Lol, if it’s only 80% then the markets are waaaay mispriced

Greece doesn't have the money. As long as eurogroup ignores that fact they are less and less likely to get anything back from Greece. It's just as much of lenders problem as it is borrowers. Lenders decided to lend without any collateral. Borrower ...

dude, are you high ? Who exactly is raising rates ?

not really, in an economic perspective. If a country's currency is depriciating then the assets of this country become more appealing for other, higher currency countries. That's common logic, that is why we have this currency war in the first place ...

Your reasons are all technical, that's fine with me (Y). Always good to get different perspectives.

Good points. I just like to emphasize that there is no two goals for any central bank, it is and will forever be inflation that determines the interest rate change. After all, it is the INTEREST IN MONEY. If the interest in money increases (demand) ...

interesting story (Y)

(Y)

how do you figure ? i don't see any extremes in cot report...perhaps in gbp, if at all. Aud's positions are pretty much where they have been for quite some time now with no extreme shorts. What's there to rebalance ? I agree on the oil price and ...

yeah, crazy moves in NZD and AUD, also in EUR and GBP. I guess strong oil price climb leaded the unwinding of commodity currency positions, after all they were all selling off as if there's no tomorrow. GDT prices jump and rising copper did a good ...

Forget the PMI figure, it was only 0.2 pts lower than previous plus it's a single news event. The trend is flat and has been so for the past 2+ years. There are far bigger market moving events next week, starting from RBA statement and all the way ...

I cannot agree with that. In my view, first of all, U.S. 2 rate hikes are definitely not on the cards this year if we look at the expectations indicators. In fact, 12 month forecast for the U.S. rates peaked late december and since then it is ...

pretty much.

Irresponsible action by the SNB ? why ? Isn't it an irresponsible action by those who naively believe that there actually are free lunches ? That you simply buy eurchf at 1.2001 with max leverage and just wait for the magical account balance that ...

yeah, but you'll be margin called first before you know when greed is greed and fear is fear. Just like the SP500 right now

LOL

very true. How come those policymakers fail to realize that their "forward guidance" does more harm than good ? They simply cannot stick to the plan...everyone will just burst out whatever comes to their minds when they give interviews. FED aint any ...

Don't worry, i am aware of VSA, volume analysis and all the way down to order flow analysis. My point was the arguments behind a volume bar cannot really be known. That's why it is a mere theory. But that doesn't mean "analysing volume" or simply ...

nicely put...Yes, in a nutshell, a high tick value represents (most of the time) high volume logically meaning that you can never have a low REAL volume when the tick volume is high. The opposite is possible, however, where you can have high REAL ...

Your theory is great but that's all it is...a theory. In reality you never really know WHAT is behind a certain bar/candle's volume, and more importanly, WHO is behind it. For instance, a high volume bar into new lows/highs always represents a panic ...