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- narafa replied Jun 18, 2017
Just use Kelly instead. What you are proposing will not grow equity unless the edge is variable (which is highly unlikely to be the case). Use Kelly for optimal size instead, it will ensure steady and slow growth of equity regardless of drawdowns. ...
- narafa replied May 4, 2017
There is a housing bubble in Canada which is on the verge of bursting. One mortgage lender has almost collapsed and it's only a matter of time until a bailout is engineered or a bankruptcy is filed. This is just the beginning or the tip of the ...
- narafa replied Apr 24, 2017
Just a question, are you sure of those reasons to support a bullish AUD/USD scenario? Myself, I am very bearish on AUD/USD. Why? Because of 2 main factors: 1. The day the GBPUSD broke out of it's consolidation. That day, the USD was generally weak, ...
- narafa replied Apr 24, 2017
Just a very small opinion of mine. I am not a fan of Bitcoin anyway, however, this doesn't mean that I don't find merits in it, but that's something else, still I don't believe in it or that it can be a widely used currency alternative (Or a ...
- narafa replied Apr 23, 2017
My opinion, there are some similarities between trading (Speculation) and poker for sure. A bad hand should always be folded --> Equivalent to cut your losses short. If you have a bad hand and try to bluff --> You are most probably averaging your ...
- narafa replied Apr 23, 2017
Generally I am bullish medium term on all the Soy complex. Primarily through COT and how producers & commercials were positioning themselves in the recent decline, I would say that the Soy complex reached (Or very close to reach) a medium term ...
- narafa replied Apr 23, 2017
Potentially a bear market rally. Producers are still net short (Sort of heavy shorts), although they took advantage of the recent decline to cover some of their shorts, but still potentially still has room for lower prices (Medium to long term).
- narafa replied Apr 23, 2017
I was going to suggest Tradingview, which to me is a very good option, but you mentioned that it's a bit clunky. Have you tried Investing.com?
- narafa replied Apr 4, 2017
When you compare this to the FX market, you will find it quite similar (Although there are some differences) since it's an OTC market and the banks take the other of the trade, but the tactics would be the same, how? The executions and the orders ...
- narafa replied Apr 4, 2017
Once the session starts, they start executing their orders in almost a systematic fashion depending on the structure of the orders they have. For example, let's say that a Sell Side trader gets the following from Fund A: A buy order for stock A ...
- narafa replied Apr 4, 2017
Kovan, sure. I am sorry for not doing so yesterday. I am done with trading today anyway, so plenty of time Anyway, Sell Side Equity Traders work out large institutional orders throughout the trading session based on certain criteria & guidelines. ...
- narafa replied Apr 3, 2017
Hey Kovan, do you know how Sell-Side Equity Traders execute large institutional orders? If you know, relate that to how market opening & closing affect trades in FX, you will find similarity. In case you don't, please let me know, I will explain in ...
- narafa replied Apr 3, 2017
Hope does not have a yield, wish you can work on changing this habit, it's deadly in the markets. Also, a second sin, "this time it is different", please try not to commit this one. It's not different, every time, it's not.
- narafa replied Mar 31, 2017
Thanks Haven't taken the loss yet as sl not yet hit, although I am sure it might be hit soon, not a big loss anyway since I was short at 2522.
- narafa replied Mar 31, 2017
Was wrong here folks, not a good call Learn from mistakes.
- narafa replied Mar 31, 2017
Trend is shaping, here we go, clear that bias will be down today, but I don't expect the lows at 2400-2405 to be violated, at least today. Have to say that today movements are difficult to interpret, so let's see..
- narafa replied Mar 30, 2017
Gents, look at USDJPY and GBPJPY charts, which one is bullish? It's the USDJPY, hence strength is in USD, so GBPUSD should be going down rather than up on behalf of that.
- narafa replied Mar 30, 2017
What makes everyone think that cable will go higher? I don't see it really. I mean see this rally now in Sydney/Asia session, totally irrelevant, who is trading GBP/USD in Asia? No one. The move is related to JPY mainly where USDJPY and GBPJPY are ...
- narafa replied Mar 30, 2017
Gents, I believe that we are done now, high is in place 2524/25, so down we go I believe, all the way to break the strong area of 2395-2388, once this is clear, we probably go 1.2222. Let's see how we do from here.