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- carddard replied Aug 17, 2023
yes. Even with these 3 criteria met, without a min. dist. between each trade can spell trouble. U can run a backtest to see what I mean. I guess for now I'll wait for RC to get into the details
A Simple Mean Reversion Strategy
- carddard replied Aug 17, 2023
What is your approach for the subsequent re-entries? That's the missing piece I'm hoping to hear from RC as well. Even if you scale in when MA has breached ur original entry in subsequent trades, you will still need a min. distance between each ...
A Simple Mean Reversion Strategy
- carddard replied Aug 17, 2023
It's been 4 years since I started this thread, and many have reached out to find out more about this strategy. I'd post my remarks here to address some of the questions: 1) Are you still using this strategy? Ans: I started this as an experiment 4 ...
Random entries - Let's take it to the extreme
- carddard replied Aug 15, 2023
Thanks for clarifying RC. An additional question - What are your thoughts on lot size as your add to your entries? (Same lot size vs increasing lot sizes as your scale in)
A Simple Mean Reversion Strategy
- carddard replied Aug 15, 2023
Following your thread with interest, RC. I noted that in your first post you mentioned that "Theta is almost always working against you. As it does though, you will typically have the opportunity to average up. Never average down even if you can. ...
A Simple Mean Reversion Strategy
- carddard replied Aug 13, 2023
Thanks for the response RC, I appreciate it. I was wondering if you could elaborate more on this point actually: "not too large as this is often where the drawdowns will strike" - How you go about identifying this, if that's what you were alluding ...
A Simple Mean Reversion Strategy
- carddard replied Aug 13, 2023
Nice thread, RC. How would you go about identifying the ideal "spread"? Finding the percentiles is easy enough, but how large is too large?
A Simple Mean Reversion Strategy
- carddard replied Jul 12, 2023
Indeed. This has been validated quite a few times. The fractal nature of price at its finest.
Trading made simple with added BS
- carddard replied Jun 24, 2023
Disclosure: I don't trade with AO's method. But I've been a follower of his posts for years. I have tested, analyzed but haven't gone live with his methods before. AO's thread has fascinated me for so long. His messages are quite cryptic indeed, but ...
Simple Mean Reversion
- carddard replied Feb 23, 2023
Trend trading may have lost its popularity over recent years but trends definitely do exist. How you trade them is what really matters
Trend following system is dead
- carddard replied Jan 30, 2023
I see. That's quite different from what I've been working on. Once a trade reaches profit, I close it. Different approach to yours.
Random entries - Let's take it to the extreme
- carddard replied Jan 30, 2023
Drawdown level - No significant difference between the 2 DCA methods. But maybe I misunderstood. What criteria do you use to assess if price is "moving in the same direction as the original trade"? I'm assuming it's adding onto losing positions ...
Random entries - Let's take it to the extreme
- carddard replied Jan 30, 2023
No significant difference over time it seems. U tried and had any luck?
Random entries - Let's take it to the extreme
- carddard replied Jan 30, 2023
In phase 2, the DD levels were the same. The only way to reduce it is to introduce a more accurate entry method other than random. But the position mgt bit worked as it should.
Random entries - Let's take it to the extreme
- carddard replied Jan 29, 2023
If you are using this to trade, do bear in mind that you are taking on a disproportionate amount of risk corresponding to a less significant amount of potential profit. Most of the martingale-based strategies rely on the same principles. Quadratic ...
Hedging/averaging trades without prediction
- carddard replied Jan 28, 2023
It's been 2 years since I last posted on this thread. A recent FF member reminded me of this thread. You do see some similar threads around in the forum but nothing too serious. Quite the thrill, entering randomly in the markets and coming out on ...
Random entries - Let's take it to the extreme
- carddard replied Jan 12, 2023
Closing the trades at one go upon $x profit is one way to do it. You could also consider letting the trades run but reducing the total trade exposure down bit by bit. It sounds abstract but this allows you to maximize your upside while keeping the ...
Hedging/averaging trades without prediction
- carddard replied Jan 2, 2023
This is an interesting idea. Even though both ways could be traded. The reverse would be attempts on identifying tops and bottoms. Will be giving this a shot and see if it works well with my existing algos. I would pair this up with higher ...
Re-igniting Dancingphil's ZigZag strategy
- carddard replied Dec 5, 2022
Interesting posts. I'm running something similar but with 28 pairs. Returns aren't as aggressive as yazzie's but so is the DD.
Hedging/averaging trades without prediction
- carddard replied Nov 8, 2022
It's not just about your forward test. What about your tick by tick backtest results for the last 10 years?
Hedging/averaging trades without prediction