'd ...

I think I'm in complete agreement with this. The question is, what is the smart moneys read of the situation, do you think it's the same? As far as trading opportunities are concerned, I think the main one would be the shock of the UK agreed to one ...

The title of this thread has irritated me since I first saw it all those years ago. FYI, I hear the Jaws theme tune.

I think I responded to this before, but this is the purpose of the discussion - to work out the consequences.

Comment on (2): It may be in the EU's favour to give the UK what it wants in the narrow sense - after all, the UK trades at a deficit with them, and the UK has more worldwide opportunity than the EU27 that it could better take advantage of outside ...

Recently delegated a lot of my workload to some Filipino freelancers... so I have plenty of free time to fritter away until I get bored and guilty, and then start looking for real work to do I should have guessed you'd still be here. The funny ...

Sharing a successful strategy on a forum is like giving away your business plan to a wannabe entrepreneur in another country. What's the point? Not to mention, sharing a strategy wont be like sharing half of a chocolate bar... it would take a lot of ...

Eventually react to what? Does your strategy amount to jumping in with the direction of the price change?

After a little further thought about your post, I thought I would add a little extra response... I am not claiming that we need definite answers about the outcome, I but I am saying that we need to be clear on causal relationships. Without causal ...

Is Brexit good or bad for the GBP? EDIT: My point is that you cannot know if Brexit will reduce or increase the exchange rate of the GBP unless you know what Brexit is and how it effects the players. Your suggestion, highlighted above, offers no ...

OK, so what are the compromises that could be made, or changes that could ensue, that would affect any of the players that I listed before, and how would these players act in the face of these changes? And last of all, how would these actions be ...

Thanks I love being told that I'm not boring people as much as I suspect I am. So we can distil your comment to... 1. May is in favour of leaving the EU. 2. It is in the EU's favour to pursue free trade with the UK, without any obligations on the ...

Hi Paka, I don't have any opinion yet. I'm just working through the problem now on the forum. I'm waiting for other posters to put in the effort and engage in the discussion so we can move toward a better understanding of the situation. If we want ...

Once we are clear on the definitions of each, then we can look at the ways in-which different "actors" will be effected, based on their interests. Let's also draw up a list of actors... - BOE - UK Consumers - EU Consumers - IMF - US Gov - FED - UK ...

Here we go, let's discuss along these lines... We have three possibilities, either (a) Brexit, (b) Bremain or (c) Brompromise (Feel free to think of a better name for option "c" ) (a) Brexit - Definition - A trading relationship under WTO rules, ...

It seems like the OP wants some meat on the bones of Technical analysis that you're providing. He wants a fundamental based and reasoned discussion about the effects and substance of Brexit, as relates to the markets. Not... "I don't think the Euro ...

And to expand... - What kind of politico-economic union is the EU? - What effects did the EU have on the UK assets and currency during membership? - Is the BOE political? Does the BOE have private motives? If we can't answer these questions, we ...

Are you guys looking at Brexit through a Keynesian or Austrian looking-glass? You might ignore my comments but this is important.