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- ash234 replied May 1, 2013
Price did go down. I am guessing it did not go down as much as you wanted to. Just with the amount of data you have, its just a pullback as price is heading higher. Look at downsloping lines in an uptrend or vice versa, they just offer bounces, big ...
- ash234 replied Aug 30, 2012
Draw a regular Andrews from those pivots and do a modified Schiff. Then draw a line backwards to extend the tail.
- ash234 replied Apr 14, 2012
Hi I am a wannabe forker. Very new to this. Here's my EURUSD chart
- ash234 replied Mar 10, 2012
Great post LazyPawn, that was a good read
- ash234 replied Jan 10, 2012
It is a great way to add on to existing positions in the strongest or weakest markets.
- ash234 replied Aug 10, 2011
Have you done anything yet to assess whether the system is robust, do you actually know how the EA works and how it was developed? It is not possible to say anything about that just by looking at this stats. Is the premise of the system heuristic ...
- ash234 replied Aug 10, 2011
Oh you mean this EA was bought off the shelf? Is your test period "Out of Sample" aka after the product has been made available for sale and the settings not tampered with after? If I am a borderline criminal I would have overfitted the EA to the in ...
- ash234 replied Aug 10, 2011
The results are realistic, sample size is good. Was there optimization done? Does it include slippage and spreads? The largest loss is greater than the largest win, do you know why? My opinion is test the strategy with both money management and no ...
- ash234 replied Jul 29, 2011
ForexHard has given alot away, even on his confirmation signal before entry, how he defines what a good CZ is. I hope you guys who are asking questions of where to put your stops or TP have at least looked at your charts. No offence intended.
- ash234 replied Jul 17, 2011
Definitely take a look at infiniteyieldforex.blogspot.com
- ash234 replied Jul 15, 2011
You may not have a trade every week.
- ash234 replied Jul 14, 2011
67% win rate is not typical of a trend following system. However you only have 32 sample sizes. If you can get at least a hundred trades while still maintaining a profit factor of >3, that would be something assuming its not overfitted
- ash234 replied Jul 12, 2011
How many trades does your system generate a year? You need sufficient sample size to come to a sound evaluation. I would really recommend to get your hands on as much data as possible. It is not difficult to get daily EOD data dating back to 1991. ...
- ash234 replied Jul 10, 2011
Another 3 more samples Examples of reversal breakouts, they tend to go longer more than 1 multiple of range. Again small sample size, not statistically significant Forexhard keep it coming too
- ash234 replied Jul 10, 2011
Dear Forexhard Thanks for sharing. I have too been trying to look for an edge in trading breakouts from periods of consolidation but on the hrly TF, still working on it. Your methodology certainly helped me looked at exploring them in a new way. ...
- ash234 replied Jun 30, 2011
I would suggest you dwell more deeply on system development either through reading books or going through "quality" online sources. I can tell you you are not going to achieve those statistics as they are not realistic. 15:1 RR happens when you ...
- ash234 replied Jun 16, 2011
From my testing, entry is important provided it has an edge. The cliche of exit being more important than the entry depends on what kind of system you are trading. If you are trading based on profiting from a certain market character for example the ...
- ash234 replied Jun 9, 2011
Entry on shorter TF and holding on to trades (days or longer) is much different than a quick entry and exit on short TF. On the retail floor, the odds are really against you for the latter (commissions,spreads,slippage, "noise", stress) Unless you ...
- ash234 replied Jun 9, 2011
To think about: I assume you are going to measure correlation of price changes rather than price itself. 1. Do i measure daily, 3 days, 5days 1 month correlation? 2. If I trade GBPJPY and USDCHF, fundamentally it should be less correlated than ...
- ash234 replied May 11, 2011
My backtest results for firststrike plus for this year with 50k starting equity, 1% fixed fractional position size, 2 pips per round turn spread/commissions image image