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- longshot_nl replied Oct 14, 2021
looks like a wave 1/a to me. i label it as 1 for now. image
- longshot_nl replied Oct 11, 2021
Ending diagonal scenario. It really does not look great. Its the best i have right now. image
- longshot_nl replied Oct 11, 2021
The problem is wave 3 and 5 can overlap as it becomes a wedge. This is not. Its just looks ugly to me with a disproportional wave 4. I will take a fresh look tomorrow. image
- longshot_nl replied Oct 11, 2021
nfp screwed my count up. no update from me.
- longshot_nl replied Oct 8, 2021
Like this maybe. Even with its flaws i like the first one better. I have to make up a degree in chart below. Not sure at all. Doesn't matter much. If it goes below 1492 i may have to change it again. image
- longshot_nl replied Oct 8, 2021
The count is valid but wave 5 is bigger then waves 1, 2 and 3 combined. I probably was wrong. Its probably a zigzag. Netto it makes no difference. 1492 could still be the bottom. image
- longshot_nl replied Oct 6, 2021
I think this could be it. The last wave can be impulsive. Its around the same size as the first yellow wave A. If i am correct we will see higher highs. image
- longshot_nl replied Oct 6, 2021
i think its going for 1492. image
- longshot_nl replied Oct 5, 2021
i know your message is a bit old. It would be above the channel so bullish. Also wave 4 would of 5 become too ugly. I would have to relabel. I am counting till 5 lower tf now. maybe 1555. Am not sure at all. image
- longshot_nl replied Oct 4, 2021
have the same number 1656. its also monthly pp for me.
- longshot_nl replied Sep 30, 2021
symmetry of abcd pattern not very good. might affect its performance.
- longshot_nl replied Sep 30, 2021
was wrong. lost count a bit. waiting till i am in sync again. I think if 1555 is a bottom we need close to 1662 or a sideways move of multiple days. because of alternation i favor the latter. That would be wave 4. But very maybe wave wave 4 already ...
- longshot_nl replied Sep 29, 2021
wave 3 may be done now..
- longshot_nl replied Sep 28, 2021
i do not think wave 3 is done yet. imho friday's nfp might spike a bottom @ 1612 or so. No reason to change count. image
- longshot_nl replied Sep 25, 2021
daily chart: this is the best i can do right now. Teal wave A and B i am pretty sure of. The last wave is flimsy. Just my best guess. It looks bearish to me because the correction is much lower. 1494 could be the last wave. image
- longshot_nl replied Sep 25, 2021
I have not changed my count since my last post. Wave 5 often has a gap. The weekend can provide that which would be some confirmation. I thought maybe 1621 could be a bottom. Now i think maybe 1612, i have confluence there. image
- longshot_nl replied Sep 23, 2021
>1755 invalidates count.
- longshot_nl replied Sep 23, 2021
maybe this. in wave 5 waves 1 and 5 can overlap though. i make a lot of assumptions because it makes things easyer. i change it when i think i was wrong. image
- longshot_nl replied Sep 22, 2021
scrap that, i don't know if this is a first or last wave. if its a last wave we are going to see a lot more bulls. will try to figure it out. its also on the way to 1555 so it's probably not the last wave.
- longshot_nl replied Sep 22, 2021
Around 1621 i have some support. I think around there we might see a few weeks of bulls. image